Climate Depot’s Marc Morano comments: “Here we go again. The UN will never quit until we cut off their funding and stop enabling it. The UN chief Antonio Guterres, a former president of Socialist International — is touting tipping points and “irreversible” changes unless we are obedient to their demands that we turn over our economic, energy and way of life to their centrally planned vision. Quick! Pay up and empower the UN to take over your life or the climate will get you! Reality-based headline: ‘Former top socialist who runs the UN wants issues yet another worthless anti-scientific extreme scenario report demanding huge centralized changes in society that will empower the UN to further impose restrictions on you.’ And the climate will not notice one whit. How many more climate tipping points do we have to listen to? [See: Earth ‘serially doomed’: The official history of climate ‘Tipping Points’ began in 1864 – George Perkins Marsh, the father of American ecology warned: Unless men changed their ways it would be reduced ‘to such a condition of impoverished productiveness, of shattered surface, of climatic excess, as to threaten the depravation, barbarism, and perhaps even extinction of the species.’]
Morano: “It is more recycled nonsense. I don’t know how else to say it stronger. I can’t believe they just do this relentlessly every three to five years, and here we are again.”This is essentially the belief that unless we submit to a future where government overlords will control everything, we will face a catastrophe. The UN is literally trying to lobbying you into voting for politicians who want to take ‘climate action.’ Dr. Roger Pielke Jr.: “IPCC author whose company sells RCP8.5 products wants people to ‘get scared’ and for the report to affect how people vote,” Pielke added.
Morano: “We already know these reports are designed to scare the world into climate action. (See: Gore admits UN IPCC report was ‘torqued up’ to promote political action – ‘How [else] do they get the attention of policy-makers around the world?’) The UN is now scaring people to vote the way using the UN’s unscientific extreme model-based scenarios!” [Also see the real motivation behind the reports: New UN IPCC report ‘will motivate all nations to deliver urgent emission reductions’ & commit to ‘climate finance’]
Dr. Roger Pielke Jr.: “So this is a BIG problem. The scenarios IPCC admits are unlikely [to] dominate the report w/ 41.5% of all scenario mentions. The scenarios judged most likely under current trends get only 18.4% of mentions. Implausible scenarios (8.5 + 7.0) total 53% of mentions, more than half!” “The literature is heavily biased to extreme scenarios,” Pielke added.
“From AR5 WG1 to AR6 WG1 the emphasis on 8.5 scenarios increased dramatically,” he explained. “The IPCC AR6 WG1 is not in fact neutral w/ respect to scenario assumptions because it has an overwhelming emphasis on unlikely (it’s word), implausible (our word) scenarios,” Pielke added.
#
Morano: “The United Nations is a self-interested lobbying organization. If the UN fails to define CO2 as driving a climate crisis, it fails to be in charge of the solution, it fails to have annual conferences all over the globe.” …
“It’s like the mafia coming into its neighborhood and saying ‘I’d hate something bad to happen to you with that climate — if you pay us, we can protect you from the climate.’ The UN is saying unless we go Marxist, the climate is gonna get us. It’s time for us to say hell no, to the UN, to the Green New Deal and expose this corrupt science.”
Morano: “They’ve turned science into lobbying and there’s nothing to alarm the American public. In fact, the climate death rate
over 100 years has declined 95 plus percent. In other words, our fossil fuel use has protected us. It’s taken an unsafe climate and made it safe and the UN claims we need to make ourselves poorer to make us produce a climate better.”
Paul Homewood: “This is the Summary for Policymakers (SPM), the result of negotiations between governments. In other words it is a political statement, not a scientific document. The latter won’t be published until much later, probably long after COP26. And as [UN Sec. Gen] Guterres makes clear, the whole object of the SPM is to scare governments into signing up to the UN agenda at COP26.”
Newsbusters: Here We Go Again: UN Climate Panel Continues Decades-Long Climate Fear Porn Tradition
Newsbusters excerpt: The Guardian ran a climate propaganda story headlined “Major climate changes inevitable and irreversible – IPCC’s starkest warning yet.” The outlet took a nosedive into absurdity by blaming humanity for “climate crimes”: “IPCC’s verdict on climate crimes of humanity: guilty as hell.” The outlet took the IPCC report and screeched that unless “rapid and drastic reductions in greenhouse gases in this decade” are initiated, temperatures would rise by “more than” 1.5 degrees Celsius “above pre-industrial levels,” bringing a “climate breakdown” of “widespread devastation and extreme weather.” President of the 2021 U.N. Climate Change Conference Alok Sharma fearmongered that failing to limit warming to 1.5 degrees Celsius would be “‘catastrophic.'” [Emphasis added.]
The IPCC’s latest scare tactics reflect the words of University of Southampton Professor emeritus John Brignell, as reported by Climate Depot: “The creation of the UN IPCC was a cataclysmic event in the history of science. Here was a purely political body posing as a scientific institution.”
Hoover Institution visiting fellow Bjorn Lomborg has pointed out on Twitter, “UN routinely warns us that we have just a few years left until catastrophe.” The U.N. has a sorry record of those predictions failing to materialize.
Lomborg proceeded to tweet a litany of failed climate predictions that the U.N. has attempted to scare the world with over the decades. He said that “[i]n 1972, half a century ago, Maurice Strong, first UN Environment Programme director warned that the world had just 10 years to avoid catastrophe.” In addition, Lomborg noted that “[i]n 1982, [Mostafa] Tolba, head of UN Environment Programme told the world that it had just 18 years before an environmental catastrophe as irreversible as any nuclear holocaust.” Eighteen years from 1982 for the climate “nuclear holocaust” would have been 2000, which was 21 years ago. Also, in 1989, “a senior UN official warn[ed] [the] Associated Press that we have to fix climate change by 1999 or climate change goes beyond human control,” Lomborg said. [Emphasis added.]
UN routinely warns us that we have just a few years left until catastrophe:
In 1972, half a century ago, Maurice Strong, first UN Environment Programme director warned that
the world had just 10 years to avoid catastrophehttps://t.co/W7mxpVeXJd pic.twitter.com/Ve4QEoWmPa
— Bjorn Lomborg (@BjornLomborg) August 8, 2021
Lomborg wasn’t the only climate expert to excoriate the IPCC. Environmental Progress Founder and President Michael Shellenberger classified the IPCC’s stipulation that “‘[o]n a warming planet, no one is safe,’” as “just dumb.” He also listed a number of factors that undermined the IPCC’s estimations. Shellenberger hammered the IPCC:
The basis for such alarmism is sociological not scientific. It is driven by the need among secular people for purpose and meaning. The belief that you’re saving the world from Apocalypse appeals to Marvel moviegoers as well as mid-level career diplomats stuck in powerless UN jobs.
The United Nations has apparently decided to market its new climate report with the slogan, "On a warming planet, no one is safe"
I'm sorry, but this is just dumb
The fact of the matter is we're safer than ever
Here's why https://t.co/0KzsvjDdcV
— Michael Shellenberger (@shellenberger) August 9, 2021
End Newsbusters excerpt.
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Media hypes UN climate hysteria:
The real motivation behind UN IPCC climate reports: “I remain hopeful that the scientific evidence will show the stark reality of a world already altered by our rapidly changing climate and will motivate all nations to deliver urgent emission reductions and the necessary amount of climate finance at COP26,” said Mohammed Adjei Sowah, who is the mayor of Accra in Ghana and vice chair of the C40 group of cities. “We only need to look out of our windows to see that the climate crisis is already here.” …
On Monday, a short, 40-page Summary for Policymakers will be released dealing with the physical science. It may be brief, but the new report is expected to pack a punch. “We’ve seen over a couple of months, and years actually, how climate change is unfolding; it’s really staring us in the face,” said Dr Heleen de Coninck, from Eindhoven University of Technology in the Netherlands, who is a coordinating lead author for the IPCC Working Group III. …
A hotter future is now "locked in" due to lack of action on CO2 emissions, says a major UN report — calling it a "code red" for humanity.
▪️ Humans "unequivocally" to blame for climate crisis
▪️ Temps may hit Paris limit in 20 years
▪️ Rapid, major emissions changes needed pic.twitter.com/ULVfnaGM0a— AJ+ (@ajplus) August 9, 2021
New U.N. climate-panel report says rising seas, melting ice caps and other effects of climate change may be irreversible for centuries and are “unequivocally” driven by greenhouse gases from human activity. Via @leHotz, @WSJ https://t.co/jQddjWytUp
— Keiko Morris (@KeikoMorris) August 9, 2021
#ClimateChange is widespread, rapid, & intensifying – #IPCC
Scientists are observing changes in the Earth’s climate in every region & across the whole climate system, says the IPCC’s latest #ClimateReport, released today.
➡️ https://t.co/4t8uyqoLXN
➡️ https://t.co/uU8bb4inBB pic.twitter.com/e3oAgQJQWe— IPCC (@IPCC_CH) August 9, 2021
“#ClimateChange is already affecting every region on Earth, in multiple ways. The changes we experience will increase with additional warming.” #IPCC Working Group I Co-Chair Panmao Zhai on findings from the #IPCC’s #ClimateReport, released today.
➡️ https://t.co/uU8bb4inBB pic.twitter.com/GvV0vB2qAM
— IPCC (@IPCC_CH) August 9, 2021
"If we reduce emissions to #NetZero by 2050, we can keep temperatures close to 1.5C." #IPCC Working Group I Co-Chair @valmasdel on today’s release of the #IPCC’s latest #ClimateReport. pic.twitter.com/WKLWLVeWeA
— IPCC (@IPCC_CH) August 9, 2021
#
Rebuttals:
Michael Shellenberger’s devastating rebuttal to UN IPCC report is here:
From Feb. 21, 2021: ‘A litany of frightening statistics’: New UN 168-page report warns huge changes in society needed to save earth — Climate Depot’s point-by-point rebuttal
Excerpt: So a UN scary prediction way into the future based on failed climate models should motivate us into action?
Reality Check: What Global Warming? 148 New (2020) Scientific Papers Affirm Recent Non-Warming – A Degrees-Warmer Past
&
Earth has also been hotter than even the UN’s unfounded predictions: See: NOAA features temperature chart showing Earth’s history much hotter than today – Past temps ‘Much too warm for ice sheets or perennial sea ice’
Prominent Geologist Dr. Robert Giegengack dissents – Laments ‘hubris’ of those who ‘believe that we can ‘control’ climate – Denounces ‘semi-religious campaign’– Geologist Dr. Robert Giegengack – Former chair of Department of Earth and Environmental Science at the University of Pennsylvania
More below:
IPCC author whose company sells RCP8.5 products wants people to "get scared" and for the report to affect how people votehttps://t.co/VAVBGqTzw9 pic.twitter.com/9mzh7KNxjJ
— The Honest Broker (@RogerPielkeJr) August 9, 2021
Washington Post going full RCP8.5 as BAU with new IPCC reporthttps://t.co/sDkSxVtfcM pic.twitter.com/50zEfAjYDd
— The Honest Broker (@RogerPielkeJr) August 9, 2021
Vanishingly few of us die from disasters. We’re producing more food than ever. Emissions are going down. Those trends are going to continue, but you wouldn’t know it from the UN PR department, which aims to persuade people that we are in greater peril. It’s mass neuroticism.
— Michael Shellenberger (@shellenberger) August 9, 2021
The basis for such alarmism is sociological not scientific. It is driven by the need among secular people for purpose and meaning. The belief that you’re saving the world from Apocalypse appeals to Marvel moviegoers as well as mid-level career diplomats stuck in powerless UN jobs
— Michael Shellenberger (@shellenberger) August 9, 2021
Emissions are going down thanks to the transition to natural gas & nuclear, which UN types have hotly denounced for decades — perhaps bc tech change underscores the irrelevance of UN bureaucrats whose only power is in issuing hysterical press releases
— Michael Shellenberger (@shellenberger) August 9, 2021
Is this what’s behind the widespread neuroticism that afflicts secular elites in rich nations?
The material challenges have all been solved. We are resilient to weather in ways our grandparents could only dream of. Infrastructure. Food.
And yet we’re more neurotic than ever.
— Michael Shellenberger (@shellenberger) August 9, 2021
This quote is typical of how many scientists have switched from talking about "disasters" to "extreme events."
Disasters are measured as deaths & costs and are thus getting *better* not worse.
And so the focus has shifted to precipitation, temperatures, wind speeds, etc. pic.twitter.com/A4IRfvXlm5
— Michael Shellenberger (@shellenberger) August 9, 2021
— Michael Shellenberger (@shellenberger) August 9, 2021
This also is big & it's v good news
The IPCC has for the first time reduced its top end estimate of climate sensitivityIPCC judges Higher magnitude climate change to be less likely than it has been since 1990
Best estimate remains same, lower end certainty increased as well pic.twitter.com/6jRYMAAeLv— The Honest Broker (@RogerPielkeJr) August 9, 2021
Ch.8 on flooding:
"the assessment of observed trends in the magnitude of runoff, streamflow, and flooding remains challenging, due to the spatial heterogeneity of the signal and to multiple drivers"Same as AR5
Are floods increasing? Evidence doesn't say that— The Honest Broker (@RogerPielkeJr) August 9, 2021
https://twitter.com/RogerPielkeJr/status/1424734692335517700
Flooding
Confidence in global trends is low
Some places up, some down
Same as AR5So don't claim floods are increasing
Don't say they are "climate driven" pic.twitter.com/w55sQj1UJu— The Honest Broker (@RogerPielkeJr) August 9, 2021
Obviously in the absence of detected trends, there won't be much ability to attribute
Don't say floods are caused by, driven by, intensified by climate change. The evidence doesn't support that. pic.twitter.com/AMeej6GGrK
— The Honest Broker (@RogerPielkeJr) August 9, 2021
AR5 discussed "drought"
AR6 discusses 4 types: meteorological, hydrological, agricultural, ecologicalDifferent conclusions for each
Like AR5, little confidence in changes to M or H droughts but medium confidence in changes to A & E pic.twitter.com/Ax8DsR24Ec
— The Honest Broker (@RogerPielkeJr) August 9, 2021
Detecting trends in tropical cyclones remains difficult, same as AR5
There might be trends, but we can't detect them (I always love this statement, if we can't detect it, it can't be that significant!) pic.twitter.com/4k8t3Eluez
— The Honest Broker (@RogerPielkeJr) August 9, 2021
The IPCC really stretches to say something about TCs, relying on a few studies that start analysis in 1980 when much more evidence is available pic.twitter.com/586OtbWrZy
— The Honest Broker (@RogerPielkeJr) August 9, 2021
You know what the IPCC doesn't mention?
Global TC landfalls (they do mention landfalls in Madagascar and the US)
I wonder why not?
Our dataset was updated & published in recent WMO TC assessment pic.twitter.com/oXYEfWFBWb— The Honest Broker (@RogerPielkeJr) August 9, 2021
Curious about what the IPCC forgot to include?
For NA & WP, about 70% of all landfalls, "the overall number of landfalling hurricanes has decreased dramatically since the 1940s, while the number of major hurricane landfalls has shown no trend"https://t.co/Yeqi43TdvS pic.twitter.com/uJwf0MCm1x
— The Honest Broker (@RogerPielkeJr) August 9, 2021
Winter storms
Low confidence in past century trends in frequency and intensity pic.twitter.com/h7xfNHZMLm— The Honest Broker (@RogerPielkeJr) August 9, 2021
Thunderstorms, tornadoes, hail, lightning
No upwards trends detected
Same as AR5 pic.twitter.com/xR93IhFOkn— The Honest Broker (@RogerPielkeJr) August 9, 2021
Extreme winds
A new variable in AR6
Interesting, IPCC finds less extreme winds between 60N (~Juneau) and 60S (~Antarctica), so pretty much everywhere there are peopleThere goes the derecho attribution pic.twitter.com/eC1ZEB3g9H
— The Honest Broker (@RogerPielkeJr) August 9, 2021
Summary:
Highly consistent with AR5 (of course, just a few more years of data)Little evidence of increasing trends in floods, M&H drought, TCs, tornadoes, strong winds
But evidence for increases in high temps, extreme precip, heat waves, fire weather, A&E drought
— The Honest Broker (@RogerPielkeJr) August 9, 2021
The IPCC AR6 WG1 is not in fact neutral w/ respect to scenario assumptions because it has a overwhelming emphasis on unlikely (it's word), implausible (our word) scenarios
Because IPCC also claims no likelihoods associated w/ scenarios the emphasis on 8.5 needs interpretation
— The Honest Broker (@RogerPielkeJr) August 9, 2021
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Greenpeace co-founder Dr. Patrick Moore: “What a farce the IPCC Paris Accord and all previous ‘agreements’ to reduce CO2 emissions have been. If only the collective billionaire-class would recognize that CO2 is entirely beneficial we could get on with making the world a better place.”
Climate Depot’s Marc Morano: “Get ready for more futility as the Green New Deal will continue meaningless ‘climate action.'”