'The false belief that knowing a 'scientific' fact implies morally what should be done about that fact' ... A theory becomes The Science when a mitigation or solution to the theory becomes more important than the theory itself. ... By mitigating I mean providing a solution to “fix” or manipulate an effect of the theory. This effect may be real or imaginary. The mitigation is real. ...
Climatology, for example, started as a plain science, and still exists as such in quiet corners. It morphed as soon as its mitigations were discovered, and it has been The Science ever since. ... That climatology is no longer plain science is signaled by the continuous change in names for it’s theory: global cooling, global warming, climate change, sustainability, and so on. These are needed because there are still a core of old-fashioned scientists who blush when theories don’t accord with Reality.
In plain science theory is made to fit Reality. In The Science this is flipped...The Science has nothing to do with science and everything to do with solutions and mitigations.'
"The probability of a 100-year flood event is now so rare it has only been occurring once every 358 years on average since 1970." ...
"In present-day conditions, 100-year flood events have globally become so rare that they now (since 1970) only occur once every 358 years on average. And 50-year floods only occur once every 152 years on average.
With the cooler climate conditions of the 1970s, there was a 45% probability that a 50-year flood would occur. In today’s conditions, however, there is only an 18% chance that a 50-year flood will occur."
"I regard consensus science as an extremely pernicious development that ought to be stopped cold in its tracks. Historically the claim of consensus has been the first refuge of scoundrels; it is a way to avoid debate by claiming that the matter is already settled." — Michael Crichton