Links tagged “pause”
- The new global warming ‘pause’ increases to nearly 8 years – No warming since March 2014
On the HadCRUT4 data, there has been no global warming for close to eight years, since March 2014. That period can be expected to lengthen once the HadCRUT data are updated – the “University” of East Anglia is slower at maintaining the data these days than it used to be.
- The HadCRUT4 Global Temperature Dataset Now Unveils A Cooling Trend For The Last 7.5 Years
- Global Warming Stalls Again – Back To Levels Seen 20 Years Ago
- The New Pause lengthens by another 2 months to 6 years 2 months according to UAH satellite data
- WHERE HAS ALL THE GLOBAL WARMING GONE? – ‘New Pause’: No warming for more than six years
- Statistical politics: Prof. Mike Hulme on ‘politically charged’ climate baseline changes from 1961-1990 to 1991-2020: ‘In an instant; today, the world’s climate has ‘suddenly’ become nearly 0.5°C warmer’
Hulme: "January 12021, a new World Meteorological Organisation (WMO) climatological standard normal came into effect. The ‘present-day’ climate will now formally be
represented by the meteorological statistics of the period 1991-2020, replacing those from 1961-1990. National Meteorological Agencies in member states are instructed to issue new standard normals for observing stations and for associated climatological products. Climate will ‘change’, one might say, in an instant; today, the world’s climate has ‘suddenly’ become nearly 0.5°C warmer. It is somewhat equivalent to re-setting Universal Time or adjusting the exact definition of a metre." ..."So, what is the significance of the move to a new 1991-2020 WMO normal in January 2021? On the one hand, it is a pragmatic move to redefine ‘present-day’ climate for operational applications to that of the most recent 30-year period. On the other hand, it puts into play a third climatic baseline. Already existing is the ‘pre-industrial’ climate of the late nineteenth century and the ‘historic’ climate’ of 1961-1990, the latter about 0.3°C warmer than the former. And now there is the new ‘present-day’ climate of 1991-2020, in turn about 0.5°C warmer than the ‘historic climate’ of 1961-1990." ...
"Combining a climatic tolerance of 2°C—or indeed 1.5°C—with a pre-industrial baseline yields a very different climate target than, say, using a 1986-2005 baseline, the period widely adopted by IPCC AR5 Working Group I as their analytical baseline. The choices of both baseline and tolerance are politically charged. They carry significant implications for historic liability for emissions (La Rovere et al., 2002), for policy design (Millar et al., 2017) and for possible reparations (Roberts & Huq, 2015)."
- 2020 Hottest Year!?: ‘There has been no significant warming trend for 5 years’ – ‘2020 is statistically identical to 2016’ – ‘Thousandths of a degree’ difference
AP: 'Hottest year on record': 2020 sets yet another global temperature record
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Rebuttal: David Whitehouse of The Global Warming Policy Forum: "A temperature anomaly for 2020 of 0.98 +/- 0.15 °C compared to 1.00 +/- 0.15 °C for 2016 (which was the year with the strongest recorded El Nino). The difference is trivial, especially since the precision of the mean is reported to thousandths of a degree. Looking at NOAA’s data for previous years you can see that every year since 2015 falls within one standard deviation of the mean. Such a simple and unbiased view of the data leads to a much more justifiable headline for the data: There has been no significant warming trend for 5 years, as NOAA has confirmed." ...
"A number of months in early 2020 were affected by El Niño conditions, very different from what the WMO Secretary-General has claimed. It is true that 2016 would have been cooler but for the El Nino and 2020 warmer but for the La Nina. However, as I pointed out in my previous post, the El Nino effect can be seen over several years making estimates for greenhouse gas forcing problematic." ...
"The increase in atmospheric CO2 between 2015-2019 made no difference to global temperatures and neither has the 7% fall in global CO2 emissions observed in 2020."
Also see: Here we go again: 2020 claimed to be ‘tied with 2016’ for ‘Hottest year’ declaration
- A new temperature pause? Zero global warming for 5 years 4 months
Christopher Monckton: "At long last, following the warming effect of the El Niño of 2016, there are signs of a reasonably significant La Niña, which may well usher in another Pause in global temperature, which may even prove similar to the Great Pause that endured for 224 months from January 1997 to August 2015, during which a third of our entire industrial-era influence on global temperature drove a zero trend in global warming. ... As we come close to entering the la Niña, the trend in global mean surface temperature has already been zero for 5 years 4 months.
However, the new Pause is at a surface-temperature plateau 0.3 C° above the old Pause."
- New Study: ‘The Most Suitable Place In The World For Temperature Reconstruction’ Shows Net Cooling Since The 1930s
- New Study: Recent global-warming hiatus tied to equatorial Pacific surface cooling
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Climate change is racist!? Targets minorities!? USA Today: ‘Code Red’ Heat: ‘The climate emergency is sending more kids of color to the emergency room’
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Greenpeace co-founder Dr. Patrick Moore rips USA Today for claiming skeptics are ‘polarizing’ climate debate
USA Today features warmist John Cook, Facebook advisor who claims: "One element of climate misinformation that seems to be particularly prominent on social media is culture war type posts that attempt to paint people concerned about climate change as belonging to some separate social group intent on impinging on people’s freedoms," Cook said. "This is a particularly damaging form of misinformation as it exacerbates public polarization on climate change, making progress more difficult."
Climate Depot's Morano responds: "According to USA Today's article, it is 'misinformation' to 'paint people concerned about climate change as belonging to some separate social group intent on impinging on people’s freedoms.' But that claim is precisely accurate.". See: Reality Check: ‘Climate lockdowns’ touted by Gates & Soros funded professors, Govts, media, & academia
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Greenpeace co-founder Dr. Patrick Moore responds to USA Today: "We skeptics are responsible for the 'public polarization' about the climate? Who is using the word 'denier' as if we skeptics want to send the true believers to the gas chambers? They are the ones foaming at the mouth with doomsday language. We are basing our opinions and facts on historical data and sound science." ... "Since we began using fossil fuels and making cement, the long decline of CO2 over the millennia has miraculously been halted. There is no reason to believe that if we had not unintentionally reversed the downward trend in CO2 that all life on Earth would have been threatened with eventual extinction when CO2 fell below 150 ppm. We have returned a balance to the global carbon cycle. There is no reason to prevent this from continuing up to 800 ppm and beyond."
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All datasets including NASA GISS, UK Met Office & RSS, UAH satellites, show global temperatures declining since 2016 – Warmists spin to conceal cooling temps in 2021
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Larry Hamlin: NOAA published its global climate report for year end 2021 highlighting that its global temperature anomaly measurements showed 2021 being the sixth highest of its recorded measurements. NOAA’s global annual measurement for 2021 was 0.84 degrees C. ... NOAA has exaggerated the importance of both monthly and annual temperature anomaly changes with as small a difference as +0.01 degrees C as a basis for climbing “hottest temperature ever” hype as was done for the July 2021 temperature anomaly data even though the confidence level for this measurement is +/-0.19 degrees C as discussed in WUWT articles here and here. ...
In addition to NOAA’s global temperature anomaly decline since year end 2016, all other global temperature anomaly measurement systems used by climate scientists worldwide all show declining global temperature anomaly measurements during the period from 2016 through 2021 as shown in the graphs below for surface global temperature anomaly measurement systems from NASA GISS and UK Met Office and for satellite global temperature anomaly measurement systems from UAH and RSS respectively.
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The Bureau of Meteorology ‘remodels’ Australia’s temperatures from 1913 to make them colder — thus increasing the warming trend of last century
Jo Nova: Surprisingly, the World War I era temperatures are still changing. Mornings that seemed nippy at the time are now susceptible to frosts. Someone should warn the farmers — except they’re all dead. ... “The bureau has now remodeled the national temperature dataset three times in just nine years." ... Correcting thermometer records from 1913. ... Who knew all those old thermometers were so wrong?
The bureau said changes were made to 20 sites on the basis of statistical analysis. According to the bureau, statistical analysis is used to identify an abrupt warming or cooling at a particular site, relative to other sites in the region. ... The BOM refuses to tell us exactly how they do this — admitting that they can’t train anyone outside their sacred guild. Which reminds us of the old axiom, “if it can’t be replicated, it isn’t science”.
