The Climate Grift Unravels: Bill Gates’ Stunning Reversal Sparks Infighting Among Alarmists

https://irrationalfear.substack.com/p/the-climate-grift-unravels-e7e

DR. MATTHEW WIELICKI

In a surprising twist, Bill Gates—one of the most prominent funders and voices in the climate alarmism movement—has released a memo just ahead of major UN talks, dialing back his decades-long rhetoric on climate change as an apocalyptic threat. Titled “Three Tough Truths About Climate,” Gates now admits that while climate change poses challenges, especially for the poor, “it will not lead to humanity’s demise.”

This marks a stark departure from his previous doomsday warnings, and it’s already causing rifts in the climate community, with figures like Professor Michael Mann publicly expressing disappointment and accusing Gates of undermining the narrative they’ve pushed for years.

Mann, known for his hockey stick graph and aggressive defense of climate catastrophism, took to X to blast the memo, calling it “bull$hit” and insisting that climate change remains the existential crisis they’ve long claimed—it’s just “still coming down the line.” His post, shared on October 28, 2025, highlights the growing tension: the grifters are starting to turn on each other as the data refuses to cooperate with their predictions.

As I’ve argued extensively on Irrational Fear, the real “threat” was never modest warming of 1.5–2°C itself. It was always the hyped-up feedback loops: supercharged hurricanes, catastrophic sea-level rise flooding islands, disrupted food systems leading to famine, and billions migrating as climate refugees. Yet, none of this has materialized. In fact, the latest IPCC report’s Table 12.12 (from AR6, 2021) paints a clear picture: white cells dominate categories like tropical cyclones, mean precipitation, fire weather, and more, indicating no detectable emerging signal or trend in either direction.

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White cells indicate lacking or low confidence in an emerging signal of change, meaning no clear trend in impacts like cyclones, floods, or droughts. Source: https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg1/downloads/report/IPCC_AR6_WGI_Chapter12.pdf

The data simply isn’t there to support the hysteria.

I’ve covered this in depth in previous posts:

All these existential threats live in hypothetical models built on shaky assumptions, as I’ve discussed repeatedly. Now, even Gates seems to be reading the room, or perhaps my Substack, and acknowledging the grift is up. But why the shift? There’s no new data justifying it; observations haven’t suddenly changed. This could be Gates seeing the writing on the wall, or a UN salvage operation to pivot from failed climate goals to real issues like poverty and health.

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