Biden uses tornado tragedy to further climate agenda: But ‘data shows that these winter tornadoes are not becoming more frequent’ – Climate analyst Paul Homewood: “Provisional data from the NWS indicates that the tornadoes which hit Mayfield, Kentucky and Edwardsville, Illinois were both EF-3s. Although most tornadoes occur in spring and early summer, strong tornadoes are not unheard of in winter. Indeed, on average since 1950 there have been five tornadoes every winter of EF3 and greater strength. And the official data shows that these winter storms are not becoming more frequent:
Despite the latest outbreak, the number of tornadoes this year has been well below average.”No F5 Winter Tornadoes In The U.S. For Fifty Years – Last one occurred in 1971
The US has been hit by six F5 winter tornadoes since 1950, the last ones occurring fifty years ago.
1953-12-05 MS 1957-12-18 IL 1971-02-21 LA 1971-02-21 LA 1971-02-21 MS 1971-02-21 MS #
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Climatologist Dr. Roy Spencer in 2019: “To claim ‘global warming’ as cause for tornadoes ‘is directly opposite to the clear observational evidence’” – Climatologist Dr. Roy Spencer: “The last half of the 65-year U.S. tornado record had 40% fewer strong to violent tornadoes than the first half. To claim that global warming is causing more tornadoes is worse than speculative; it is directly opposite to the clear observational evidence.”
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IPCC AR6 WG1
"trends in tornadoes… associated w/ severe convective storms are not robustly detected"
"attribution of certain classes of extreme weather (eg, tornadoes) is beyond current modelling & theoretical capabilities"
"how tornadoes… will change is an open question" https://t.co/UlTTkml7lp
— The Honest Broker (@RogerPielkeJr) December 11, 2021
Dr. Roger Pielke Jr.: “But none of that justifies making obviously false claims about the state of current science, even if made in support of a worthy cause by someone I voted for.”
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https://twitter.com/ChrisMartzWX/status/1470191966369550336
Here are the facts:
• No overall trend in U.S. tornado activity since 1954; but EF-3+ down 50%.
• Climate models cannot resolve mesoscale features.
• Some enviro conditions may become more favorable in future, others less.
• Low confidence in climate change linkage. pic.twitter.com/G3vYVolpRf
— Chris Martz (@ChrisMartzWX) December 11, 2021
Tony Heller Video December 12, 2021:
Biden Discusses Tornadoes In Kentucky: “History and science aren’t among Joe Biden’s strong points.”
Tony Heller’s visuals from his December 12, 2021 video:
Tornadoes blamed on…Global Cooling! – July 14, 1974 – Lincoln Journal Star – Excerpt: “Droughts, floods, blizzards, tornadoes, typhoons, and hurricanes have plagued much of the nation and the world in recent years. Most people considered these weather conditions to be abnormal and temporary, but instead, climatologists now believe the first half o the 20th century was blessed with unusually mild weather and that the global climate has begun returning to a harsher — but more normal — state. For the long run, there is mounting evidence of a worldwide cooling trend.”
1976: ‘Frequently Freakish Weather” due to “global cooling.” – The High Point Enterprise
December Tornadoes are not rare:
December tornadoes in 1948 & 1949
April 1974: “If sufficient action isn’t taken in the next few months, countries could disappear from the face of the earth,” United Nations Secretary-General Kurt Waldheim said last month, referring to the horrific drought now ravaging West Africa. (Tribune Australia)
1974 Tornado Outbreak:
March 1925 Tornado outbreaks
The Collapse of Climate-Related Deaths: Deaths have ‘fallen over 90% since 1920’
Climatologist Dr. Roy Spencer: “The last half of the 65-year U.S. tornado record had 40% fewer strong to violent tornadoes than the first half. To claim that global warming is causing more tornadoes is worse than speculative; it is directly opposite to the clear observational evidence.”
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Geologist Gregory Wrightstone: Joe Biden spins tornado misinformation – December 12, 2021 – In 2017, while researching tornado data, I archived the NOAA site’s page on tornadoes and data. At the time, NOAA specifically warned that pre-Doppler radar records of tornadoes (before 1995) are unreliable:
“One of the main difficulties with tornado records is that a tornado, or evidence of a tornado, must have been observed. Unlike rainfall or temperature, which may be measured by a fixed instrument, tornadoes are short-lived and very unpredictable. A tornado in a largely unoccupied region is not likely to be documented. Many significant tornadoes may not have made it into the historical record since Tornado Alley was very sparsely populated during the early 20th Century.”
Because of this, NOAA recommended (at the time) only using the strongest tornadoes as a measure of pre-Doppler numbers and provided this chart that documented an overall decrease in the number of strong and violent storms that were categorized as >EF 3 (I have added the carbon emissions to the chart).
Figure 1 – Tornadoes: NOAA (2017) NCEI Historical Records and Trends, https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/climate-information/extreme-events/us-tornado-climatology/trends CO2: Boden 2016 Global Regional and National Fossil-Fuel CO2 Emissions. CDIAC
NOAA today takes one to their latest iteration, which showcases a chart of ALL tornadoes dating back to 1950 and shows a steady and significant rise in the number of tornadoes from 1950 to the late 1990s. Bear in mind, that just a few years ago, NOAA specifically warned against using exactly this data because it would under-count the numbers before 1995.
Figure 2 – Tornadoes: NOAA (2017) NCEI Historical Records and Trends, https://www.ncdc.noaa.gov/climate-information/extreme-events/us-tornado-climatology/trends
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All of this begs the question: Why would a government agency promote flawed data? The answer is simple: It “confirms” their preconceived notion of increasing severe weather and provides support for alarming claims of ever-increasing death and destruction.
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October 2021: NOAA Gets Caught Disappearing Inconvenient Tornado Data: Removes webpage showing ‘number of strong tornadoes has declined since the 1970s’ – Paul Homewood: “It is absolutely clear that the number of strong tornadoes has declined since the 1970s. Alarmingly, however, this page has been ‘disappeared’, and the link now comes up with this:
Fortunately, Wayback still has a copy of the original web page, and I also have it on file. It is blindingly apparent that NOAA found their original assessment far too inconvenient, something that should be kept out of the public domain at all cost.”
The Politically Incorrect Guide To Climate Change – 2019 – By Marc Morano
Page 203: Greg Carbin, tornado warning coordination meteorologist at NOAA’s Storm Prediction Center in Norman, Oklahoma.
According to Carbin, “NOAA statistics show that the last 60 years have seen a dramatic increase in the reporting of weak tornadoes, but no change in the number of severe to violent ones.”64 And as extreme weather expert Roger Pielke Jr.’s analysis of the data reveals, “Tornadoes have not increased in frequency, intensity or normalized damage since at least 1950, and there is some evidence to suggest that they have actually declined.”65 Pielke found, “Over the past six decades, tornado damage has declined after accounting for development that has put more property into harm’s way.” The bottom line: “Recent years have seen record low tornadoes.”
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Climate analyst Paul Homewood explained how NOAA tried to spin global warming fears in 2017 by inflating the tornado statistics. “According to NOAA, the number of tornadoes has been steadily growing since the 1950s, despite a drop in numbers in the last five years. But with increased National Doppler radar coverage, increasing population, and greater attention to tornado reporting, there has been an increase in the number of tornado reports over the past several decades. This can create a misleading appearance of an increasing trend in tornado frequency,” Homeward pointed out. “The bottom line is that the NOAA headline graph is grossly dishonest,” he explained. “NOAA themselves know all of this full well. Which raises the question—why are they perpetuating this fraud?”
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Blame for Recent Tornadoes On ‘Global Warming’ Is Incorrect – Patrick Marsh, a Storm Prediction Center meteorologist, reported that outbreaks of 50 or more tornadoes really aren’t uncommon, having happened 63 times in U.S. history. There are even three instances of more than 100 twisters in single years. Roy Spencer reminds us once again not to conflate three decade or- longer climate cycles with seasonal weather which naturally varies from year to year. He writes, “The alarmist claims of AOC, Gore, and Sanders are not just speculative; they are opposed by our observations and by meteorological theory.”
New tornado study ‘underlines just how corrupt climate science has become’ – 2019 Analysis debunks claim tornadoes getting more frequent in Southeast – Climate analyst Paul Homewood: “Sometimes a story comes along which underlines just how corrupt climate science has become…Anybody with any expertise on tornadoes knows that there has been an increase in tornado reports over recent years simply because of better reporting…To include the weakest EF-0 tornadoes in the study fundamentally undermines the whole exercise, given that EF-0s now account for over 60% of all tornadoes…So, what happens when we only look at the stronger EF3+ tornadoes in Alabama? Surprise, surprise, they have become much less frequent!”
1896 Tornado Killed 400 People In St. Louis
1890 Tornado Killed Nearly 200 People in Louisville
The Easter 1913 Tornado Outbreak
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From 2017 through 2018, the U.S. set a record for the longest period in history without a tornado death. Also in 2017 and 2018, the U.S. set a record for the longest period in history without an F3 or stronger tornado. The two record-low years for number of tornadoes both occurred this past decade, in 2014 and 2018. Even counting the recent December tornadoes, the number of tornados recorded in 2021 was below average.
In short, contrary to any claims by Biden or his FEMA head, Deanne Criswell, that deadly tornado strikes and extreme weather are the “new normal,” due to climate change, there is no evidence climate change caused or enhanced the December 10, tornado strikes in the United States, or that extreme weather events are becoming more common.
Michaels: “Biden’s appears to be thriving in a fact-free world. … The number of tornadoes is increasing, but that’s because of improved detection technology.”
Michael Mann on MSNBC: “Well, you know, we need to pass Build Back Better, because that –that bill has climate provisions that will address this problem at its, you know, at its core, which is the warming of the planet due to carbon pollution, fossil fuel burning, so that’s most important. We can prevent this from getting worse if we act on climate.” …
Mann: “It’s really both. It’s adapting to the changes that we are already forced to deal with and preventing it most importantly, from getting worse by acting on climate.”
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Marc Morano comment: “Pass a pork-barrel spending bill to improve the weather!? Mann must be utilizing every ounce of his Ph.D. to have come up with climate ‘solution.'” See:‘BONKERS!’ Watch Morano Minute: ‘The Jurassic, Holocene, and now….Manchin-cene??!’ Climate activists say Sen. Manchin’s opposition to Biden’s pork-barrel spending will alter Earth’s geologic record!
Responding to that article on Twitter, University of Colorado environmental science professor Roger Pielke Jr. described a figure from the article as “incredibly misleading,” pointed out that the rollout of Doppler radar systems increased reporting of very weak tornadoes in more recent years. …
“The rush to attribute the… tornadoes to climate change illustrates perfectly the political distortion of the topic,” climate economist and University of Guelph professor Ross McKitrick told The Epoch Times via email in another exclusive interview. “The IPCC AR6 (Sct 11.7.3) makes no attribution claims between greenhouse gases and tornadoes, and the long term data show no increasing trend in numbers or severity (indeed there is a slight decrease in numbers),” he added, referring to the latest Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) report on the physical science basis for climate change. “Yet the public has been so primed by politicians and activists to blame extreme weather on greenhouse gases they hardly blink when someone like President Biden just makes up the connection.” “Now the alarmists are shifting to a claim that while the events are natural, greenhouse gases [make] them worse than they otherwise would be,” he told The Epoch Times. “Aside from the questionable statistical analysis behind such arguments, the big problem is that it’s ambulance chasing. The fact that they only ever associate greenhouse gases with bad weather outcomes is meaningless since they only ever look at bad weather events. They never study whether a stretch of mild weather could be attributed to greenhouse gases.”
