Watch: Morano on TV debunking hurricane Dorian & ‘climate change’ links

By Marc Morano

September 13, 2019
2:40 pm

How The Left Tries To Politicize Disasters

Tipping Point With Liz Wheeler on OAN

Extreme weather expert Dr. Roger Pielke Jr.: On hurricanes – and more generally, tropical cyclones — we are fortunate that there have been two recent consensus statements of experts produced by the World Meteorological Organization (WMO, Part 1 and Part 2) and the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA). These statements, along with the work of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and U.S. National Climate Assessment (USNCA) provide a robust and reliable guide to the current views of relevant experts on the science of hurricanes and climate change.

NOAA concludes “an anthropogenic influence has not been formally detected for hurricane precipitation,” but finds it likely that increases will occur this century. Similarly, the WMO concluded, “no observational studies have provided convincing evidence of a detectable anthropogenic influence specifically on hurricane-related precipitation,” but also that an increase should be expected this century…The WMO assessment concludes: “anthropogenic signals are not yet clearly detectable in observations for most TC (tropical cyclones) metrics.”

The U.S. National Climate Assessment concurred, explaining that there is agreement on predictions for a future increase in hurricane-related rainfall, but “a limiting factor for confidence in the results is the lack of a supporting detectable anthropogenic contribution in observed tropical cyclone data.” … The USNCA agrees: “A key uncertainty in tropical cyclones (TCs) is the lack of a supporting detectable anthropogenic signal in the historical data to add further confidence to these projections [of the future].”

Hurricane Dorian stats: – 185 mph lifetime maximum sustained winds – tied with Gilbert (1988) and Wilma (2005) for the 2nd strongest maximum sustained winds in the Atlantic basin
since 1950. Allen (1980) had maximum sustained winds of 190 mph.

– 910 hPa lifetime minimum central pressure – tied for 9th lowest pressure

Note: Pressure records are not consistently reported in the Atlantic hurricane
database prior to 1980.

Over the past 169 years of record-keeping there have been only 35 category 5 hurricanes.

Rain Used To Be Caused By Global Cooling, But Now Caused By Global Warming – During 1972 record rains in parts of the U.S., Pakistan and Japan caused some of the worst flooding in centuries.

2017: New Study on floods finds ‘approximately the number expected due to chance alone’ – No ‘global warming’ signal

2017: New study in Journal of Hydrology finds no increase in floods – ‘Compelling evidence for increased flooding at a global’ scale is lacking’

June 2019: NOAA awards $175 million to the University of Maryland for Earth system studies
awarded a five-year $175 million cooperative funding agreement to the University of Maryland for collaborative research in Earth system science.
A UMD center signed a $64.8 million agreement with NASA to expand its Earth systems researchMarch 2017: A UMD center signed a $64.8 million agreement with NASA to expand its Earth systems research
Since 1999, the University of Maryland’s Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center has collaborated with NASA’s Goddard Space Flight Center to research climate change, the composition of the atmosphere and the carbon and water cycles. On March 15, NASA awarded the ESSIC a $64.8 million five-year cooperative agreement that will allow the center to continue its research on Earth systems science.Fernando Miralles-Wilhelm, interim director of ESSIC and professor of atmospheric and oceanic sciences at this university, said this is the largest of four agreements ESSIC has received from NASA since its formation. He added that the amount of funding awarded by NASA has grown steadily as the ESSIC’s research abilities have expanded.

Torrential rain in 2018 gives Hagerstown wettest September on record and fifth highest annual precipitation – Climate experts said region can expect more ‘extremes’ – Oct 6, 2018

Fernando Miralles-Wilhelm, a professor at the University of Maryland, agrees that the patterns are due to global warming. He is chair of the university’s Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science and a professor in the department.

Miralles-Wilhelm said higher temperatures are drawing more water vapor from the Earth’s surface and dumping it in the form of prolonged rainfall. He used the analogy of a simmering tea kettle to illustrate the point.
As the water in the kettle gets hotter, the boiling bubbles become more rapid. “These storms are essentially like those bubbles,” Miralles-Wilhelm said…

In response, Miralles-Wilhelm said it’s important to “separate the signal from the noise.” The noise may be an isolated weather event that delivers any number of characteristics. But the signal is a long-term pattern showing global warming, Miralles-Wilhelm said. “If you look at the record, it’s clear,” he said.

NOAA Hurricane Researcher’s study: Using 1940s observational methods, ‘only 2 of these [recent] 10 Cat 5s would have been recorded as Cat 5 if they had occurred during the late-1940s period’

Watch: Morano’s new video debunks media hype on hurricanes & ‘climate change’

NPR tries and fails to connect ‘slow moving hurricanes’ like Dorian to ‘climate change’

Note the starting point, 1944. Also note that the majority of “slow moving hurricanes” are during the satellite era, when hurricane tracking improved by at least an order of magnitude…Many of the slowest moving storms were a long time ago

Florida Major Hurricane Strikes: No Significant Increase in Intensity from Sea Surface Warming

Weather.com’s Contrived ‘Record Cat5 Hurricanes’ Statistic – Reality Check: ‘1930s had a stretch of 4 years with 5 Category 5 Atlantic hurricanes’

Spencer: “What they claim is a record (which appears so) is that we have now had a stretch of 4 consecutive years with at least one Cat5 hurricane. I claim that is a contrived statistic…The 1930s also had a stretch of 4 years with 5 Category 5 Atlantic hurricanes…Which is more significant in a “climate change” context: that in 1933-34 there were two Cat5 storms (both in 1933), or in 2018-2019 there were also two Cat5 storms, but one in each year? Because that what this boils down to.”

Listen: Morano debates climate activist on Sean Hannity’s national radio show – Warmist seeks to ban climate dissent

Sean Hannity to warmist Betsy Rosenberg: “Would you like to put us in jail?”

Warmist Betsy Rosenberg: “I would like to get you off the air.”

Five CNN Hosts Spend Six Hours Blaming Climate Change for Hurricane Dorian at Dem Forum

NOAA: ‘It is premature to conclude…that global warming has already had a detectable impact on hurricane activity’ – U.S. landfalling hurricanes ‘show a slight negative trend’ since ‘late 1800s’

Updated statement Aug 2019 from NOAA GFDL: “In the Atlantic, it is premature to conclude with high confidence that human activities–and particularly GHGs that cause global warming–have already had a detectable impact on hurricane activity”

More from NOAA GFDL: “U.S. landfalling hurricanes, which even show a slight negative trend beginning from 1900 or from the late 1800s…”

NOAA GFDL: “In short, the historical Atlantic hurricane frequency record does not provide compelling evidence for a substantial greenhouse warming-induced long-term increase.”

Watch: Morano on TV debunking hurricane Dorian & ‘climate change’ links

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