‘Wrongology’: ‘27,451 forecasts by 284 academics and pundits from 1980s were examined — ‘Experts bombed’ ‘They could barely eke out a tie with the proverbial dart-throwing chimps’
Sound Familiar? 'The least accurate forecasters were hedgehogs: 'thinkers who 'know one big thing,' aggressively extend the explanatory reach of that one big thing into new domains' and 'display bristly impatience with those who 'do not get it'