Roy Spencer’s e-book ‘Inevitable Disaster’ refutes link between global warming, hurricanes: Hurricane Harvey and Irma became the first two Category 4 hurricanes to strike the U.S. coast on the Atlantic side in the same year, based on 166 years of record-keeping, prompting warnings from Mr. Gore, Pope Francis, Leonardo DiCaprio and others about human-caused climate change. “This is an unusual time. Within the last two weeks, we have had two more record-breaking, climate-connected storms,” said Mr. Gore.
Mr. Spencer’s latest book challenges the oft-repeated assertion that this year’s powerful hurricane season is “what climate change looks like,” arguing that the storms are neither an aberration nor a result of rising carbon dioxide in the atmosphere. “This isn’t what human-caused climate change looks like,” Mr. Spencer said in the e-book. “It’s what weather looks like.”
Prof. Roger Pilke Jr.: "If you predict something bad will occur in 2080-2100 (worse hurricanes!) and you then claim see it in 2017 (Harvey, irma! Told you so!), that does not prove you “right” — it actually says your prediction is wildly off base."
"Efforts to convince the public or policy makers to drastically change energy policy based on hurricanes is a fool’s errand."
"Neither tropical cyclones globally, Atlantic hurricanes overall, US landfalls nor US normalized damage has gotten worse (that is more frequent or intense) over climate time scales. (Don’t take it from me, this is straight out of the IPCC and US government’s National Climate Assessment)"
Many storms were missed over the open ocean prior to hurricane hunter aircraft in 1944. Even then half of the Atlantic basin was not covered. Satellite coverage began to improve matters in 1966. But even then monitoring has considerably improved since 1966, particularly regarding short lived storms.
Contrary to popular myth, the year with most major hurricanes was not 2005, but 1950, when there were eight.
To have four, as we have so far had this year, is not in the slightest unusual. In fact, there have been 27 years on the record, when there has been four or more major hurricanes.
But are hurricanes getting more powerful?
Well, not according to the ACE index (1), which shows hurricane seasons in the past every bit as strong as the past couple of decades.
According to The Times, another of the paper’s authors, Michael Grubb, a professor of international energy and climate change at University College London, admitted his earlier forecasting models had overplayed how temperatures would rise.
At the Paris climate summit in 2015, Professor Grubb said: “All the evidence from the past 15 years leads me to conclude that actually delivering 1.5C is simply incompatible with democracy.” [Emphasis added.]
STEVEN HAYWARD: "A revealing slip of the mask, no? And what a disappointment that the climatistas will still have to put up with elections and the people and such. Authoritarianism is so much more fun."