Pielke Jr. Key Points: "The U.S. has not yet begun its journey towards net-zero carbon dioxide, whether by 2050 or any other year. None of the proposals put forward by Democratic candidates for president are plausible. This battle has yet to be joined."
"Carbon dioxide emissions reductions in the United States since 2005 are largely the result of the displacement of coal, which is very carbon intensive, by natural gas. Consider that U.S. fossil fuel consumption was just about the same in 1999 and 2018, but carbon dioxide emissions were about 550 million metric tonnes more in 1999 than in 2018. This decrease represents the effects of natural gas displacing coal, but not any less reliance on fossil fuels."
"The evidence indicates that none of the increase in renewables deployment has actually replaced any fossil fuel consumption. U.S. fossil fuel consumption has continued to increase. In the decade following the 2009 financial crisis, carbon-free consumption increased by about 75 mtoe, but fossil fuel consumption also increased by about 75 mtoe. The notable addition of renewables to the U.S. energy mix has all been additive – it has not displaced any fossil fuels."
"The United States saw its carbon dioxide emissions drop by almost 14% from 2005 to 2018, as you can see in the figure below, according to data from BP. As a base year for comparison, 2005 is often selected because it was the year in which U.S. carbon dioxide emissions peaked. Over that same time period carbon-free energy– from nuclear, hydro and renewables – increased its role in energy consumption from 11.6% to 15.7%."
"The U.S. experience shows how a focus on emissions can mislead. Even though emissions dropped from 1999 to 2018, the U.S. is no closer to net-zero carbon dioxide because total fossil fuel consumption is unchanged."
"During the Obama administration, fossil fuel consumption dropped by about 100 mtoe, while renewables increased by about 60 mtoe. It might have seemed that carbon-free energy displaced fossil fuels during this period, but again, the overwhelming factor influencing energy outcomes appears to be the 2009 financial crisis."
Ben Pile: "In the apocryphal 'war footing', sheer necessity created a kind of social cohesion, in which everyone was united in purpose, nobody demanded anything, everyone gratefully accepted the little that was due to them. It is a misty-eyed, toffee box rendering of grotesque hardships."
"A social order based around scarcity is obedient. Authority subsists in the management of scarcity."
Paul Homewood: "While Michael Mann makes a big play about the five Cat 5s since 2016, he forgets to mention that there were none at all between 2008 and 2015.It is not uncommon to have two such storms in the same year, as we did two years ago with Irma and Maria. The same thing happened in successive years in 1932 and 1933. And there were six Cat 5s altogether in the 1930s, compared to five since 2010...[But] How many Cat 5s were missed in the pre-satellite period?"
Leading hurricane researcher Chris Landsea, of NOAA’s National Hurricane Center, found in his 2012 study in the journal of the American Meteorological Society: "The present study focuses on the 10 most recent Category 5 hurricanes recorded in the Atlantic, from Hurricane Andrew (1992) through Hurricane Felix (2007). These 10 hurricanes are placed into the context of the technology available in the period of 1944–53, the first decade of aircraft reconnaissance. A methodology is created to determine how many of these 10 recent Category 5 hurricanes likely would have been recorded as Category 5 if they had occurred during this period using only the observations that likely would have been available with existing technology and observational networks..."
“It is found that likely only 2 of these 10—both Category 5 landfalling hurricanes—would have been recorded as Category 5 hurricanes if they had occurred during the late-1940s period.”
NASA's caption: "As of August 16, 2019, satellite observations indicated that total fire activity in the Amazon basin was slightly below average in comparison to the past 15 years. Though activity has been above average in Amazonas and to a lesser extent in Rondônia, it has been below average in Mato Grosso and Pará, according to the Global Fire Emissions Database"
Fellow Skeptic Steven Hayward of the Powerline Blog wrote: "Marc Morano is number one" and added: “Morano is truly the Pete Rose and Hank Aaron of climate contrarians."
Warmist Randy Olson commented on the study: "Does climate community realize Marc Morano is most prolific voice of skepticism by a looooong way? He has 35% more articles than any others. There should be an Institute for the Study of Morano."
Olson added: "In 2007, I had climate “contrarian” Marc Morano in my movie "Sizzle", In 2010, I warned of his media savvy, today he is a Fox News regular & most prolific skeptic in this new article."
CFACT's Craig Rucker: "While the study’s goal is severely off base, it nonetheless produced two mathematical rankings CFACT is more than a little tickled by. According to a ranking of how often “contrarians,” as the study labels us, are cited in the media, CFACT’s Marc Morano is far and away the world’s most effective climate communicator."
The journal Nature Communications study: "Prominent climate change contrarians (CCCs) and scientists (CCSs) in the media...In the new research, Petersen and colleagues looked at 386 prominent climate deniers and 386 climate scientists. They looked at 200,000 scientific journals and 100,000 media articles—from both traditional and new formats.
CFACT excerpt: Marc Morano is number one, with 4,171 media references, nearly double Senator James Inhofe’s 2,628 and Secretary Rick Perry’s 1,903. Marc appeared in many multiples of media references compared to anyone else as you proceed down the rankings.