Links tagged “ehrlich”
- Analysis: ‘How the Myth of the Population Bomb Was Born’ – ‘Modern origins on neo-Malthusianism’ – By Roger Pielke Jr.
- POPULATION BOMB! Reuters Cries Overpopulation Making ‘Climate Justice’ Harder
- 9 Past (Failed) Climate Change Forecasts
- Suddenly, ‘The Population Bomb’ Is a Population Bust – ‘Overpopulation hysteria was to the 1960s, ’70s and ’80s what climate hysteria is today’
- UK Guardian: World ‘grappling with shrinking populations’ – ‘As the global family shrinks, migrants & the planet benefit’ – US birthrate drop to lowest level in 4 decades & China population drops for 1st time since 1950s famine
UK Guardian: "Census data from the US released last week showed the number of babies born in the country in 2020 dropped to the lowest level in more than four decades. The same day, Japan marked Children’s Day by announcing that the number of under-14s in the country had fallen for the 40th consecutive year to a record low." ... "It is not just in the rich world that the appetite for having children is falling. Also in 2020, China may have recorded its first overall population decline since a catastrophic famine in the late 1950s, the Financial Times has reported." ...
"Last century, the global demographic panic was about an overpopulated world running out of food. Those fears have long looked out of date, but it is only recently that we have understood how soon much of the world may be grappling with shrinking populations. ... An end to global population growth could have advantages, including relieving pressure on our battered environment, particularly if the decline is centred in carbon-intensive wealthier economies."
- Analysis: How Anti-Humanism Is Gaining Ground – Belief that ‘a world without humans…would eventually revert to a pollution-free paradise with abundant natural resources’
- BBC: Fertility rate: ‘Jaw-dropping’ global crash in children being born – ‘Nearly every country could have shrinking populations by the end of the century’
- World population in 2100 could be 2 billion below UN forecasts, study suggests
Such a fall would remove some of the projected strain on natural resources but would present governments with stark policy choices over migration and the economy. The world’s population will peak at 9.7 billion in 2064 and decline to 8.8 billion by the end of the century, according to research led by the University of Washington in the US and published in the Lancet. It says some countries, including Japan, Spain and Italy, will see their populations halve, while sub-Saharan Africa’s population will triple in the next 80 years. ...
The number of older people will overtake the young, with 2.4 billion people over the age of 65 forecast by 2100, compared with 1.7 billion under the age of 20. The major factors in shrinking the population are widening access to contraception and improvements in educating women and girls. If those trends are curtailed, higher growth will ensue.
- Paul Ehrlich should be cheering: US Birth Rates Continue To Fall To Record Low Rates As Millennials Put Off Having Kids. Coronavirus Could Exacerbate The Decline
Federal figures released Wednesday show that women in the U.S. had babies record-low rates in 2019, causing the number of U.S. births to reach the smallest number in 35 years. The data demonstrates that birth rates in the U.S. have not rebounded since the 2007-2009 recession when childbearing began declining. U.S. women gave birth to about 3.75 million babies in 2019, a number which is down 1% from 2018, the WSJ reports from Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s National Center for Health Statistics figures. CDC data show that fertility rates fell 2% — 58.2 births per 1,000 women between the ages of 15 and 44 — reaching the lowest levels since the government began tracking this data in 1909, the publication reports.
- Paul Ehrlich on COVID: ‘We desperately need a national shutdown, and ordered from the top’ – Also admits it was ‘mistake’ to put in ‘scenarios’ (predictions) in his ‘Population Bomb’ book
Paul Ehrlich: "I don't know a single person, virologist, epidemiologist on -- I know a lot of them -- I trust them all. Everybody says the same thing. We desperately need a national shutdown, and ordered from the top."
Ehrlich on his book: "The worst mistake we made was to put in scenarios. which are little stories to help you think about the future. But every reviewer treated them as if they were predictions. And I would not do that again."
Ehrlich: "Even people as smart as Obama won't say we have too many people, we are growing too fast."
"I don't think there is a chance in hell that we will get the changes we need to keep civilization going. I hate to tell you that. But I don't see any sign. I can't be optimistic." - "I had great hopes I would die before the collapse really got going, but I missed. The smartest thing I ever did was to be born in 1932."
"If you think the health problems of this virus pandemic are serious. They are nothing, absolutely nothing, compared to the health threat of climate change. There is no chance as far as we can tell that this particular coronavirus will kill everybody, but climate disruption can kill everybody. And we have very little time to act. And instead of acting in the right direction, this moronic imbecile (Trump) is working very hard to kill Americans and other human beings in the future for his personal gain and profit."
