Search Results for “Earth cooling”

The COOLER Trump: Earth Cooling Fastest In A Century – Since Trump Took Office

May 17, 2018

https://realclimatescience.com/2018/05/earth-cooling-fastest-in-a-century-since-trump-took-office/ by tonyheller Earth has cooled 0.54C since the year Donald Trump got elected. That is the fastest 24 month cooling since 1916. www.woodfortrees.org/data/gistemp Last year, scientists said Earth was record hot and it was Donald Trump’s fault. But they had it backwards. The prior warming was Obama’s fault, as Trump wasn’t in office yet. The cooling since 2016 is under Trump’s watch.

Flashback 1974: Earth cooling temps have ‘reduced growing season in…breadbasket by about a week’

October 11, 2016

Watch: In 2023, CBS ’60 Minutes’ Promotes Paul Ehrlich Warning of Doom for Earth- But in 1970s, Ehrlich Claimed Billions Would Die From Global Cooling

January 3, 2023

https://michaelshellenberger.substack.com/p/cbs-60-minutes-promotes-scientist?utm_source=post-email-title&publication_id=279400&post_id=94486650&isFreemail=true&utm_medium=email By Michael Shellenberger On Sunday night, CBS’s flagship news program, “60 Minutes,” highlighted warnings from a Stanford University biologist named Paul Ehrlich. In the broadcast, Ehrlich claimed, “humanity is not sustainable… for the entire planet, you’d need five more Earths.” But that claim was debunked in the peer-reviewed scientific journal, Plos Biology, by leading scientists, including the Chief Scientist of The Nature Conservancy, nearly a decade ago. And newly-available archival footage shows Ehrlich claiming that global cooling, not global warming, would result in global famine.

Cut down more trees to save Earth from ‘global warming?! DEFORESTATION COULD BE COOLING THE PLANET DOWN, SAY SCIENTISTS

February 20, 2021

https://www.euronews.com/living/2021/02/17/deforestation-could-be-cooling-the-planet-down-say-scientists More trees do not make for a cooler planet, according to a new study in the US. One environmental scientist argues that deforestation is not always harmful for the planet. Christopher A. Williams, a professor at Clark University’s Graduate School of Geography (Worcester, Massachusetts), says that instead of warming up the Earth, deforestation can actually cool it down. But some experts are concerned that Williams’ work is likely to be misconstrued as permission to continue deforesting, which is not his intention. It’s widely accepted that our existing forests are vital carbon sinks, and the best course of action is to stop deforestation, while rewilding and reforesting areas already lost. Deforestation contributes to climate change, can cause wildfires, desertification, soil erosion and most of all – releases huge amounts of carbon dioxide which causes global warming. But there’s that word – ‘warming’. While the above may be true, Williams’ new research argues that there are two factors we are not acknowledging: the significance of location and something known as ‘the albedo effect’. WHAT IS ‘THE ALBEDO EFFECT’? Put simply, ‘the albedo effect’ is the process in which forests retain heat. Forests tend to be darker than other surfaces, which means they absorb more sunlight and hold onto heat, explains Williams. As a result, some scientists believe that deforestation gets rid of unwanted heat which is contributing to global warming. “We found that in some parts of the country like the Intermountain West, more forest actually leads to a hotter planet when we consider the full climate impacts from both carbon and albedo effects,” says Professor Williams. He adds that it is important to consider the albedo effect of forests alongside their well-known carbon storage when aiming to cool the planet. The research team used state-of-the-art satellite remote sensing to bring an “observational perspective” to a problem that had previously been assessed mostly with computer models. They pinpointed the locations of forest loss and identified what those sites had become – urban, agricultural, grassland, shrubland, pasture, or something else. This is how they determined what impact deforestation had on the climate system. So what did they find? The team discovered that for approximately one quarter of the US, forest loss causes a persistent net cooling because the albedo effect outweighs the carbon effect. Studies like ours can help identify where the potential for cooling is greatest. Professor Christopher A. Williams But there was a second factor at play too – location. “It is all about putting the right trees in the right place,” explains Williams, “and studies like ours can help identify where the potential for cooling is greatest.” For instance, loss of forests east of the Mississippi River caused planetary warming, while forest loss in the Intermountain and Rocky Mountain West led to a net cooling. Lab grown wood could mean no more deforestation, say scientists SHOULD WE STOP PLANTING TREES? Planting trees does a lot of good for the environment, by sequestering carbon in our atmosphere. But Williams warns that going about planting trees willy nilly could actually have the opposite effect on the planet. “If we fail to consider both the carbon and the albedo effects, large-scale tree-planting initiatives, such as Canada’s 2Billion Trees Initiative and The Nature Conservancy’s Plant a Billion Trees campaign, could end up placing trees in locations that are counterproductive for cooling the climate system,” he says. But NGOs such as Cool Earth exist to protect endangered rainforest and work alongside Indigenous communities who call it home. According to the the charity, “we depend upon the rainforest for everything,” it provides us with a fifth of all freshwater and is the best carbon capture and storage technology we have. “Keeping rainforest standing is the simplest and cheapest way to mitigate climate change,” Cool Earth advocates. It is one of the “most effective actions we can take to tackle climate breakdown.” For Williams, expanding forest cover cannot be assumed to cool the planet and this is something scientists have known for a while, he says. This has not always been appreciated broadly. The team at Clark University hopes to continue researching the topic and will help ensure that tree-planting efforts are focused in the right places in future. # More trees do not always create a cooler planet, study shows Researchers find some U.S. forests add to global warming Date: February 12, 2021 Source: Clark University Summary: New research by an environmental scientist reveals that deforestation in the U.S. does not always cause planetary warming, as is commonly assumed; instead, in some places, it actually cools the planet. Share: FULL STORY New research by Christopher A. Williams, an environmental scientist and professor in Clark University’s Graduate School of Geography, reveals that deforestation in the U.S. does not always cause planetary warming, as is commonly assumed; instead, in some places, it actually cools the planet. A peer-reviewed study by Williams and his team, “Climate Impacts of U.S. Forest Loss Span Net Warming to Net Cooling,” published Feb. 12 in Science Advances. The team’s discovery has important implications for policy and management efforts that are turning to forests to mitigate climate change. It is well established that forests soak up carbon dioxide from the air and store it in wood and soils, slowing the accumulation of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere; however, that is not their only effect on climate. Forests also tend to be darker than other surfaces, said Professor Williams, causing them to absorb more sunlight and retain heat, a process known as “the albedo effect.” “We found that in some parts of the country like the Intermountain West, more forest actually leads to a hotter planet when we consider the full climate impacts from both carbon and albedo effects,” said Professor Williams. It is important to consider the albedo effect of forests alongside their well-known carbon storage when aiming to cool the planet, he adds. The research was funded by two grants from NASA’s Carbon Monitoring System. Williams and his research team — comprising data scientist Huan Gu, Ph.D. from The Climate Corporation and Tong Jiao, Ph.D. — found that for approximately one quarter of the country, forest loss causes a persistent net cooling because the albedo effect outweighs the carbon effect. They also discovered that loss of forests east of the Mississippi River and in Pacific Coast states caused planetary warming, while forest loss in the Intermountain and Rocky Mountain West tended to lead to a net cooling. According to Professor Williams, scientists have known for some time that expanding forest cover cannot be assumed to cool the planet or to mitigate global warming. However, this has not always been appreciated broadly. “If we fail to consider both the carbon and the albedo effects, large-scale tree-planting initiatives, such as Canada’s 2Billion Trees Initiative and The Nature Conservancy’s Plant a Billion Trees campaign, could end up placing trees in locations that are counterproductive for cooling the climate system,” said Professor Williams. “It is all about putting the right trees in the right place,” said Williams, “and studies like ours can help identify where the potential for cooling is greatest.” Every year, approximately one million acres of forest are being converted to non-forest areas across the lower 48 states of the U.S.; this is largely due to suburban and exurban expansion and development. Professor Williams’ team found that the net climate impact of a full 15 years of forest losses amounts to about 17% of a single year of U.S. fossil fuel emissions. Williams’ research team used state-of-the-art satellite remote sensing to bring a detailed, observational perspective to examine this problem that had previously been assessed mostly with computer models. The three researchers pinpointed the locations of forest loss and identified what those sites became — urban, agricultural, grassland, shrubland, pasture, or something else. They then quantified how much forest biomass carbon was released to the atmosphere, and how much additional sunlight was reflected out to space. By comparing these two effects they measured the net impact of deforestation on the climate system. The new datasets and methods used in Professor Williams’ study show that the tools are available to take the albedo effect into account. The Clark team hopes to generate actionable datasets to share with land managers and policymakers worldwide within the next one or two years, to help ensure that their tree-planting efforts focus on the right places and have the intended effects. make a difference: sponsored opportunity Story Source: Materials provided by Clark University. Note: Content may be edited for style and length. Journal Reference: Christopher A. Williams, Huan Gu, Tong Jiao. Climate impacts of U.S. forest loss span net warming to net cooling. Science Advances, 2021; 7 (7): eaax8859 DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.aax8859 # https://www.rt.com/news/515487-deforestation-can-cool-earth/ Deforestation actually COOLS parts of the US, says bombshell new report from NASA Startling new NASA-funded research indicates that, contrary to popular wisdom, deforestation in the US does not always cause planetary warming and may, in fact, cool the climate, depending on the area involved. The bombshell research was led by Christopher A. Williams, an environmental scientist and professor in Clark University’s Graduate School of Geography. The peer-reviewed study will likely have far-reaching implications for policy and land management efforts across the US and beyond. Using state-of-the-art satellite remote sensing, as opposed to computer models as was the case in many previous studies, Williams and his team examined what uses various deforested areas were repurposed for (urban, agricultural, grassland etc.) and quantified how much biomass carbon was released into the atmosphere as a result. They then calculated how much additional sunlight would be reflected back out into space as a result, depending on the particular change in landscape. # https://www.indiatimes.com/technology/science-and-future/trees-impact-on-global-warming-albedo-effect-study-534432.html More Trees May Add To Global Warming Than Help Reduce It, Says Study We often read that to combat climate change and global warming, one needs to planet trees to enable more conversion of carbon dioxide into oxygen and help make the planet colder. However, now researchers have found that having too much of a dense cover also contributes to more absorption of sunlight which in-turn contributes to the warming of the planet’s temperature. This, according to the researchers is called the ‘albedo effect’. This is according to a study published in Science Advances. They discovered that for approximately one-fourth of the US, forest loss causes a persistent net cooling because the albedo effect outweighs the carbon effect. They also found that loss of forests near the Mississippi River and on the Pacific Coast have contributed to planetary warming, while forest loss in the Intermountain and Rocky Mountain West has actually contributed to the cooling of the planet. Researchers used a state-of-the-art satellite remote sensing to populate a detailed, observational perspective in order to examine the issue. Researchers looked at locations of forest loss and find out what those sites turned into — either an urban area, agricultural area, grassland, shrubland pasture etc. Post this, they quantified the amount of biomass released in the atmosphere and how much sunlight was reflected. Looking at these two effects, they calculated the net impact of deforestation on climate change. # Related Links: Settled Science?! Trees both cause & solve ‘global warming’?! – GOP climate pandering seeks to plant billions of trees GOP climate bill will seek to commit US to planting 3.3 billion trees annually Plant or not plant trees to fight “global warming?! It’s all so confusing! This is what the (allegedly) settled science says: CBS News: Planting a trillion trees could be the “most effective solution” to climate change, 2018 study says – Christian Science Monitor: Why planting some trees could make global warming worse – 2016 Live Science: Want to Fight Climate Change? Plant 1 Trillion Trees – 2019 Discover Mag: We Can’t Just Plant Billions of Trees to Stop Climate Change – 2019 AP: Best way to fight climate change? Plant a trillion trees – 2019 Climate News Network: Planting trees will not slow global warming – 2017 Update: BBC: Climate change: Planting new forests ‘can do more harm than good’

Oceans Cooling May 2020 – ‘Earth’s ocean cooling off after last summer’s warming in the Northern Hemisphere’

June 11, 2020

https://rclutz.wordpress.com/2020/06/11/oceans-cooling-may-2020/ by Ron Clutz The best context for understanding decadal temperature changes comes from the world’s sea surface temperatures (SST), for several reasons: The ocean covers 71% of the globe and drives average temperatures; SSTs have a constant water content, (unlike air temperatures), so give a better reading of heat content variations; A major El Nino was the dominant climate feature in recent years. HadSST is generally regarded as the best of the global SST data sets, and so the temperature story here comes from that source, the latest version being HadSST3. More on what distinguishes HadSST3 from other SST products at the end. The Current Context The cool 2020 Spring is not just your local experience, it’s the result of Earth’s ocean cooling off after last summer’s warming in the Northern Hemisphere. The chart below shows SST monthly anomalies as reported in HadSST3 starting in 2015 through May 2020. A global cooling pattern is seen clearly in the Tropics since its peak in 2016, joined by NH and SH cycling downward since 2016. In 2019 all regions had been converging to reach nearly the same value in April. Then NH rose exceptionally by almost 0.5C over the four summer months, in August exceeding previous summer peaks in NH since 2015. In the 4 succeeding months, that warm NH pulse has reversed sharply. May NH anomaly is up a little from March but matching last November. SH and Tropics SSTs bumped upward in March, but dropped sharply since. In May the Global anomaly is the same as December 2019. Note that higher temps in 2015 and 2016 were first of all due to a sharp rise in Tropical SST, beginning in March 2015, peaking in January 2016, and steadily declining back below its beginning level. Secondly, the Northern Hemisphere added three bumps on the shoulders of Tropical warming, with peaks in August of each year. A fourth NH bump was lower and peaked in September 2018. As noted above, a fifth peak in August 2019 exceeded the four previous upward bumps in NH. And as before, note that the global release of heat was not dramatic, due to the Southern Hemisphere offsetting the Northern one. The major difference between now and 2015-2016 is the absence of Tropical warming driving the SSTs. A longer view of SSTs The graph below is noisy, but the density is needed to see the seasonal patterns in the oceanic fluctuations. Previous posts focused on the rise and fall of the last El Nino starting in 2015. This post adds a longer view, encompassing the significant 1998 El Nino and since. The color schemes are retained for Global, Tropics, NH and SH anomalies. Despite the longer time frame, I have kept the monthly data (rather than yearly averages) because of interesting shifts between January and July. To enlarge open image in new tab. 1995 is a reasonable (ENSO neutral) starting point prior to the first El Nino. The sharp Tropical rise peaking in 1998 is dominant in the record, starting Jan. ’97 to pull up SSTs uniformly before returning to the same level Jan. ’99. For the next 2 years, the Tropics stayed down, and the world’s oceans held steady around 0.2C above 1961 to 1990 average. Then comes a steady rise over two years to a lesser peak Jan. 2003, but again uniformly pulling all oceans up around 0.4C. Something changes at this point, with more hemispheric divergence than before. Over the 4 years until Jan 2007, the Tropics go through ups and downs, NH a series of ups and SH mostly downs. As a result the Global average fluctuates around that same 0.4C, which also turns out to be the average for the entire record since 1995. 2007 stands out with a sharp drop in temperatures so that Jan.08 matches the low in Jan. ’99, but starting from a lower high. The oceans all decline as well, until temps build peaking in 2010. Now again a different pattern appears. The Tropics cool sharply to Jan 11, then rise steadily for 4 years to Jan 15, at which point the most recent major El Nino takes off. But this time in contrast to ’97-’99, the Northern Hemisphere produces peaks every summer pulling up the Global average. In fact, these NH peaks appear every July starting in 2003, growing stronger to produce 3 massive highs in 2014, 15 and 16. NH July 2017 was only slightly lower, and a fifth NH peak still lower in Sept. 2018. The highest summer NH peak came in 2019, only this time the Tropics and SH are offsetting rather adding to the warming. Since 2014 SH has played a moderating role, offsetting the NH warming pulses. Now in January 2020 last summer’s unusually high NH SSTs have been erased. (Note: these are high anomalies on top of the highest absolute temps in the NH.) What to make of all this? The patterns suggest that in addition to El Ninos in the Pacific driving the Tropic SSTs, something else is going on in the NH. The obvious culprit is the North Atlantic, since I have seen this sort of pulsing before. After reading some papers by David Dilley, I confirmed his observation of Atlantic pulses into the Arctic every 8 to 10 years. But the peaks coming nearly every summer in HadSST require a different picture. Let’s look at August, the hottest month in the North Atlantic from the Kaplan dataset. The AMO Index is from from Kaplan SST v2, the unaltered and not detrended dataset. By definition, the data are monthly average SSTs interpolated to a 5×5 grid over the North Atlantic basically 0 to 70N. The graph shows warming began after 1992 up to 1998, with a series of matching years since. Because the N. Atlantic has partnered with the Pacific ENSO recently, let’s take a closer look at some AMO years in the last 2 decades. This graph shows monthly AMO temps for some important years. The Peak years were 1998, 2010 and 2016, with the latter emphasized as the most recent. The other years show lesser warming, with 2007 emphasized as the coolest in the last 20 years. Note the red 2018 line is at the bottom of all these tracks. The black line shows that 2020 began slightly warm, then set records for 3 months before dropping below 2016 and 2017. Summary The oceans are driving the warming this century. SSTs took a step up with the 1998 El Nino and have stayed there with help from the North Atlantic, and more recently the Pacific northern “Blob.” The ocean surfaces are releasing a lot of energy, warming the air, but eventually will have a cooling effect. The decline after 1937 was rapid by comparison, so one wonders: How long can the oceans keep this up? If the pattern of recent years continues, NH SST anomalies may rise slightly in coming months, but once again, ENSO which has weakened will probably determine the outcome. Footnote: Why Rely on HadSST3 HadSST3 is distinguished from other SST products because HadCRU (Hadley Climatic Research Unit) does not engage in SST interpolation, i.e. infilling estimated anomalies into grid cells lacking sufficient sampling in a given month. From reading the documentation and from queries to Met Office, this is their procedure. HadSST3 imports data from gridcells containing ocean, excluding land cells. From past records, they have calculated daily and monthly average readings for each grid cell for the period 1961 to 1990. Those temperatures form the baseline from which anomalies are calculated. In a given month, each gridcell with sufficient sampling is averaged for the month and then the baseline value for that cell and that month is subtracted, resulting in the monthly anomaly for that cell. All cells with monthly anomalies are averaged to produce global, hemispheric and tropical anomalies for the month, based on the cells in those locations. For example, Tropics averages include ocean grid cells lying between latitudes 20N and 20S. Gridcells lacking sufficient sampling that month are left out of the averaging, and the uncertainty from such missing data is estimated. IMO that is more reasonable than inventing data to infill. And it seems that the Global Drifter Array displayed in the top image is providing more uniform coverage of the oceans than in the past. USS Pearl Harbor deploys Global Drifter Buoys in Pacific Ocean

NYT reveals how Trump administration was duped into promoting planting trees as a climate ‘solution’ – Meanwhile, even UN IPCC and journal Nature ‘find that global-scale deforestation has a net cooling influence on Earth’s climate’

February 12, 2020

https://junkscience.com/2020/02/new-york-times-drive-by-libel-of-milloy-fails/ By Steve Milloy The New York Times libeled me this morning. But you decide who is lying. Here is today’s New York Times article (online Feb. 12, in print Feb. 13) about how President Trump was talked into into the Trillion Tree Initiative. The NYTimes reports: Past the fact that nothing I have stated about climate has been falsified by anyone, there is this overarching irony about the NYTimes article. The article and Trillion Tree Initiative are based on the notion that planting trees is some sort of climate “solution.” But readers of JunkScience know that this is false. And you don’t have to take my word for it — take the IPCC’s. Check out this IPCC report from August 2019. The chart below (from Chapter 2) shows that deforestation in the Northern Hemisphere has a cooling effect — or that afforestation/reforestation in the Northern Hemisphere has a net warming effect (due to decreased albedo). That is, trees darken the Earth’s surface so as to absorb more solar UV (vs. lighter surfaces that reflect more UV), resulting in more infrared radiation being re-radiated into the atmosphere to be trapped by greenhouse gases. That’s right… trees cause global warming. This has been known for some time. I first wrote about it in a FOXNews.com column in 2007 based on a study in Nature. (Nature study except: “We find that global-scale deforestation has a net cooling influence on Earth’s climate, because the warming carbon-cycle effects of deforestation are overwhelmed by the net cooling associated with changes in albedo and evapotranspiration.“) So, NYTimes, who is peddling false theories now?

Chinese scientists warn of global cooling trick up nature’s sleeve – ‘Impact of the Sun on Earth’s climate may be greater than previously thought’

August 13, 2019

https://mailchi.mp/cc738f49f986/chinese-scientists-warn-of-global-cooling-impact-of-solar-activity?e=f4e33fdd1e GWPF Newsletter 13/08/19 Chinese Scientists Warn Of Global Cooling, Impact Of Solar Activity British Farmers Accuse News Media Of Climate Alarmism A new study has found winters in northern China have been warming since 4,000BC – regardless of human activity – but the mainland scientists behind the research warn there is no room for complacency or inaction on climate change, with the prospect of a sudden global cooling also posing a danger. –Stephen Chen, South China Morning Post, 11 August 2019 Their findings confirmed an earlier study by a separate team of Chinese scientists, published by online journal Scientific Reports in 2014, which first detected the 500-year cyclical pattern of China’s summer monsoons and linked it to solar activity. Wu said the latest study, with 10,000 years’ worth of new data, not only helped to draw a more complete picture of the 500-year cycle, but also revealed a previously unknown mechanism behind the phenomenon, which suggested the impact of the sun on the Earth’s climate may be greater than previously thought. –Stephen Chen, South China Morning Post, 11 August 2019 1) Chinese Scientists Warn Of Global Cooling, Impact Of Solar Activity South China Morning Post, 11 August 2019 2) Germany To Abandon Fiscal Prudence To Save Its Shambolic Climate Policy Reuters, 8 August 2019 3) British Farmers Accuse News Media Of Climate Alarmism AgriLand, 10 August 2019 4) Australia’s Energy Regulator Sues Four Wind Farm Operators Over Blackout Energy Live News, 8 August 2019 5) Fury at Blackout That Brought Britain Nearly To Its Knees Mail Online, 10 August 2019 6) Against Censorship: The Climate Story Forbes Doesn’t Want You To Read Global Warming Policy Forum, 9 August 2019 7) Kathy Gyngell: An Expensive Taste Of Zero-Carbon Future The Conservative Woman, 12 August 2019 8) Meet the BBC’s Anti-Meat Activist & His Fellow Eco-Zealots Charles Moore, The Daily Telegraph, 10 August 2019 9) Under The Bottom Line: First British University Bans Meat, Others Likely To Adopt Climate Cult The Guardian, 12 August 2019 1) Chinese Scientists Warn Of Global Cooling, Impact Of Solar Activity South China Morning Post, 11 August 2019 Research sheds light on 500-year Chinese climate cycle and suggests global cooling could be on the way. A team of Chinese researchers says a period of global cooling could be on the way, but the consequences will be serious. Photo: Xinhua A new study has found winters in northern China have been warming since 4,000BC – regardless of human activity – but the mainland scientists behind the research warn there is no room for complacency or inaction on climate change, with the prospect of a sudden global cooling also posing a danger. The study found that winds from Arctic Siberia have been growing weaker, the conifer tree line has been retreating north, and there has been a steady rise in biodiversity in a general warming trend that continues today. It appears to have little to do with the increase in greenhouse gases which began with the industrial revolution, according to the researchers. Lead scientist Dr Wu Jing, from the Key Laboratory of Cenozoic Geology and Environment at the Institute of Geology and Geophysics, part of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, said the study had found no evidence of human influence on northern China’s warming winters. “Driving forces include the sun, the atmosphere, and its interaction with the ocean,” Wu said. “We have detected no evidence of human influence. But that doesn’t mean we can just relax and do nothing.” Moon Lake, a small volcanic lake hidden in the deep forest of China’s Greater Khingan Mountain Range, where a team of scientists spent more than a decade studying the secrets hidden in its sediments. Photo: Baidu Wu and her colleagues are concerned that, as societies grow more used to the concept of global warming, people will develop a misplaced confidence in our ability to control climate change. Nature, they warned, may trick us and might catch us totally unprepared – causing chaos, panic, famine and even wars as the global climate system is disrupted. There are already alarming signs, according to their paper, which has been accepted for publication by the online Journal of Geophysical Research: Atmospheres. Wu and her colleagues spent more than a dozen years studying sediments under Moon Lake, a small volcanic lake hidden in the deep forests of the Greater Khingan Mountain Range in China’s Inner Mongolia autonomous region. They found that winter warming over the past 6,000 years had not been a smooth ride, with ups and downs occurring about every 500 years. Their findings confirmed an earlier study by a separate team of Chinese scientists, published by online journal Scientific Reports in 2014, which first detected the 500-year cyclical pattern of China’s summer monsoons and linked it to solar activity. The 2014 research, which drew on 5,000 years’ worth of data, suggested the current warm phase of the cycle could terminate over the next several decades, ushering in a 250-year cool phase, potentially leading to a partial slowdown in man-made global warming. Wu said the latest study, with 10,000 years’ worth of new data, not only helped to draw a more complete picture of the 500-year cycle, but also revealed a previously unknown mechanism behind the phenomenon, which suggested the impact of the sun on the Earth’s climate may be greater than previously thought. According to Wu, the variation in solar activity alone was usually not strong enough to induce the rapid changes in vegetation the research team recorded in the sediment cores of Moon Lake. Instead, the scientists found the warming impact was amplified by a massive, random interaction between surface seawater and the atmosphere in the Pacific Ocean known as the El Nino-Southern Oscillation. As a result of the research findings, Wu said she was now more worried about cooling than warming. Full story 2) Germany To Abandon Fiscal Prudence To Save Its Shambolic Climate Policy Reuters, 8 August 2019 BERLIN (Reuters) – Germany is considering ditching its long-cherished balanced budget policy to help finance a costly climate protection program with new debt, a senior government official said. Chancellor Angela Merkel’s government has managed to raise public spending without incurring new debt since 2014 thanks to an unusually long growth cycle, record-high employment, buoyant tax revenues and the European Central Bank’s bond-buying plan. But as Germany’s borrowing costs sink to new lows almost daily and its economy cools in light of weaker foreign demand and bruising trade disputes, domestic and international calls are becoming louder to provide extra fiscal stimulus by running a small deficit again. “The challenge now is how to shape such a fundamental shift in fiscal policy without opening the floodgates for the federal budget,” the official, with knowledge of internal discussions in the finance ministry, told Reuters on condition of anonymity. “Because once it is clear that new debt is no longer taboo, everyone raises a hand and wants more money.” For that reason, Berlin would link and limit any new debt strictly to the climate protection package that Merkel’s cabinet is expected to seal next month, the official said. Merkel’s coalition government wants to cushion the effects of a planned exit from coal over the next two decades by pouring at least 40 billion euros ($45 billion) into affected regions and help them manage the shift away from fossil fuels. Full story 3) British Farmers Accuse News Media Of Climate Alarmism AgriLand, 10 August 2019 National Farmers’ Union president Minette Batters has accused the British media of “inflating” the findings of a report by published this week by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). The IPCC report on land use across the world and its impact on the climate concluded that better land management and dietary changes were needed. However, NFU president Minette Batters said it was “frustrating” that some media outlets had inferred this meant the panel was recommending meat to be cut out altogether. “Having gone through the report in detail, it is clear that the IPCC recognises the important role animal products play in a balanced diet,” Batters said. When produced sustainably in low greenhouse gas emission systems, these are actually part of the solution to climate change. “It is therefore incredibly frustrating to see this inflated within some part of the media to recommend a reduction of meat consumption in the UK. Full story 4) Australia’s Energy Regulator Sues Four Wind Farm Operators Over Blackout Energy Live News, 8 August 2019 Australia’s energy regulator is taking legal action against four wind farm operators over a state-wide blackout in South Australia in 2016. The Australian Energy Regulator (AER) is seeking compensation in court action from subsidiaries of AGL Energy, Neoen, Pacific Hydro and Tilt Renewables connected to an event on 28thSeptember 2016 when severe weather conditions led to significant damage to the transmission lines, causing power loss. Around 850,000 customers in South Australia did not have access to electricity on the day. The AER alleges the wind farm operators failed to ensure their power generating units complied with their performance standard requirement and provide automatic protection systems to ride through the system disturbances. Full story 5) Fury at Blackout That Brought Britain Nearly To Its Knees Mail Online, 10 August 2019 UK Government launches probe into mystery simultaneous failure of wind farm and gas-fired power station as officials insist there is ‘no evidence’ of a cyber attack Energy watchdog Ofgem has demanded an urgent report from National Grid after a major power cut yesterday caused travel chaos and cut electricity for almost one million people in England and Wales. Huge swathes of the country were left without power after two major generators failed yesterday afternoon within minutes of each other. The crisis began when a gas fired power station at Little Barford, Bedfordshire failed at 4.58pm, followed two minutes later by the Hornsea Offshore wind farm in the North Sea. A major review has been launched into the blackout but the National Grid is ‘confident’ that there was no ‘cyber attack’ on the system. Large swathes of the country were affected by power cuts yesterday including Bristol, Exeter and Newport. The capital was particularly badly affected, with the Victoria Line closed and King’s Cross evacuated Full story see also James Delingpole: Boris Johnson’s Looming Wind Disaster 6) Against Censorship: The Climate Story Forbes Doesn’t Want You To Read Global Warming Policy Forum, 9 August 2019 This is the story journalist Doron Levin wrote for Forbes about the scientific research by Professor Nir Shaviv and Professor Henrik Svensmark, two members of the GWPF’s Academic Advisory Council. The Forbes editor, however, doesn’t seem to like the piece and has therefore removed it from its website. We publish the censored story here for interested readers to make up their own minds about the research by Nir Shaviv and Henrik Svensmark. Global Warming? An Israeli Astrophysicist Provides Alternative View That Is Not Easy To Reject The U.S. auto industry and regulators in California and Washington appear deadlocked over stiff Obama-era fuel-efficiency standards that automakers oppose and the Trump administration have vowed to roll back – an initiative that has environmental activists up in arms. California and four automakers favor compromise, while the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) supports the president’s position that the federal standards are too strict. The EPA argues that forcing automakers to build more fuel efficient cars will make them less affordable, causing consumers to delay trading older, less efficient vehicles. Complicating matters is California’s authority to create its own air quality standards, which the White House vows to end. However the impasse is resolved, the moment looks ripe to revisit the root of this multifactorial dustup: namely, the scientific “consensus” that CO2 emissions from vehicles and other sources are pushing the earth to the brink of climate catastrophe. In a modest office on the campus of Jerusalem’s Hebrew University, an Israeli astrophysicist patiently explains why he is convinced that the near-unanimous judgments of climatologists are misguided. Nir Shaviv, chairman of the university’s physics department, says that his research and that of colleagues, suggests that rising CO2 levels, while hardly insignificant, play only a minor role compared to the influence of the sun and cosmic radiation on the earth’s climate. “Global warming clearly is a problem, though not in the catastrophic terms of Al Gore’s movies or environmental alarmists,” said Shaviv. “Climate change has existed forever and is unlikely to go away. But CO2 emissions don’t play the major role. Periodic solar activity does.” Shaviv, 47, fully comprehends that his scientific conclusions constitute a glaring rebuttal to the widely-quoted surveys showing that 97% of climate scientists agree that human activity – the combustion of fossil fuels – constitutes the principle reason for climate change. “Only people who don’t understand science take the 97% statistic seriously,” he said. “Survey results depend on who you ask, who answers and how the questions are worded. In any case, science is not a democracy. Even if 100% of scientists believe something, one person with good evidence can still be right.” Full uncensored post see also: Prof Nir Shaviv – Forbes Censored An Interview With Me Science Bits, 10 August 2019

Since Very Warm El Nino, Earth Just Had Two Years Of Record-Breaking Global Cooling

May 17, 2018

5/16/2018 Inconvenient Science: NASA data show that global temperatures dropped sharply over the past two years. Not that you’d know it, since that wasn’t deemed news. Does that make NASA a global warming denier? Writing in Real Clear Markets, Aaron Brown looked at the official NASA global temperature data and noticed something surprising. From February 2016 to February 2018, “global average temperatures dropped by 0.56 degrees Celsius.” That, he notes, is the biggest two-year drop in the past century. “The 2016-2018 Big Chill,” he writes, “was composed of two Little Chills, the biggest five month drop ever (February to June 2016) and the fourth biggest (February to June 2017). A similar event from February to June 2018 would bring global average temperatures below the 1980s average.” Isn’t this just the sort of man-bites-dog story that the mainstream media always says is newsworthy? In this case, it didn’t warrant any news coverage. In fact, in the three weeks since Real Clear Markets ran Brown’s story, no other news outlet picked up on it. They did, however, find time to report on such things as tourism’s impact on climate change, how global warming will generate more hurricanes this year, and threaten fish habitats, and make islands uninhabitable. They wrote about a UN official saying that “our window of time for addressing climate change is closing very quickly.” Reporters even found time to cover a group that says they want to carve President Trump’s face into a glacier to prove climate change “is happening.” In other words, the mainstream news covered stories that repeated what climate change advocates have been saying ad nauseam for decades. IBD Newsletters Get exclusive IBD analysis and action news daily. SIGN UP NOW! That’s not to say that a two-year stretch of cooling means that global warming is a hoax. Two years out of hundreds or thousands doesn’t necessarily mean anything. And there could be a reasonable explanation. But the drop in temperatures at least merits a “Hey, what’s going on here?” story. What’s more, journalists are perfectly willing to jump on any individual weather anomaly — or even a picture of a starving polar bear — as proof of global warming. (We haven’t seen any stories pinning Hawaii’s recent volcanic activity on global warming yet, but won’t be surprised if someone tries to make the connection.) We’ve noted this refusal to cover inconvenient scientific findings many times in this space over the years. Hiding The Evidence There was the study published in the American Meteorological Society’s Journal of Climate showing that climate models exaggerate global warming from CO2 emissions by as much as 45%. It was ignored. Then there was the study in the journal Nature Geoscience that found that climate models were faulty, and that, as one of the authors put it, “We haven’t seen that rapid acceleration in warming after 2000 that we see in the models.” Nor did the press see fit to report on findings from the University of Alabama-Huntsvilleshowing that the Earth’s atmosphere appears to be less sensitive to changing CO2 levels than previously assumed. How about the fact that the U.S. has cut CO2 emissions over the past 13 years faster than any other industrialized nation? Or that polar bear populations are increasing? Or that we haven’t seen any increase in violent weather in decades? Crickets. Reporters no doubt worry that covering such findings will only embolden “deniers” and undermine support for immediate, drastic action. But if fears of catastrophic climate change are warranted — which we seriously doubt — ignoring things like the rapid cooling in the past two years carries an even bigger risk. Suppose, Brown writes, the two-year cooling trend continues. “At some point the news will leak out that all global warming since 1980 has been wiped out in two and a half years, and that record-setting events went unreported.” He goes on: “Some people could go from uncritical acceptance of steadily rising temperatures to uncritical refusal to accept any warming at all.” Brown is right. News outlets should decide what gets covered based on its news value, not on whether it pushes an agenda. Otherwise, they’re doing the public a disservice and putting their own already shaky credibility at greater risk.

‘Rapid cooling’ underway: Big Drop In Earth’s June Temperatures According To Satellites

July 6, 2016

Via: https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2016/07/02/big-drop-in-june-temperatures-according-to-uah/ Second largest 2-month drop in global average satellite temperatures. Largest 2-month drop in tropical average satellite temperatures. NOTE: This is the fifteenth monthly update with our new Version 6.0 dataset. Differences versus the old Version 5.6 dataset are discussed here. Note we are now at “beta5” for Version 6, and the paper describing the methodology is still in peer review. The Version 6.0 global average lower tropospheric temperature (LT) anomaly for June, 2016 is +0.34 deg. C, down 0.21 deg. C from the May value of +0.55 deg. C (click for full size version): This gives a 2-month temperature fall of -0.37 deg. C, which is the second largest in the 37+ year satellite record…the largest was -0.43 deg. C in Feb. 1988. In the tropics, there was a record fast 2-month cooling of -0.56 deg. C, just edging out -0.55 deg. C in June 1998 (also an El Nino weakening year). The rapid cooling is from the weakening El Nino and approaching La Nina conditions by mid-summer or early fall. … With most models predicting La Nina conditions by the autumn, we can expect temperatures to tumble a lot further by the end of the year. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/enso_advisory/ Full report here: https://notalotofpeopleknowthat.wordpress.com/2016/07/02/big-drop-in-june-temperatures-according-to-uah/ # Related Links: 2013 Report: ‘Growing number of scientists are predicting global cooling‘ Flashback 1974: U.S. Government’s Top Climatologist Said ‘Global Cooling’ Threatened Us With ‘Severe Food Crisis’ Flashback 1974: ’60 theories have been advanced to explain the global cooling’ Flashback 1974: ‘Global cooling trend affects wacky weather’ – ‘Implications can only be described as disastrous’ Flashback 1974: CIA Warned GLOBAL COOLING Would Cause Terrorism Study: German Scientists Conclude 20th Century Warming ‘Nothing Unusual’ …Foresee ‘Global Cooling Until 2080?! The ‘Global Warming’ Pause Update: May 2016: 18 years, 9 months – ‘The Pause still refuses to go away, despite all expectations.’ Globe: The 12 month mean to May 2016 is +0.46C. The Pause is still an embarrassing reality! #

Earth rapidly cooling off thanks to now-dead El Nino – ‘Both satellite & NASA datasets show rapid cooling is underway’

June 15, 2016

With El Niño officially over, new data shared yesterday by NASA’s GISS shows the average surface temperature was 0.93 degrees Celsius (1.57°F) above average for May 2016, the first time in eight months that it was under one degree Celsius. Even the satellite temperature record released this month shows the global average temperature for May 2016 is 0.55 degrees Celsius (0.99°F) above the thirty-year average for that month, down 0.16 degrees Celsius (0.29°F) from last month. The satellite’s average global temperature is for the lower troposphere, which is the air from the ground to about four miles up (see slideshow). May 2016 Lower Troposphere as seen by satellites. Broken lines indicate areas that were cooler than seasonal norms. John Christy, University of Alabama/Huntsville View all5 photos NASA via Twitter In either case, both satellite and NASA datasets show that rapid cooling is underway now that the 2015-2016 El Niño episode is officially over. Experts now believe we are headed into a La Niña event based on historical precedents. With a La Niña comes cooler temperatures and less precipitation in many areas. NOAA is forecasting a 75 percent chance one will form by September. Dr. John Christy, who maintains and produces the satellite reports, shows the May anomaly map where much of the Earth is currently cooling off, even as we head into summer (see slideshow). Because of the strong, naturally occurring El Niño that spiked temperatures for the past eight months, the Northern Hemisphere experienced a much warmer winter while South America was inundated with rainfall.

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