Robert Bryce: ‘The Era Of Super Cheap Natural Gas Is Ending’ – ‘Soaring LNG exports & power demand for AI are driving up natural gas prices’

https://robertbryce.substack.com/p/the-era-of-super-cheap-natural-gas

By Robert Bryce

Excerpt:

Over the past 15 years or so, thanks to the shale revolution, American consumers have saved untold billions of dollars on gasoline, diesel fuel, and natural gas. The natural gas story is particularly significant. Since 2005, domestic natural gas production has more than doubled, and the inflation-adjusted price of gas has fallen like a rock. In 2023, the spot price for gas at Henry Hub, America’s main gas trading point, was $2.50 per million Btu. In 2024, that price fell to $2.20 per MMBtu. For comparison, the inflation adjusted price of gas (2024 dollars) in 2010 was over $6 per MMBtu.

About 35% of all US primary energy now comes from natural gas. (Oil provides about 39%). Given the US economy’s heavy reliance on gas, it’s evident that low-cost gas has been a key factor in the resilience of the US economy over the past decade. Furthermore, that same flood of gas has turned the United States from a prospective importer of liquified natural gas to the world’s largest LNG exporter.

But the ongoing boom in LNG export capacity, combined with Big Tech’s insatiable demand for the juice it needs for AI, is fueling an unprecedented surge in demand for gas. Analysts and pipeline companies are predicting that US gas demand could jump by about 25% between now and 2030.

Will the US drilling industry be able to meet that demand? Tens of billions of dollars are riding on the answer to that question. Here’s a deep dive into the US gas sector, with nine charts.

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End Bryce article excerpt 

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Climate Depot’s Morano comment: “We may have to look at scaling back LNG (Liquefied Natural Gas) exports as needed to benefit American consumers. Are we riding the correct horse when it comes to the alleged ‘AI race’ to beat China? Should we be reconsidering our AI push because AI power demands are set to harm American consumers and possibly derail the Trump Administration’s energy plans?

We have to be wary that Big Tech subsidies and AI data center power demands are gutting Trump’s agenda of plentiful, cheap energy.

With current AI policies, we may be heading straight to a huge consumer rebellion over rising utility bills in the USA. AI may have its pluses and minuses, but for anyone who thinks that Big Tech billionaires are pushing AI to make our lives better, think again: AI has a massive potential to control our lives.

Are American consumers going to be stuck with subsidizing Jeff Bezos, Mark Zuckerberg, and Bill Gates’ grandiose AI visions? Perhaps it’s time to send these AI-induced, larger electricity bills directly to Big Tech.”

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