https://irrationalfear.substack.com/p/the-hurricane-hoax-what-the-ipcc
A Storm Surge of Misinformation
June 1st has arrived, marking the official start of hurricane season… and, like clockwork, the beginning of another season of climate propaganda. For the media and the climate-industrial complex, every low-pressure system is an opportunity to push a fear-driven narrative: that hurricanes are getting stronger, more frequent, and more deadly due to human-caused climate change.
But here’s the problem: warming itself is not especially dangerous. On its own, a gradual increase in global average temperature doesn’t inspire panic… it doesn’t justify emergency declarations or trillion-dollar policies. That’s why the IPCC and its media allies must link warming to disasters. It’s not the thermometer that scares people… It’s the hurricane footage.
This connection between climate change and bad weather isn’t just casual… It’s strategic. The climate crisis, as we know it, depends on linking human emissions to catastrophic events, even when the data doesn’t support it. And nowhere is this more obvious than in how hurricanes are presented to the public.
Case in point: 2025 has kicked off with a conspicuous lull in storm activity. According to a recent FOX Weather article, the Atlantic basin remained uncharacteristically quiet for a fourth year in a row, a trend never predicted by IPCC models. Where are the early-season superstorms we were told to expect? The models said they’d increase… but they haven’t. If the narrative were based on actual data, we might be rethinking the entire premise of “climate-fueled hurricanes.” Instead, the silence is ignored.
It doesn’t matter that the data says otherwise… It doesn’t matter that the scientific literature is filled with caveats, uncertainty, and counter-evidence… All that matters are the climate crisis headlines.
The IPCC has long predicted a rise in both the frequency and severity of tropical cyclones, offering convenient fodder for media outlets looking to dramatize every storm. But these claims have not been borne out by observations. In fact, quite the opposite: there is growing evidence that hurricanes are not increasing in frequency, are not becoming more destructive, and that some of the most recent seasons—like the one we’re entering now—begin with historic lulls, not record-breaking activity.
The disconnect between what’s predicted and what’s happening isn’t just a minor detail… It’s the central flaw in the climate hurricane narrative. If the IPCC’s models and assumptions can’t even account for a basic feature like seasonality or storm frequency, why should we trust them on matters of long-term risk, funding, or global policy?
Every year, media outlets seize on a handful of storms, sometimes before they’ve even formed, and attribute their intensity to climate change. They’ll claim a hurricane’s rainfall was made “500 times more intense” by global warming… they’ll label storms “unprecedented” without acknowledging the limits of our observational records or the role of natural variability… they’ll publish headlines like “climate change is supercharging hurricanes” without citing a single study that actually supports that claim.
