https://rogerpielkejr.substack.com/p/start-the-week-with-thb-ca8?
This week the 28th Conference of Parties (COP28) to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change kicks off in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. Accompanying the conference will be an onslaught of climate news, information, reporting, propaganda, misinformation, marketing, spin, science and the science-like. Today, I share some relevant news items that you are almost assuredly not going to find anywhere else.
Global Climate Policy Hasn’t Made Much Difference on Energy Transitions
That’s the conclusion of a brilliant new paper published this week by Masahiro Suzuki, Jessica Jewell and Aleh Cherp, titled — Have climate policies accelerated energy transitions? Historical evolution of electricity mix in the G7 and the EU compared to net-zero targets.
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Their analysis is consistent with my much simpler assessment from last June, where I concluded that the energy transition has not yet started, illustrated in the figure below.
The Suzuki et al. analysis is important because it puts some rigorous analysis to the question of the impacts of global climate policy on fossil fuels and carbon dioxide emissions in the G7 and EU.
There will be strong incentives this week for those participating in and cheering on COP28 to claim that the UNFCCC, and the Paris Agreement specifically, have already resulted in huge changes in the global energy system trajectory.1 Focus on data and not spin, and thanks to Suzuki et al. we have the data.
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Pielke Jr.: “Global Climate Policy Hasn’t Made Much Difference on Energy Transitions” … “COP28 is expecting 70,000 participants, more than double those of COP27. Climate is now a full-scale industry, with fortunes and careers to be made, and perhaps lost.”
Pielke Jr.: “This week the 28th Conference of Parties (COP28) to the UN Framework Convention on Climate Change kicks off in Dubai, United Arab Emirates. Accompanying the conference will be an onslaught of climate news, information, reporting, propaganda, misinformation, marketing, spin, science and the science-like… Along with the climate industrial complex comes massive vested interests, ranging from the financial to the professional to the political.”
