Delingpole: Alarmists Cook up Warming Scare as Planet Cools
By James Delingpole
Excerpt: But look at those scary claims more closely and you’ll notice something they would rather you hadn’t noticed: If 2018 is not as hot as 2016, 2017, and 2015, that means the planet is cooling not warming.
In truth these “hottest year evah” claims are pretty meaningless anyway.
While such years as 2005, 2010, 2014, and 2015 were declared the hottest years by global warming proponents, a closer examination revealed that the claims were based on year-to-year temperature data that differs by only a few hundredths of a degree to up to a few tenths of a degree—differences that were within the margin of error in the surface data. And the satellite data disagreed with the surface datasets. When an El Niño–fueled 2016 was declared “hottest year,” the temperature rise from 2015 also failed to exceed the margin of error, or exceeded it just barely—depending on which of the multiple temperature datasets were reporting.
A 2017 analysis by astrophysicist David Whitehouse of the Global Warming Policy Foundation, said, “According to NOAA, 2016 was 0.07°F warmer than 2015, which is 0.04°C. Considering the error in the annual temperature is +/- 0.1°C this makes 2016 statistically indistinguishable from 2015, making any claim of a record using NOAA data specious.”
To repeat (and assuming that it is even possible to accurately calculate global temperature data), we are talking about differences in global temperature so tiny that they are smaller than the error margins: so, in scientific terms, unreliable to the point of uselessness.
Morano goes on to quote arguably the doyen of all climate experts, MIT emeritus professor Richard Lindzen:
The former MIT professor believes the “hottest year” claims are returning us to a bygone era. “To imply that a rise of temperature of a tenth of a degree is proof that the world is coming to an end—has to take one back to the dark ages,” he explained in 2017.13 “As long as you can get people excited as to whether it’s a tenth of a degree warmer or cooler, then you don’t have to think, you can assume everyone who is listening to you is an idiot. The whole point is so crazy because the temperature is always going up or down a little. What is astonishing is that in the last 20 years it hasn’t done much of anything,” he added. “What they don’t mention is there has been a big El Nino in 2016 and in recent months the temperature has been dropping back into a zero trend level.”
But the skullduggery and dishonesty does not end there.
The first thing he notes is that the Met Office seems to be in denial of its own graph, which shows recent cooling:
The climate scientists quoted seem to be in denial of the recent cooling shown in their own graph, claiming that the Earth’s average global temperature has ‘remained close’ to the 2015 peak.
But it gets fishier still.
Notice the missing red-pink bit on the graph between 2015–2019. Did the Met Office make no forecasts in that period?
Well, in fact they did. Here is the Decadal Forecast 2016 (confusingly, published in Jan 2017), which included this graph:
In other words, the Met Office forecast warming that never transpired and is now trying to cover its embarrassment.
Roger Tallbloke has come up with a chart of his own which shows the inaccuracy of the Met Office’s forecasts:
Looking at the median value in the blue envelope at the current date, the MET-O has missed by around 0.35C. This is not a good result for the MET-O climate model. Why might it be running so hot?
We think it could be that the met-O’s climatologists have been fixating on carbon dioxide and the alleged ‘enhanced greenhouse effect’ our emissions are supposed to be creating, and have ignored the Sun. We’re currently heading into a deep solar minimum, and the indications are that the excess energy built up in the oceans during the late C20th grand solar maximum is starting to run low.
Don’t sell your coat.
Oh and don’t trust a word these people say, either. They are all charlatans.