The UN IPCC’s new certainty is 95% What? Not 97%?? — Reuters claims that 95% certainty ‘will steadily squeezing out the arguments by a small minority of scientists that natural variations in the climate might be to blame’
Analysis: 'They were not calculated, at least if the same procedure from the fourth assessment report was used. In that prior climate assessment, buried in a footnote in the Summary for Policymakers, the IPCC admitted that the reported 90% confidence interval was simply based on “expert judgment” i.e. conjecture. This, of course begs the question as to how any human being can have “expertise” in attributing temperature trends to human causes when there is no scientific instrument or procedure capable of verifying the expert attributions.'
