Fasullo and Trenberth find spurious success, make headlines, but still the models crash: ‘New paper suggested that a few models got the relative humidity right in some tropical spots’
'John Christie pointed out that the models with the highest climate sensitivity are also the ones which are the worst at predicting future temperatures. But there is more to this. It is a likely a case of twenty models predicting 40 parameters, and you can take your pick of the permutations and combinations which give one or two models a 'success' here and there on one or two factors'
But in the end, as Richard Courtney says, all the models are different so only one model can possibly be The Right One for the whole atmosphere, and quite likely they are all wrong. In this case, they are still all wrong. The hot spot is still missing, and the region below it with which they scored so me success is not that important. The words hot spot and humidity over the tropics lead many commentators to think this was something to do […]
