A UN IPCC Scientist’s New Study! ‘Global Warming Sparks Fistfights & War, Researchers Say’: ‘Will systematically increase the risk of many types of conflict ranging from barroom brawls & rape to civil wars & international disputes’ — Climate Depot Responds


By: - Climate DepotAugust 1, 2013 5:43 PM

Statement by Climate Depot Publisher Marc Morano on new global warming/violence study: “Instead of looking at temperature data or other climate metrics to prove or disprove man-made global warming claims, the global warming activists have now shifted the playing field so rape and murder statistics are now used as some sort of ‘proof’ of man-made global warming.  Global  warming science has truly morphed to modern witchcraft!’

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Can a carbon tax prevent YOU from being MURDERED?! UN IPCC’s Prof. Hsiang’s new study ‘could go a long way toward convincing people that climate change can directly affect their lives. We just need to make it all about us, and our unwillingness to get murdered’

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Read full Bloomberg News on new study in journal Science: ‘Climate change will probably trigger more human conflict, according to an article in the journal Science. An examination of 60 separate studies, including one stretching back to 10,000 B.C., found that individuals, groups and nations are “substantially” more likely to become involved in physical conflict in hot weather and heavy rain. Climate change is expected to drive up temperatures in many regions, which will “systematically increase the risk of many types of conflict” ranging from barroom brawls and rape to civil wars and international disputes, according to the article.’

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‘Civilization as we know it may even be at risk’: With the US murder rate on track to be the lowest in a century, warmists suggest that CO2 causes ‘increased murder’ — Reality Check: May 2012: ‘The US Murder Rate Is on Track to Be Lowest in a Century’

Crime in the United States – Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia: ‘In the long term, violent crime in the United States has been in decline since colonial times’

Oct. 2012: U.S. violent crime down for fifth straight year – CNN.com: ‘Violent crime in the United States fell for the fifth consecutive year in 2011 with murder, rape and robbery all going down’

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UN IPCC Lead Author Dr. Richard Tol has ‘massive criticism’ for new paper — German newspaper Der Spiegel takes apart global warming/violence paper: Accuses ‘authors of gross errors and a distorted selection of data’ — ‘Global Warming: Study on Climate Change/War Met With Fierce Criticism’ — Der Spiegel ‘then writes that Oslo economist Halvard Buhaug is quoted saying that Hsiang and his team ‘ignored data’. Worse, Buhang says that the ‘authors used data that produced the strongest results.’

Jochem Marotzke, Director of the Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology in Hamburg was also highly critical of Hsiang’s methodology, saying that alternative explanations were “wiped off the table” in order to give climate fluctuations maximum power as an explanation. Spiegel writes: All in all, Marotzke says that he is “skeptical when it comes to the robustness of the results’.

UN IPCC Lead Author & professor Richard Tol of University of Sussex also has expressed ‘massive criticism’ on the Hsiang paper, saying that the authors confused weather as climate. Spiegel writes: Most of the Hsiang-Team’s evaluated studies had to do with weather phenomena, Tol believes. ‘Forecasts on the conflict-enhancing effect of future climate was therefore strongly exaggerated’.’

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Even BBC features harsh criticism of new study: ‘Their strong statement about a general causal link between climate and conflict is unwarranted by the empirical analysis that they provide’BBC: Rise in violence ‘linked to climate change’ — ‘Changes in temperature or rainfall correlated with a rise in assaults, rapes and murders’ – They report a ‘substantial’ correlation between climate and conflict. Their examples include an increase in domestic violence in India during recent droughts, and a spike in assaults, rapes and murders during heatwaves in the US’ — Work published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences suggested that this environmental factor was not to blame for civil war in Africa. Instead, Dr Halvard Buhaug, from the Peace Research Institute Oslo, Norway, concluded that the conflict was linked to other factors such as high infant mortality, proximity to international borders and high local population density. Commenting on the latest research, he said: ‘I disagree with the sweeping conclusion (the authors) draw and believe that their strong statement about a general causal link between climate and conflict is unwarranted by the empirical analysis that they provide. I was surprised to see not a single reference to a real-world conflict that plausibly would not have occurred in the absence of observed climatic extremes. If the authors wish to claim a strong causal link, providing some form of case validation is critical.’

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Meet Prof. IPCC Contributing Author Solomon Hsiang a public policy prof. at U. of Calif., Berkeley, the co-author of new warmist study in journal Science: ‘The study found that the rate of interpersonal violence, including assaults & rapes, increases 4% for every ‘standard deviation change in climate toward warmer temps or more extreme rainfall.” Intergroup conflict rises 14%’

shsiang@berkeley.edu

Solomon Hsiang

Hsiang holds ‘a PhD in Sustainable Development from Columbia University’

Co-Author: Prof. Marshall Burke - Agricultural and Resource Economics, UC Berkeley

marshall.burke at berkeley.edu

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National Geographic: Global Warming Makes People Throw Acid In Each Other’s Faces: Mag features photo of ‘an acid attack victim in Karachi, Pakistan. A new study suggests that such violence increases with abnormal temperatures.’

Real Science rebuts: ‘According to [NASA’s James] Hansen, World War I occurred during the coldest years ever. That would be 37,000,000 non-global warming related deaths. The frozen siege of Stalingrad in WWII was clearly a global warming related event too. National Geographic was better when they stuck with pictures of perky topless island women.’

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Climate Depot Round Up Counters global warming/war claims:

Climate Depot’s rebuttal to Sen. John Kerry’s climate change/national security claims — Carbon taxes, UN treaties & cap-and-trade will not prevent wars!

Study: Cold spells were dark times in Eastern Europe: ‘Cooler periods coincided with conflicts and disease outbreaks’ –Published in the Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences’: ‘Some of Eastern Europe’s greatest wars and plagues over the last millennium coincided with cold periods’ — ‘The Black Death in the mid-14th century, the Thirty Years’ War in the early 17th century, the French invasion of Russia in the early 19th century and other social upheavals occurred during cold spells. The team suggests food shortages could explain the timing of some of these events’

New study: Global cooling led to wars, famine and plagues in 1560-1660: Cold ’caused successive agro-ecological, socioeconomic, and demographic catastrophes’

Debunked: the ‘climate change causes wars’ myth –Peer-reviewed paper ‘thoroughly eviscerates’ climate war claims — ‘The primary causes of civil war are political, not environmental’

‘A total takedown’ of myth by the Center for Strategic and International Studies — ‘Since the dawn of civilization, warmer eras have meant fewer wars. The reason is simple: all things being equal, a colder climate meant reduced crops, more famine and instability. Research by climate historians shows a clear correlation between increased warfare and cold periods. They are particularly clear in Asia and Europe, as well as in Africa’

Global Conflict Not Linked to Global Climate Change — ‘Wars in Burundi, Chad, the Dominican Republic, Indonesia, Peru, the Comoros, Congo, Eritrea, Niger, and Rwanda are so numerous that I could probably make a statistical argument that one in five wars are due to the AFC winning the Super Bowl’

Discovery News: Cold times led to angry runts, famine, and war; warm times led to The Renaissance

Remarkably sane article in Science: Warm periods are good, cold periods are bad

Time Mag reports: ‘Peaks of social disturbance such as rebellions, revolutions, & political reforms followed every decline of temperature’ — ‘Number of wars increased by 41% in Cold Phase’ — ‘Peaks of social disturbance such as rebellions, revolutions, and political reforms followed every decline of temperature, with a one- to 15-year time lag’

Study: Climate change ‘not to blame’ for African civil wars — ‘Climate variability in Africa does not seem to have a significant impact on risk of civil war’

UN Climate Chief: Middle East Was Peaceful When CO2 Was Below 350 PPM — UN’s Christiana Figueres: ‘Food shortages and rising prices caused by climate disruptions were among the chief contributors to the civil unrest coursing through North Africa and the Middle East’

So much for climate ‘national security’ threat: ‘All Large European Wars Occurred With CO2 Below 350 ppm’

Shock News : Most Of The World’s Wars Occurred Below 350 PPM CO2 — ‘Now that we know that war is caused by global warming, I was very surprised to discover that the vast majority of wars occurred before 1988 – including the War of 1812′

Climate Depot’s Inconvenient Rebuttal to ‘National Security’ Climate Argument – August 9, 2009 Excerpt: The heart of the “national security” argument is merely a redux of the 1970′s laughable scares about famines and resource scarcity. Those same baseless claims and fear mongering arguments are simply being shamelessly updated with a military uniform. It is sad to see members of our armed forces wearing their uniforms promoting such unsubstantiated and embarrassing drivel…“We will pay for this one way or another,” Gen. Anthony C. Zinni, a retired Marine and the former head of the Central Command. “We will pay to reduce greenhouse gas emissions today, and we’ll have to take an economic hit of some kind. Or we will pay the price later in military terms. And that will involve human lives.” Gen. Zinni needs to do his homework on global warming claims. Had the General done more research, he would quickly realize that the estimated 1.6 billion people in the world without electricity who are leading a nasty, brutish and short life, will be the ones who “will pay” for global warming solutions that prevent them from obtaining cheap and abundant carbon based energy. (See:1) It is a moral issue! – ‘People cannot cook’…Chad’s Global Warming Inspired Ban on Charcoal leads to ‘Desperate’ Families! – January 16, 2009 2) Black clergymen protest Robert Redford ‘link his environmentalism to racism’ 3) Poor Kenyans rebel as UK grocery store’s “carbon friendly” policies may stop food exports – 4)African Activist: ‘African life span is lower than it was in U.S. and Europe 100 years ago. But Africans told we shouldn’t develop’ because wealthy Western nations are ‘worried about global warming’: ‘Telling Africans they can’t have electricity and economic development – is immoral; 5) India: ‘It is morally wrong for us to reduce emissions when 40% of Indians do not have access to electricity’ ; 6) Obama Advisor Warren Buffett ‘repeats criticism of cap and trade, saying it would be a huge, regressive tax’)

Related Links:

Climate Depot’s rebuttal to climate change/national security claims — Carbon taxes, UN treaties & cap-and-trade will not prevent wars!

U.S. Military goes full stupid: CO2 To Wreck The Military — The military is threatened by 0.0004 mole fraction CO2 — ‘The Pentagon was warned to stand guard against ‘climate surprises’ which could throw off its efforts to secure America’s future. An expert report, prepared for the intelligence community by National Academy of Sciences, warns that security establishment is going to have start planning for natural disasters, sea-level rise, drought, epidemics & the other consequences of climate change’

Flashback 2009: Climate Depot’s Inconvenient Rebuttal to ‘National Security’ Climate Argument

Laugh at U.S. Govt! CIA commissioned study by National Research Council claims: ‘Climate change is accelerating, & it will place unparalleled strains on American military & intelligence agencies’ — U.S. Govt. Report cites Sandy as evidence of runaway climate change! John D. Steinbruner: ‘We’re saying climate extremes are going to be more frequent, and this was an example of what they could mean. We’re also saying it could get a whole lot worse than that’

Warmist Tom Engelhardt for Al Jazeera on bad-weather-causing energy executives: ‘They are the business equivalents of terrorists’

Nov. 2012: Unnecessary, wasteful and totally out of place’: CIA Closes Its Climate Change Office

Nov. 2012: Another indicator that climate is falling off the threat radar: CIA shuts down Center on Climate Change and National Security

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New Report: ‘Extreme Weather Report 2012′: ‘Latest peer-reviewed studies, data & analyses undermine claims that current weather is ‘unprecedented’ or a ‘new normal’

Watch Now: CNN Climate Debate! Climate Depot’s Morano Debates Bill Nye the Science Guy on Piers Morgan — Updated Transcript Includes Citations

SPECIAL REPORT: More Than 1000 International Scientists Dissent Over Man-Made Global Warming Claims – Challenge UN IPCC & Gore