Germany’s auto giants are struggling to stay relevant as ‘abrupt end to EV subsidy program’ hits & ‘historic job cuts & possible plant closures at Volkswagen’

https://www.cnbc.com/2024/10/18/vw-bmw-mbg-germanys-top-car-brands-are-struggling-in-the-ev-era.html

By Sam Meredith

  • Major domestic manufacturers such as Volkswagen, Mercedes-Benz Group and BMW have issued profit warnings in recent weeks.
  • The warnings come amid the specter of historic job cuts and possible German plant closures at Volkswagen, an abrupt end to Germany’s electric car subsidy program and Berlin’s recent failure to prevent fellow European Union member states from voting in favor of EU tariffs on Chinese EVs.
  • “The question is whether German car makers manage to adjust their product portfolios, change their organizations, and ramp up productivity quickly enough to preserve the status and relevance they had for decades,” ING’s Rico Luman told CNBC.

Germany’s automotive sector, long recognized for producing reliable and innovative internal combustion engine (ICE) cars, is struggling to preserve its relevance in the age of electrification.

Major domestic manufacturers such as VolkswagenMercedes-Benz Group and BMW have issued profit warnings in recent weeks, citing economic weakness and sluggish demand in China, the world’s largest car market.

The headwinds, while not unique to Europe’s largest economy, come on top of the specter of historic job cuts and possible German plant closures at Volkswagen, an abrupt end to Germany’s electric car subsidy program late last year and Berlin’s recent failure to prevent fellow European Union member states from voting in favor of EU tariffs on Chinese electric vehicles (EVs).

The latter appeared to hint at the Germany’s waning influence over regional policy — a likely unthinkable notion only a few years ago.

This storm of issues has stoked concerns that the high-quality ‘made in Germany’ moniker may be losing its luster in the shift away from ICE vehicles.

“I believe the German quality label generally still holds, but that’s not enough as the world of automotive is changing rapidly,” Rico Luman, senior sector economist for transport and logistics at Dutch bank ING, told CNBC by email.

Luman said the industry’s transition to electrification means it is going to be increasingly important for German automakers to scale tech-rich supplies for EVs, particularly for batteries – noting that this hasn’t yet been developed in Berlin.

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