UN ‘report should be withdrawn’ – Bjorn Lomborg rips new UN climate ’emergency’ report: ‘It is incompetent & wrong on all major accounts’ – ‘Bad analysis’


By: - Climate DepotOctober 14, 2020 3:11 PM

New UN report claims climate-related disasters have doubled

The report is incompetent and wrong on pretty much all accounts

The report should be withdrawn

Report here: undrr.org/news/drrday-re…
Data here: public.emdat.beImage

New UN report claims climate-related disasters doubled

Yet, even the report’s own data shows the number of climate-related dead has *halved*

Report here: undrr.org/news/drrday-re…
Data here: public.emdat.beImage

Death data is relatively robust

Instead, almost all non-death data is much better reported towards the present. That is the main reason the UN finds an increase in numbers.

Yet, they simply wave it away

Report here: undrr.org/news/drrday-re…Image

Not only has *actual* death data halved

Because population increased by 73% over 1980-2019, death risk has dropped by almost two-thirds

Report here: undrr.org/news/drrday-re…Image

Because climate-related deaths are down, the report instead focuses on “number of affected”

It claims number of affected are up. But so is population

Proportion is actually *down*

Oops

Report here: undrr.org/news/drrday-re…
Data here: public.emdat.beImage

UN claims number of climate-related incidents have increased

But this is mainly an issue of reporting: as we get closer to today, the database has many more reports of small disasters

Report here: undrr.org/news/drrday-re…
Data here: public.emdat.beImage

UN claims number of climate-related incidents have increased

But this is mainly an issue of reporting: as we get closer to today, the database has many more reports of small disasters

Small incidents have been increasing, large incidents have been decreasingImage

Easiest way to see the UN report is simply wrong is to compare their stats to actual well-documented data

We have great stats for US hurricanes, and reassuringly, UN and reality is reasonably in agreement (as expected, deaths better registered)

Data: link.springer.com/article/10.100…Image

Comparing the UN report with actual data shows that its *numbers* of catastrophes are wildly wrong

Whereas the actual number of US landfalling hurricanes have slightly decreased, the UN show ever-increasing numbers

journals.ametsoc.org/bams/article/9…Image

Another way to see the UN report is wrong is to look at US tornados. We have good stats, but here even deaths are off for UN

It seems UN caught few deaths in the early part, only converging in last 40 years

Data: spc.noaa.gov/wcm/#dataImage

As US population doubled over period, here is death risk — same overall point, that UN only converge towards end-of-period

(Also, one stand-out is 1963, where EM-DAT has higher deaths, from Gainsville GA — probably miscoded, should be 1936)

Data: spc.noaa.gov/wcm/#dataImage

UN data is just terribly off on number US tornados

Reality is that strong US tornados (EF3+) have almost halved

Whereas UN data thinks it has increased 13-fold

Data: spc.noaa.gov/wcm/#dataImage

UN# incredibly off

Real tornado numbers 100x higher than UN numbers, but that includes mostly machine-noticed EF0 tornados

Yet, even strong tornados are 10x higher, EF4+ still 2-3x higher, and EF5s 41-12, all declining

UN shows that last 20 yrs 2.2x higher than realityImage

The poor UN report is really just a re-run of previous climate alarmists claiming incredible disaster increases with EM-DAT, when the database shows “human impacts”

Their researcher says “you cannot claim trends in numbers”

Oops

web.archive.org/web/2018101917…Image

This was the UN headline figure. All data misleading/wrong

As we have seen for number of disasters in thread above

It also shows increase in deaths, but only true for earthquakes — dishonest on climate

Fails to adjust for population and economyImage

The UNs new report is incompetent and wrong on all major accounts

Not okay to scare people witless with bad analysis

The report should be withdrawn

ENDSImage