http://www.nber.org/papers/w23033
http://www.nber.org/papers/w23033Study published in the January issue of National Bureau of Economic Research.
Winter is Coming: The Long-Run Effects of Climate Change on Conflict, 1400-1900
Murat Iyigun, Nathan Nunn, Nancy Qian
NBER Working Paper No. 23033
Issued in January 2017
NBER Program(s): DEV EEE POLWe investigate the long-run effects of cooling on conflict. We construct a geo-referenced and digitized database of conflicts in Europe, North Africa, and the Near East from 1400-1900, which we merge with historical temperature data. We show that cooling is associated with increased conflict. When we allow the effects of cooling over a fifty-year period to depend on the extent of cooling during the preceding period, the effect of cooling on conflict is larger in locations that experienced earlier cooling. We interpret this as evidence that the adverse effects of climate change intensify with its duration.
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Machine-readable bibliographic record – MARC, RIS, BibTeX
Document Object Identifier (DOI): 10.3386/w23033
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Related Links:
Flashback 1974: CIA Warned GLOBAL COOLING Would Cause Terrorism
But such drought claims are not new or unique to our present day. In 1933, similar baseless claims were made. See: 1933 claim: ‘YO-YO BANNED IN SYRIA – Blamed For Drought’
‘All Large European Wars Occurred With CO2 Below 350 ppm’ Via Real Science website- Most Of The World’s Wars Occurred Below 350 PPM CO2
Flashback: Debunked: the ‘climate change causes wars’ myth –Peer-reviewed paper ‘thoroughly eviscerates’ climate war claims — ‘The primary causes of civil war are political, not environmental’
Flashback: ‘A total takedown’ of myth by the Center for Strategic and International Studies — ‘Since the dawn of civilization, warmer eras have meant fewer wars
