Scientists reject Sandy/Climate Link — Warmists Go Full ‘Tabloid Climatology’ & Claim Sandy Speaks! — Round Up of Hurricane Sandy Reactions

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NOAA’s Martin Hoerling rejects ‘Frankenstorm’ climate link: ‘This is not some spell conjured upon us by great external forces….unless you believe in the monster flicks of Universal Studios fame!’ — Meteorologist Hoerling of NOAA: ‘The immediate cause is most likely little more than the coincidental alignment of a tropical storm with an extratropical storm. Both frequent W. Atlantic in Oct….nothing unusual with that’

Martin Hoerling of NOAA on Sandy: ‘As to underlying causes, neither the frequency of tropical or extratropical cyclones over N. Atlantic are projected to appreciably change due to climate change’ — U.S. Govt Scientist Hoerling: ‘Nor have there been indications of a change in their statistical behavior over this region in recent decades’

Frankenscience: ‘Sandy doesn’t tell us anything about climate change’ — Prof. Pielke Jr.: ‘We’ve done long-term trends with respect to hurricane damage in the United States, and it’s very safe to say that regardless of how [Sandy] plays out, there’s a century-long time series with no trend in it — and that’s in damage, the number of landfalls, or the intensity of storms at landfall. So, if you are looking for signals of long-term climate change, focusing in on any one storm is the wrong way to go about it to begin with’

Sandy caused by global warming? ‘The science of climate change & hurricanes does not support this conclusion’ — It’s ‘just not supported by science at this time’ — Houston Chronicle’s Science guy Eric Berger: ‘…it is a big stretch to go from there to blaming Sandy on climate change. It’s a stretch that is just not supported by science at this time’

Climatologist Dr. Patrick Michaels on Sandy: ‘It’s also consistent with a planet with colder temperatures as well as one with warmer ones’ — Michaels: ‘More important, events like this are inevitable on a planet that has an ocean with the geography of the Atlantic (meaning a Gulf Stream-like feature), a large north-south continent on its western margin without a transverse mountain range to inhibit the merger of tropical warmth with polar cold, and four seasons in the temperate latitudes’

German Meteorological Expert Says: ‘No Evidence Showing Link Between Storms And Global Warming’ — Meteorologist Dr. Karsten Brandt: ‘Brandt said that by looking back at the global data available over the last decades, there’s ‘no indication or evidence showing there’s been an increase in storm activity. The data don’t show it.’ He added: ‘Luckily we don’t need to worry much about increasing storms in the future’

Prof. Roger Pielke Jr.: ‘Remarkably, the U.S. is currently experiencing the longest-ever recorded period with no strikes of a Category 3 or stronger hurricane’

Hurricane Expert Chris Landsea: Any connection between AGW & hurricanes is ‘almost certainly undetectable’ — ‘…and that this view is not particularly controversial among tropical cyclone climatologists. He concluded that hurricanes should not be the ‘poster’ representing a human influence on climate…Chris responded that asserting such a connection can be easily shown to be incorrect and thus risks some of the trust that the public has in scientists to play things straight’

Prof. Judith Curry on Sandy: ‘Kevin Trenberth frequently says that global warming is affecting all of weather’ — Curry: ‘Trenberth s probably right, but apart from the relative magnitude of the effect, this begs the question as to whether the effect is good or bad; arguably in terms of Atlantic hurricanes, the warming is resulting in fewer U.S. landfalls’

Talking Hurricane! Sandy Speaks: ‘I am part of new normal’ — Warmists claim Sandy says: ‘All U can be sure of is that the climate of past 20 & more centuries is gone’

Climate Depot Response: ‘You can be sure that the ‘Tabloid Climatologists’ will pervert science and try to claim Sandy as some sort of ‘proof’ of man-made global warming. The ‘new normal’ for climate activists is their ever shifting claims as they morph the entire AGW argument to focus on extreme weather.’

Bad weather shuts down climatology vigil — Sandy disrupts climate vigil in Boston: ‘A storm many environmentalists see as linked to climate change has forced the end of a climate vigil in Boston’

Sandy called a ‘climate twister’

Huh? Writing checks causes hurricanes! Warmist Bill McKibben: ‘Chevron made largest political contribution ever last week, NYC swamped by largest storm this week. Pretty much a straight line, no?’

Climate Depot Response: ‘McKibben and other warmists are practicing a form of witchcraft. They are attempting to convince the public that check writing, SUVs and home energy use are causing bad weather. They are exploiting any weather event to promote their religious like cause and a storm like Sandy is shamelessly used to gin up fear.’

Gore blames carbon dioxide for Sandy: ‘Dirty energy makes dirty weather’ — Gore’s Statement on Hurricane Sandy: ‘Hurricane Sandy is a disturbing sign of things to come. We must heed this warning and act quickly to solve the climate crisis. Dirty energy makes dirty weather’

Warmists Bill McKibben & Joe Romm schlepping for Tabloid Climatology interviews: ‘Even in midst of hurricanes, these people don’t give up trying to tie weather to climate. It’s shameless desperation’

‘Blaming Sandy on greedy & industrious is just as mad as blaming it on gays’ — ‘It’s about doing that very Medieval thing of finding someone or something to blame for scary natural occurrences’ — Brendan O’Neill in UK Telegraph: ‘After every natural disaster that occurs these days, we do two things. First, we guffaw or shake our heads in stern disapproval at those religious freaks who blame said disaster on mankind’s sin. And second, we nod in vigorous agreement with those eco-experts who blame said disaster on man-made climate change’

Time Mag’s Bryan Walsh: ‘Sandy kills at least 16 people in the U.S. so far. For comparison, 117 Americans killed every day in cars’Update: Sandy’s U.S. Death Toll Climbs To Over 30

Prof. Pielke Jr. on damage estimates: ‘The current estimates of $20 billion would place Sandy at #17 all time out of 242 loss-producing storms 1900 to present (in the top 10%)’ — ‘If the damage gets to $30 billion it would crack the top 10 and (top 5%). Right now it seems unlikely that Sandy will climb any higher on the table’

Meghan McCain (daughter of Sen. McCain) to GOP after Sandy: Do you still doubt climate change? ‘“So are we still going to go with climate change not being real fellow republicans?’

Climate Depot Response to Meghan McCain: ‘Yes, we are still disputing man-made climate fears despite your inane tweets’

The Hill Newspaper: A ‘2012 study by UN’s IPCC on extreme weather & climate change…finds that researchers currently have ‘low confidence’ in tying cyclone activity in recent decades to climate change’

Meteorologist Ryan Maue: ‘Meghan McCain never demonstrated acumen necessary to understand hurricane/climate science. Nor did her dad’

Warmist Chris Mooney: ‘Did Climate Change Supersize Hurricane Sandy?’ — ‘This will be perceived as a climate-change-related event by much of the public’ — Mooney: ‘Weird, extreme weather makes people worry, makes them think the world is changing. They aren’t wrong about that’

Climate Depot Response: ‘The public is much more intelligent than Mooney believes. Since ancient times, mankind has always worried about extreme weather. These new ‘Tabloid Climatology’ claims by climate activists attempting to link any weather event to man-made global warming is disgusting’

A Modest Hurricane Proposal for Honoring Climate Change Deniers — ‘Because the odds of extreme weather conditions have increased due to man-made climate change’ — ‘The explosion of climate-change deniers has given us a wealth of names to choose from. No more Dorians and Humbertos! Bring on Hurricane Lungren and Tropical Storm Milloy’

‘The New Normal – Everything Is The Worst Ever’: ‘The gubermint tells us Irene, Isaac & Sandy are the worst storms ever. The 2012 drought was worst ever. 2012 is the hottest year ever’ — ‘These claims are all completely true, assuming that time began two years ago and you have the IQ of a turnip’

Good news for warmists?: Some people in the New York area face 168 straight involuntary Earth Hours — Sandy leaves ‘Millions Without Power Across Tri-State Area’

Climate Depot Background information:

HURRICANES/TROPICAL CYCLONE ACTIVITY

Teetering near historic lows:

‘A new research study shows that overall global tropical cyclone activity has decreased to historically low levels during the past 5 years’

New paper finds global cyclones have reached a historical low: Geophysical Research Letters: ‘Since 2006, global tropical cyclone ACE (cyclone energy) has decreased dramatically…’ ‘…to the lowest levels since the late 1970s. Additionally, the global frequency of tropical cyclones has reached a historical low’

World Meteorological Organization study: ‘We cannot at this time conclusively identify anthropogenic signals in past tropical cyclone data’ – ‘Landfalling tropical storm and hurricane activity in the US shows no long-term increase’

U.S. sees 2,232nd consecutive days without being hit by major hurricane – ‘shatters’ previous streak set in 1906 – Prof. Pielke Jr.: ‘Since there won’t be any intense hurricanes before next summer, the record will be shattered, with the days between intense hurricane landfalls likely to exceed 2,500 days’

Hurricanes Becoming Much Less Frequent In Florida: ‘By June,2012 it will have been almost 7 years without a hurricane strike in Florida -the longest period on record’ – ‘Since 1950,hurricane strikes in Florida have been coming progressively further apart’

When it comes to hurricanes, climate change effects may be ‘a wash’ – ‘A new report on extreme weather from UN IPCC, released last month, suggests that for hurricanes at least, the effects of global warming remain uncertain and likely so incremental that it might be difficult to even measure them’ … That’s kind of a wash in my book,’ said Chris Landsea’

The Decline In Major Hurricanes: ‘The most active period for major hurricanes in the US was 1931-1960’ — ‘The frequency of major hurricanes is now about half what it was 60 years ago. The most intense hurricane to ever hit the US occurred in 1935’

Hurricane Facts: ‘According to NOAA, they have been on decline in US since the beginning of records in 19th century. The worst decade for major (category 3,4,5) hurricanes was 1940s’ — ‘There has only been one US hurricane strike in last 1,130 days. 7,000 days have passed since a cat 5 hit US. In 1886, US was hit by 7 hurricanes…It has been over 6 years since a major one hit US. Deadliest hurricane to hit US happened in 1900. Florida hurricanes are in sharp decline. Florida has averaged nearly one per year since 1850. It has been over 6 years since Fla. was hit – the longest hurricane free period in that state.’

New Tropical Cyclone Research From China Reveals Major IPCC Prediction Fail

Third Quietest Hurricane Period On Record In The US: ‘US hurricane strikes have been on the decline since NOAA started measuring them before the Civil War’ — ‘Over the last six years, there have been officially six hurricane strikes in the US, the third quietest period on record. Six out of the seven quietest periods have been since 1975’

NOAA : ‘No trend toward more frequent or stronger hurricanes’: ‘Links these cycles of busy & quiet hurricane period in 20th Century to natural changes in Atlantic Ocean temps’


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