Analysis of IPCC weather report: ‘We Can’t Forecast Rain Three Days In Advance, But The IPCC Can Forecast It Three Decades In Advance’
'Weather is driven largely by ocean circulation patterns like ENSO,which no one has shown any skill at forecasting more than a couple of months in advance. [NASA's James] Hansen forecast a strong El Nino for the summer and we got the opposite. A few years ago Trenberth was blaming El Nino on CO2 and we had forecasts of permanent El Nino'