There’s Still Less Warming Than Climate Models Predicted, Despite 2016’s Claimed ‘Record Warmth’

By: - Climate DepotJanuary 18, 2017 1:25 PM

By Michael Bastasch

Right now, the world is about as warm as half the models predicted, but, remember, global surface temperatures were driven up a strong El Nino.

Climate scientist Zeke Hausfather compared the global average temperature record to climate model predictions. 

Climate models have consistently over-predicted global warming over longer periods.


“Bottom line (which remains unchanged by the 2016 global temperatures) … climate models continue to look like they produce too much warming,” Chip Knappenberger, a climate scientist with the libertarian Cato Institute, wrote in an email to The Daily Caller News Foundation.

“It took a near record strong El Nino event (i.e. natural warming event) to do this, and already, as the El Nino Fades the global temperatures are headed back to the lower-half of climate model projections,” he wrote to TheDCNF.