Farmer’s Almanac vs. The Feds: Feds failed with Winter forecast But ‘Farmers’ Almanac’ accurately predicted a ‘bitterly cold’ winter


By: - Climate DepotFebruary 20, 2014 9:12 AM with 1 comment

Flashback August 25, 2013: 

“Farmers’ Almanac” predicts a “bitterly cold” winter – CBS News – August 25, 2013

The Farmers’ Almanac is using words like “piercing cold,” “bitterly cold” and “biting cold” to describe the upcoming winter. And if its predictions are right, the first outdoor Super Bowl in years will be a messy “Storm Bowl.”

The 197-year-old publication that hits newsstands Monday predicts a winter storm will hit the Northeast around the time the Super Bowl is played at MetLife Stadium in the Meadowlands in New Jersey. It also predicts a colder-than-normal winter for two-thirds of the country and heavy snowfall in the Midwest, Great Lakes and New England.

“We’re using a very strong four-letter word to describe this winter, which is C-O-L-D. It’s going to be very cold,” said Sandi Duncan, managing editor.

Based on planetary positions, sunspots and lunar cycles, the almanac’s secret formula is largely unchanged since founder David Young published the first almanac in 1818.

Modern scientists don’t put much stock in sunspots or tidal action, but the almanac says its forecasts used by readers to plan weddings and plant gardens are correct about 80 percent of the time.

Last year, the forecast called for cold weather for the eastern and central U.S. with milder temperatures west of the Great Lakes. It started just the opposite but ended up that way.

Caleb Weatherbee, the publication’s elusive prognosticator, said he was off by only a couple of days on two of the season’s biggest storms: a February blizzard that paralyzed the Northeast with 3 feet of snow in some places and a sloppy storm the day before spring’s arrival that buried parts of New England.

Readers who put stock in the almanac’s forecasts may do well to stock up on long johns, especially if they’re lucky enough to get tickets to the Super Bowl on Feb. 2. The first Super Bowl held outdoors in a cold-weather environment could be both super cold and super messy, with a big storm due Feb. 1 to 3, the almanac says.

Said Duncan: “It really looks like the Super Bowl may be the Storm Bowl.”

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Related Link: 

Flashback August 2013: Warmist Meteorologist Paul Douglass scoffed at Farmer’s Almanac prediction of bitterly cold Winter for U.S.: Douglass: ‘The 2014 Farmer’s Almanac is predicting a very cold winter for much of the USA…What can possibly go wrong? I have my bootleg copy, but don’t bet the farm based on a 6-9 month weather prediction. If anything we may be limping into a mild El Nino, which could temper the coldest winds of winter.’ (Note: Paul Douglass bills himself as a ‘Republican Meteorologist’ who believes in man-made global warming claims)


  • Mervyn

    I think greater attention must be given to alternative weather forecasting methods such as the methodology of the Farmers Almanac, and the methodology of London’s Piers Corbyn of Weatheraction.com who also relies on solar activity