https://twitter.com/JoePiscopoShow/status/1767659621794156958
Heads Up Media – Texas Wildfires Have Nothing to Do with Climate Change By Anthony Watts A few days ago, a wildfire started in north Texas and grew quickly, driven by strong southwesterly winds. Named the Smokehouse Creek Fire, it has burned more than 1.1 million acres and is now the largest wildfire in Texas history. The mainstream media has been quick to blame climate change for the fire, with headlines like this one from NBC News: Wildfires ravage Texas amidst climate change crisis, or this one from ABC13 in Houston: How climate change is increasing wildfire risks across Texas. These stories are false; multiple lines of real-world data refute any connection between these fires and climate change. NBC News claims: The Texas Panhandle is no stranger to face-blasting winds nor roller-coaster dips in temperature. But the fires would not have had the same chance to take off if not for unseasonably warm temperatures and dry conditions made more likely by climate change. ABC13 claims: Additionally, climate change could increase Texan’s risks for wildfires over the next 30 years. ABC13 Meteorologist Elyse Smith has previously covered this topic through ABC’s Weathering Tomorrow initiative, which uses data from our partners at the First Street Foundation. It shows how wildfire risk, as well as heat, flood, and wind risks, will be impacted by climate change through the year 2050. If either of these news outlets had bothered to do a ‘fact check,’ they would find their claims are unsupported by real world data. Data from the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration for Texas show that the state has experienced a declining trend in number of very hot days and a slight increase in precipitation (see Figures 1 and 2, below). Figure 1 – From 1910 through 1964 the number of hot days was actually greater than the current period of time. Figure 2 – From 1970 to the present, average annual precipitation for Texas increased. With fewer hot days and increased precipitation recorded in the long-term climate records, the claim that Texas is more susceptible to wildfires now that in the past because of climate change is clearly false. Both media outlets suggested that the area where the fires are is drier than normal. This too is false. Here is a map from InciWeb showing the location of the Smokehouse Creek Fire (circled in red) in Figure 3. Figure 3 – location of the Smokehouse Creek Fire. According to the US drought monitor, the area now beset by the wildfire is not abnormally dry and certainly not experiencing drought conditions: Figure 4 – U.S. Drought Monitor map of Texas for Feb27, 2024. Note most of the upper Texas panhandle area is not in drought. Nor is the adjacent region of Oklahoma caught up in the wildfire suffering under abnormally dry or drought conditions. According to Climate at a Glance: U.S. Wildfires: Wildfires, especially in arid parts of the United States, have always been a natural part of the environment, and they likely always will. Global warming did not create wildfires. In fact, wildfires have become less frequent and less severe in recent decades. One of the key contributing factors has been that the United States has experienced fewer droughts in recent decades than in periods throughout the twentieth century. According to the National Park Service, wildfires in Texas have always been a part of the state’s history. However recently invasive species now cover much of the region. According to the Texas A&M Forest Service: Invasive species cause many negative impacts to the Texas landscape, from the displacement of native trees to potentially wiping out entire species. Much of the Texas panhandle region is overgrown with cedar, acacia and invasive mesquite trees which use up a lot of groundwater. Previously, natural fires in the region helped control the spread of this problem, but with modern fire suppression, fuel loads have increased. Even the most recent International Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assessment of global climate agrees. On Page 90 – Chapter 12 of the UN IPCC Sixth Assessment Report. Emergence of Climate Impact Drivers (CIDs) the table in Figure 5 shows the incidence of “Fire weather” has not emerged from climate change: Figure 5: note that Fire Weather has not emerged from climate change being a driver. Finally, recent satellite data show no correlation between wildfire acreage burned and carbon dioxide levels. In fact, global wildfire area burned declined substantially between 2000 to 2018, even as carbon dioxide levels increased. If climate change was driving an increase in wildfires you would see it in the global data, but it shows just the opposite. Actual data and various lines of hard evidence show that there is no connection between climate change and the wildfires now ravaging parts of north Texas and Oklahoma, or anywhere else for that matter. Sadly, once again the media is pushing the “climate catastrophe,” narrative in which every extreme weather event or natural disaster is caused by climate change, despite the clear evidence that this is false. In this case, rather than doing investigative due diligence, neither NBC nor ABC bothered to check facts before publishing these scare stories, which suggests that their reporters and editors are either lazy, incompetent, blinded by political ideology, or all three. Share Facebook Twitter Pinterest Email PREVIOUS ARTICLE Wrong, Des Moines Register, Fewer Blizzards Would Be a Benefit of Climate Change NEXT ARTICLE The Guardian Should Know That One Mild Winter Is Not Climate Change, Nor Is It Alarming Anthony Watts Anthony Watts is a senior fellow for environment and climate at The Heartland Institute. Watts has been in the weather business both in front of, and behind the camera as an on-air television meteorologist since 1978, and currently does daily radio forecasts. He has created weather graphics presentation systems for television, specialized weather instrumentation, as well as co-authored peer-reviewed papers on climate issues. He operates the most viewed website in the world on climate, the award-winning website wattsupwiththat.com.
https://arcfieldweather.com/blog/2023/12/21/a-year-end-wrap-upus-wildfires-down-in-2023tornadoes-slightly-below-normalan-active-hurricane-season-but-most-activity-stayed-over-the-atlantic-and-other-tropical-metrics-nearly-normal By Meteorologist Paul Dorian – Arcfield – arcfieldweather.com 2023 US Wildfire Season The news has been quite good this year with respect to the total number of acres burned on US soil due to wildfire activity. In fact, the total acreage burned this year is under 3 million (through 12/18) which is far below the 10-year average of nearly 7 million from 2013-2022 and the lowest since 1998. Data source: https://www.nifc.gov/fire-information/nfn One of the main contributing factors to the down year in overall US wildfire activity is the fact that it has been a mild year in California with the number of burned acres under 390,000 (as of 12/18). This value is down about 75% from the 5-year average of about 1.6 million acres burned in the Golden State (data source). The relatively mild year of 2023 follows another relatively mild year in 2022; however, the two years before that (2020, 2021) were some of the worst on record. The path of Tropical Storm Hilary which brought rainfall to southern California during the middle of August. Credit: Wikipedia The weather during 2023 played an important role in keeping wildfire activity on the mild side across California. To begin, the winter of 2022-2023 brought very high precipitation amounts to the Golden State with record-breaking snow amounts at the higher elevations (e.g., Sierra Nevada). The melting of the snow this past summer season indeed lasted as late as ever in some spots helping to keep plenty of soil on the wet side across portions of California. Also, the wildfire season of summer and fall featured overall cooler than normal conditions helping to inhibit wildfire formation and expansion. Finally, Tropical Storm Hilary made a visit to the southern part of the state during the middle of August and the precipitation from this storm played a beneficial role in inhibiting wildfires during the all-important late summer and early fall time period.
https://uk.finance.yahoo.com/news/burning-electric-cars-must-dunked-160000654.html By Noah Eastwood Electric Car Fire BathAround 13pc of electric vehicle fires reignite, sometimes hours later, making the fires harder to extinguish than those of petrol or diesel cars – Pro Shots/Alamy Stock PhotoCar park spaces should become wider and burning electric cars dunked in baths of water, under proposed government guidelines to prevent battery fires spreading out of control. Ministers have been told that battery-powered vehicles pose a medley of risks in indoor car parks, which could render 1960s-era fire safety laws dangerously out of date. Areas of concern addressed in a government-commissioned report included explosions of flammable vapour clouds emitted by electric vehicle batteries, as well as jets of fire and toxic water run-off from firefighting. The report, from consultancy Arup, which makes a series of recommendations for changes to fire safety rules, said that there was a “high degree of uncertainty” about data on the fire risks of electric cars and that it is “not yet understood” whether their batteries become more of a fire hazard with age.
The Governor of New Mexico has just declared the 1st & 2nd Amendment “does not exist” due to an “emergency.” Under this legal theory *all* of our “rights” are essentially eliminated. Watch the most evil & tyrannical 60 seconds you’ve ever heard from a politician: pic.twitter.com/xLpMSTbyi2 — Benny Johnson (@bennyjohnson) September 9, 2023 She’s nuts, but she’s taking what the tyrants did during COVID (forced jabs, travel bans, closed businesses, suppressed speech – with no laws passed) to the next level. https://t.co/RDbUQ4Y42q — Thomas Massie (@RepThomasMassie) September 9, 2023 NM governor issues emergency public health order… banning the carrying of firearms https://www.americanthinker.com/blog/2023/09/leftists_banning_civil_rights_for_an_emergency__who_did_nazi_this_coming.html By D. Parker Excerpt: New Mexico Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham says she is suspending open and concealed carry privileges in Bernalillo County for the next 30 days. … Nevertheless, all of this brings up the central question of the day on our common-sense civil rights being suspended by the stroke of a pen. Olivia Murray covered the initial insanity of the order here: NM governor issues emergency public health order… banning the carrying of firearms. Where she made a point that needs to be reiterated: It annoys me to no end when conservatives concede (albeit unwittingly) to the left’s war on language (and liberty). Rights do not come from government, they come from God; God, not government, is the ultimate authority. Like the Declaration says: We hold these truths to be self-evident, that all men are created equal, that they are endowed by their Creator with certain unalienable rights [emphasis added], that among these are Life, Liberty and the pursuit of Happiness. That to secure these rights, Governments are instituted among Men [emphasis added], deriving their just powers from the consent of the governed…. Please read the rest of that since we cannot do it justice here. But just when you thought suspending a basic human right was bad enough, the story devolved into something even worse. In explaining the order erasing a whole portion of our founding documents: The governor says she doesn’t expect criminals to follow the order. But she hopes it is ‘a resounding message,’ to everyone else in the community to report gun crime. ‘The point here is, is that, if everyone did it, and I wasn’t legally challenged, you would have fewer risks on the street, and I could safely say, to every New Mexican, particularly those folks living in Albuquerque and Bernalillo County, I believe that you’re safer for the next 30 days, we have to wait and see,’ said Lujan Grisham. Did you catch that? The governor says she doesn’t expect criminals to follow the order. So, she is not only endangering the people by disarming them as is usually the case with the left’s socialist national agenda. But she also doesn’t care if the criminals comply with that order. Shouldn’t that be her top priority if she supposedly cares about safety? Or is there something else at work here? # Climate Depot’s Marc Morano: Emergency declarations are end of freedom! Bypass legislators and constitution. Endless crises or emergencies can be declared to bypass democracy, such as ‘misinformation’ viruses, climate, terrorism, war, gun violence, white supremacy, etc. See: Watch: Morano on Tucker Carlson: Ukraine war, ’emergency declarations’ & crises are being used to bypass democracy to implement Green New Deal Marc Morano: No. What they’ve decided as they are going to rule by emergency declaration, by crisis management. This is how they want to do it. The COVID emergency declaration gave us, particularly in blue states, some red states, every governor became a dictator virtually overnight as they imposed whatever mandate they felt like. Whether it was masks, kids, vaccine passports, you name it, they could do it because they were empowered. Look back in history, the fall of the Roman Republic into an empire was due to the abuse of emergency powers. So was the centralization of power in the middle ages. The German republic, 1933, 12-year (state of emergency) declaration in Germany led to of course all the abuses in Germany. Now we’ve got the Patriot Act,(due to 9/11’s 2001 Declaration of National Emergency), through this kind of crisis management. Now they are using, right after the Covid crisis, they’re going to pile on with this. People would not volunteer to give up their cars, or their SUVs. But now you have reports like International Energy Agency calling for stopping the driving of cars on Sunday, they want to do odd/even license plates for when you can drive, lowering speed limits, SUV taxes. Because we are in this energy crisis. They are achieving policies that they could never get through the elections. Great Reset By Marc Morano – Chapter 12 Excerpt: ‘COVID Lockdowns Morph to Climate Lockdowns’ If Biden declares a ‘Climate Emergency,’ he would seize 130 new powers – Seeks repeat of COVID-style lockdowns with bypassing of democracy – Morano Responds
https://notrickszone.com/2023/08/27/canada-forest-fires-trend-has-gone-down-since-2000-data-defy-alarmist-claims/?utm_source=feedly&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=canada-forest-fires-trend-has-gone-down-since-2000-data-defy-alarmist-claims by P Gosselin Arson likely at play…images for shock journalists By Klimanachrichten Unusual weather situations are always the hour of attribution researchers these days. Canada is suffering from forest fires again this year. The reason is the persistent drought. According to a study, climate change has doubled the likelihood of forest fires in Canada: Extreme wildfire conditions in Canada have been fueled by intense, spatially extensive and persistent fire-conducive weather conditions, known as fire weather, which has been observed since the beginning of May throughout the country. Canada has experienced its warmest May-June period since 1940, beating the previous record set in 1998 by a huge margin (0.8°C). At the national scale, relative humidity was also very low. The warm and dry conditions, together with continuous southeasterly winds fueled extensive fire spread in Alberta, British Columbia, central Saskatchewan and southwestern portions of the Northwest Territories. There are at least 17 direct fatalities linked to the fires, more than 150,000 people have been evacuated, and at least 200 structures, including homes, were damaged in the fires (AP News, 2023). The Canadian wildfires have severely impacted air quality locally in Canada, and in the neighboring United States with Air Quality Index (AQI) values frequently exceeding safe levels in the Midwest and northeast USA, and in some cases approaching record levels (e.g. on June 7th AQI reached 341 in New York City, considered hazardous for all residents) (CNBC, 2023). Similarly, in southern Ontario, including the cities of Ottawa and Toronto, air quality reached the ‘very high risk’ level forcing officials to cancel public events and reduce hours for outdoor public services. Schools remained closed for several days in many states, including Nova Scotia, New York, New Jersey, and Connecticut.” Trend defies alarmist claims But the country’s official wildfire statistics do not show this suspected trend. Statista lists them. Strictly speaking, the trend in the number of fires is actually decreasing until 2022. For 2023, the numbers will rise again to August 23, 2023 almost 6,000 fires were counted. But that will still be below the 2006 figures. Source: Statista Now the study does not say that the number of forest fires has doubled, but the probability. That’s different, of course, but it’s hard to grasp, because in the end it’s the fires and the damage they cause that count. In the case of Canada, there are aggravating circumstances. Unlike in Europe, forest fires there can have natural triggers, i.e. lightning. This does not exclude arson, but broadens the sources of ignition. A CBS report puts the number of natural causes at 50%. Jörg Kachelmann already assumed deliberate arson in June 2023 in the Kölner Stadtanzeiger. At that time it burned in the east of the country and the smoke went as far as the USA. Kachelmann also assumes humans are the cause of the increased number of wildfires in eastern Canada. He tweeted a satellite image of the fires on the east coast, showing the individual sources of fire. Within an hour, there had been fires in more than ten places, Kachelmann wrote. Thunderstorms could not be considered as the cause of the fires, because this did not correspond to the weather situation at that time. I agree to external content from the external platform Twitter being displayed to me. Personal data may be transmitted to third-party platforms in the process. More on this in our privacy policy. Kachelmann assumes deliberate arson and says it was also clear at the time where the smoke would travel, namely to the East Coast of the United States. ‘I have never seen such a mass arson and it is very intriguing,” Kachelmann commented further.’” He even suspected arson to create certain images in the media. The ZDF reports in its foreign news “Auslandsjournal” about the fires and lets Zeke Hausfather come to word. He also mentions the last 3 La Nina years, which would have delayed an increase in warming. This is noteworthy because such natural climate forcings do not appear in many reports. Hausfather describes a mix as emissions by humans and such forcings as a combination. The program can be seen until November 23,2023 in the ZDF-Media archives.
Quebec man arrested for starting multiple wildfires Quebec RCMP have arrested a 37-year-old man from Chibougamau after a “meticulous investigation” into the devastating forest fires that ravaged the province’s north earlier this summer. Quebec man arrested for starting multiple wildfires
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2023/09/arson-confirmed-as-cause-louisianas-largest-ever-wildfire/ By Jim Hᴏft State officials announced yesterday that the devastating wildfire that ravaged over 33,000 acres in Louisiana — the largest in the state’s history — was caused by arson. Louisiana has been facing an unprecedented wildfire crisis, with a record-breaking number of 441 fires burning from August 1 to August 24, according to the Louisiana Department of Agriculture and Forestry (LDAF). The Tiger Island Fire in Louisiana is the largest wildfire in the state’s history. It has burned over 33,000 acres, which is more than the state usually has in an entire year. “This is unprecedented. We’ve never had to fight this many fires simultaneously and at this duration. We’re fighting between 25 and 30 [wildfires] today,” said Mike Strain, the commissioner for Louisiana’s Department of Agriculture and Forestry, during a press conference last month. Why a Veteran-Owned Freeze-Dried Beef Company Unabashedly Embraces an America First Worldview “It’s burning very intensely. It’s moving pretty fast, and you can feel the air picking up. That’s from the heat of the fire sucking air into the fire,” he added.
https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-12482921/climate-scientist-patrick-brown-wildfires-started-people.html By LEWIS PENNOCK FOR DAILYMAIL.COM Patrick T. Brown, a lecturer at Johns Hopkins University, claimed the world’s leading academic journals reject papers which don’t ‘support certain narratives’ He also took aim at the media for focusing ‘intently on climate change as the root cause’ of wildfires, including the recent devastating fires in Hawaii The approach ‘distorts a great deal of climate science research’, Brown wrote in a piece for The Free Press A climate change scientist has claimed the world’s leading academic journals reject papers which don’t ‘support certain narratives’ about the issue and instead favor ‘distorted’ research which hypes up dangers rather than solutions. Patrick T. Brown, a lecturer at Johns Hopkins University and doctor of earth and climate sciences, said editors at Nature and Science – two of the most prestigious scientific journals – select ‘climate papers that support certain preapproved narratives’. In an article for The Free Press, Brown likened the approach to the way ‘the press focus so intently on climate change as the root cause’ of wildfires, including the recent devastating fires in Hawaii. He pointed out research that said 80 percent of wildfires are ignited by humans. Brown gave the example of a paper he recently authored titled ‘Climate warming increases extreme daily wildfire growth risk in California‘. Brown said the paper, published in Nature last week, ‘focuses exclusively on how climate change has affected extreme wildfire behavior’ and ignored other key factors. Brown laid out his claims in an article titled ‘I Left Out the Full Truth to Get My Climate Change Paper Published’. ‘I just got published in Nature because I stuck to a narrative I knew the editors would like. That’s not the way science should work,’ the article begins. +5 View gallery Patrick T. Brown, a lecturer at Johns Hopkins University with a PhD in earth and climate sciences, said editors at Nature and Science – two of the most prestigious scientific journals – ‘want climate papers that support certain preapproved narratives’ +5 View gallery Brown said one of his studies on the subject was published by Nature ‘because I stuck to a narrative I knew the editors would like’ +5 View gallery He also took aim at the media for focusing ‘intently on climate change as the root cause’ of wildfires, including the recent devastating fires in Hawaii. Pictured: A search, rescue and recovery member conducts search operations of areas damaged by Maui wildfires in Lahaina ‘I knew not to try to quantify key aspects other than climate change in my research because it would dilute the story that prestigious journals like Nature and its rival, Science, want to tell,’ he wrote of his recently-published work. ‘This matters because it is critically important for scientists to be published in high-profile journals; in many ways, they are the gatekeepers for career success in academia. And the editors of these journals have made it abundantly clear, both by what they publish and what they reject, that they want climate papers that support certain preapproved narratives—even when those narratives come at the expense of broader knowledge for society. ‘To put it bluntly, climate science has become less about understanding the complexities of the world and more about serving as a kind of Cassandra, urgently warning the public about the dangers of climate change. However understandable this instinct may be, it distorts a great deal of climate science research, misinforms the public, and most importantly, makes practical solutions more difficult to achieve.’ The journals Science and Nature were approached for comment. Brown opened his missive with links to stories by AP, PBS NewsHour, The New York Times and Bloomberg which he said give the impression global wildfires are ‘mostly the result of climate change’. He said that ‘climate change is an important factor’ but ‘isn’t close to the only factor that deserves our sole focus’. Much reporting of the wildfires in Maui has said climate change contributed to the disaster by contributing to conditions that helped the fires to spark and spread quickly. The fires, which killed at least 115 people, are believed to have been started by a downed electricity line, but observers have said rising temperatures caused extremely dry conditions on the Hawaiian island.
https://twitter.com/BjornLomborg/status/1695126588470280438 Statistician Dr. Bjorn Lomborg:
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