Meteorologist Joe Bastardi: Geothermal correlations suggest a downturn in tropical activity globally & in the Atlantic

Special to Climate Depot

By Joe Bastardi

We all know that correlation does not have to mean causation, but I’d like to propose an idea for consideration. Could geothermal activity be influencing tropical Atlantic weather patterns, particularly through the thermohaline circulation that flows from the Indian Ocean under Africa? The Mid-Atlantic Ridge, where seafloor spreading occurs, lies directly beneath the main development region of the Atlantic. The combined effect of these geothermal processes might explain much of the Atlantic’s warming and cooling cycles.

So look at this chart for the umpteenth time

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and look at the ACE index during that time

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As opposed to the previous 35 years

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Let’s remember where that mid-ocean spreading zone is

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Is it coincidental that the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) shifted to a positive phase when geothermal activity increased? Some studies suggest that every 60 to 70 years, there’s a reversal in the Earth’s exosphere, potentially affecting the rate of seafloor spreading. Could the current ocean temperature patterns be a warmer version of what occurred in the 1930s, 1940s, and 1950s? Unfortunately, we lack sufficient data from those earlier periods, and even now, our data is limited. However, when examining the Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) index alongside geothermal activity, it’s hard to dismiss the possibility outright. While there may be arguments against this idea, dismissing it as implausible seems like a denial of a legitimate hypothesis.

This concept is controversial because it challenges prevailing narratives. We know the sun plays a dominant role in long termclimate, and some researchers argue it explains most climate variability.

Suggested reading

https://juniperpublishers.com/ijesnr/pdf/IJESNR.MS.ID.556271.pdf

https://blog.friendsofscience.org/2023/03/29/the-geothermal-paradox-how-the-earths-second-largest-heat-source-may-be-driving-the-most-recent-warming/

https://theethicalskeptic.com/tag/core-exothermic-cycle/

The exosphere reversal theory, as I understand it, suggests that gravitational influences from the sun and planets may affect Earth’s core dynamics. Over the past 30 to 35 years, these gravitational forces may have exerted a stronger pull on Earth. I’m not an expert in these fields, but my goal is to raise awareness in the meteorological community about these observations and their potential implications.

This idea is particularly sensitive because it could further undermine the emphasis on CO2 as the primary driver of climate change. With trillions of dollars invested in CO2-centric policies, there’s naturally resistance to alternative hypotheses. I’m not claiming this theory is definitive, but I question why it isn’t being seriously investigated. I don’t see why I’m considered radical for suggesting we explore this possibility in earnest.

In the meantime, an impressive downturn

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has been followed by a rapid drop off vs last years record Sea surface temps

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and the overall pattern of warmest water lined up to the north in the Atlantic

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vs last year

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and large scale higher than average pressures

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vs last year

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Along with what appears to be a large-scale malaise in tropical vertical velocity patterns meaning globally a down year in tropical cyclones and that may very well carry into the Atlantic,  We have a much weaker season than last year, but still a tad above normal. That may have to be taken down with the latest update coming out in early August, before the meat of the season

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