Study: Hurricanes: ‘It’s Better Than We Thought’ – ‘Simply no increase’ in global hurricane activity
Full study here:
London 13 January: A new paper from the Global Warming Policy Foundation (GWPF) reveals that there has been no increase in global hurricane activity, despite frequent claims that global warming is making hurricanes more of a problem.
As the report’s author, Paul Homewood, explains:
“The theory is that rising sea-surface temperatures should make hurricanes more frequent or more intense or both. But observational data shows that there is no empirical evidence to support the theory.”
This is because most records of hurricane activity show no long-term increases, either in total numbers of hurricanes or of the most intense ones.
“The best records we have are of US landfalling hurricanes. Based on this dataset, we’d expect two hurricanes each year, or occasionally three. But since 2000, the series average is just 1.5. It’s the same if you look at the Atlantic hurricane records or the shorter global record: there is simply no increase in activity.”
Paul Homewood: Tropical Hurricanes in the Age of Global Warming (PDF)
Update: The warmists are already attacking the new study:
It did not take long for alarmist trolls to react to my hurricane paper.
If Mr Rabett had bothered to read the rest of the Arizona Education factsheet, which he quoted from, he would have found this statement:
Nowadays all Atlantic storms are constantly monitored by satellite, and hurricane hunter aircraft where appropriate. I wonder how he thinks we used to do it in 1851?
That is why NOAA’s Hurricane Research Division states that reliable Atlantic data only starts in 1966:
Eli Rabett is really Dr Joshua Halpern, who prefers to hide behind a pseudonym, and likes to think he is smarter than the rest of us. If this is the best he can do, he really must try harder in future.