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Sahara Expert Says Desert Shrinking, Calls Alarmist Tipping Points ‘Complete Nonsense’

https://notrickszone.com/2023/11/11/sahara-expert-says-desert-shrinking-calls-alarmist-tipping-points-complete-nonsense/ By P Gosselin on 11. November 2023 Climate tipping points are much more fantasy than science  Austrian AUF 1 has posted posted a video interview with prominent German geologist and Sahara expert Dr. Stefan Kröpelin, Sahara has been shrinking over the past decades. Image: NASA Dr. Kröpelin is an award-wining geologist and climate researcher at the University of Cologne and specializes in studying the eastern Sahara desert and its climatic history. He’s been active out in the field there for more than 40 years. In the Auf 1 interview, Dr. Kröpelin contradicts the alarmist claims of growing deserts and rapidly approaching climate tipping points. He says that already in the late 1980s rains had begun spreading into northern Sudan and have since indeed developed into a trend. Since then, rains have increased and vegetation has spread northwards. “The desert is shrinking; it is not growing.” Kröpelin confirms that when the last ice age ended some 12,000 years ago, the eastern Sahara turned green with vegetation, teemed with wildlife and had numerous bodies of water 5000 – 10,000 years ago (more here). Later in the interview Kröpelin explains how the eastern Sahara climate was reconstructed using a vast multitude of sediment cores and the proxy data they yielded. According to the German geology expert: “The most important studies that we conducted all show that after the ice age, when global temperatures rose, the Sahara greened”…”the monsoon rains increased, the ground water rose”. This all led to vegetation and wildlife taking hold over thousands of year. Then over the past few thousands of years, the region dried out. It didn’t happen all of a sudden like climate models suggest. Modelers don’t understand climate complexity When asked about dramatic tipping points (8:00) such as those claimed to be approaching by the Potsdam Institute (PIK), Kröpelin says he’s very skeptical and doesn’t believe crisis scenarios such as those proposed by former PIK head, Hans-Joachim Schellnhuber. He says people making such claims “never did any studies themselves in any climate zone on the earth and they don’t understand how complex climate change is.” Except for catastrophic geological events, “it’s not how nature works,” Kröpelin says. “Things change gradually.” The claims that “we have to be careful that things don’t get half a degree warmer, otherwise everything will collapse, is of course complete nonsense.” “I would say this concept [tipping points] is baseless. Much more indicates that they won’t happen than that they will happen.” Late last year in Munich, he called the notion of CO2-induced climate tipping points scientifically outlandish. He also called the prospect of the Sahara spreading into Europe preposterous. U of Cologne Sahara Expert, Geologist Dr. Stefan Kröpelin Says Desert Is Shrinking, Calls Alarmist Tipping Points From 0.5°C Warming "Complete Nonsense"…Modelers Don't Understand Climate Complexity… Climate Changes Gradual @ClimateDepot @EIKE_KLIMA https://t.co/mVrbahV3Pf pic.twitter.com/XwnbdfupHv — Pierre L. Gosselin (@NoTricksZone) November 11, 2023

Watch: King Charles III activates the ‘Climate Clock’ – ‘Only 6 years & 24 days left to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees’ – But he previously issued 10 year, 18 month, 100 month & 35 year tipping points

ICYMI – King Charles III activated the "Climate Clock" today.pic.twitter.com/LJvhx8oYpe — Disclose.tv (@disclosetv) June 28, 2023   https://www.climateaction.org/news/king-attends-national-climate-clock-switch-on-at-climate-innovation-forum 28 June, London: His Majesty King Charles III has today attended the launch of a Climate Clock, representing a stark warning that there are only six years and 24 days left to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees[1]. The event took place at Climate Action’s Climate Innovation Forum (CIF), where His Majesty also attended a meeting on climate solutions and met British climate-tech founders. The Climate Clock was switched on by Sadiq Khan, Mayor of London, using a button made of plastic recovered from the ocean. The activation of a five-metre-tall Climate Clock in the City of London’s historic Guildhall automatically launched 150 climate clocks across London and major cities nationwide – the largest of which is at Piccadilly Circus. Billboards were donated by Ocean Outdoor and JCDecaux. The Climate Clock represents the speed of action that must be taken to limit the worst of climate change and global warming. It also visualises the Renewable Energy Lifeline, which monitors the percentage share of global consumption generated by renewable resources. For more than five decades, as Prince of Wales, The King has championed action for a sustainable future. Before the Climate Clock was activated, a short film was played, featuring speeches over the last 50 years by His Majesty, as Prince of Wales, on the subject. # Jet-setting London mayor blasted for activating ‘climate clock’ with ominous 6-year warning: ‘Leave us alone’  – Mayor Sadiq Khan has been criticized over his own carbon footprint in recent years # King Charles and Another Climate Timetable By ANDREW STUTTAFORD – Charles has already made a fool of himself over climate timetables before. The Independent (July 9, 2009): Capitalism and consumerism have brought the world to the brink of economic and environmental collapse, the Prince of Wales has warned in a grandstand speech which set out his concerns for the future of the planet. The heir to the throne told an audience of industrialists and environmentalists at St James’s Palace last night that he had calculated that we have just 96 months left to save the world. And in a searing indictment on capitalist society, Charles said we can no longer afford consumerism and that the “age of convenience” was over. The Washington Times (July 28, 2015): Prince Charles is warning that there are only 35 years left to save the planet from climate disaster, which represents a 33-year extension of his previous deadline. In March 2009, the heir to the British throne predicted that the world had 100 months “before we risk catastrophic climate change,” as pointed out by Climate Depot’s Marc Morano. Rupert Darwall in RealClearEnergy (May 2023): A 2021 paper on extreme climate forecasts tabulates 79 predictions of climate-caused catastrophe dating back to the first Earth Day in 1970. Charles has the distinction of being the only individual to be featured three times, with separate predictions of climate apocalypse. As the paper’s co-author David Rode of Carnegie Mellon University comments, alongside Stanford biologist Paul Ehrlich, Prince Charles has “warned repeatedly of ‘irretrievable ecosystem collapse’ if actions were not taken, repeated the prediction with a new definitive end date. Their predictions have repeatedly been apocalyptic and highly certain . . . and so far, they’ve also been wrong.” Charles is, of course, entitled to his opinions on climate change. He is not, however, entitled to use his throne as, so to speak, a platform to express them. This presents him with a choice he should not be allowed to dodge. As noted above, if the crisis is as grave as he suggests, it is surely his duty to step down so that he can be free to speak out about the approaching apocalypse, beginning, perhaps, like his younger son, with a book, and an interview with Oprah. Flashback 2019: Earth ‘serially doomed’: The official history of climate ‘Tipping Points’ began in 1864 – A new ‘global warming’ 12-year deadline from Rep. Ocasio-Cortez Here we go again! Prince Charles issues new 10 years to save the planet tipping point – He previously issued 18 month, 100 month, 35 year tipping points – 2020: The Prince of Wales warns that humans have just ten years left to save planet  – ‘We really do have to pull our fingers out now because the theory is we have got this decade left,’ he declared. 2019: Prince Charles at it again: Issues new 18-month climate tipping point after previous ‘100 month’ deadline expires–  Flashback: 2015: Prince Charles gives world reprieve: Extends ‘100-Month’ climate ‘tipping point’ to 35 more years– Prince Charles had previously issued a 100-month climate tipping point deadline in 2009. Flashback: Climate activist Prince Charles has his shoelaces ironed every morning, travels with own toilet seat The Prince of Wales has warned global leaders that if we don’t tackle climate change in 18 months the human race will go extinct in a speech in London yesterday to foreign ministers from the Commonwealth. “I am firmly of the view that the next 18 months will decide our ability to keep climate change to survivable levels and to restore nature to the equilibrium we need for our survival,” Prince Charles said.  # Flashback: 2015: Prince Charles gives world reprieve: Extends ‘100-Month’ climate ‘tipping point’ to 35 more years– Prince Charles had previously issued a 100-month climate tipping point deadline in 2009. Flashback: Climate activist Prince Charles has his shoelaces ironed every morning, travels with own toilet seat CBS News: Two climate activists named Gan Golan and Andrew Boyd watched as the display changed into the Climate Clock — the culmination of a two-year dream come true…Now, from left to right, the Climate Clock displays a deadline of sorts: the years, days, hours, minutes and seconds left to curb greenhouse gas emissions enough to give the Earth a two-thirds chance of staying below 1.5 degrees Celsius of warming, as compared to pre-industrial times. This is the goal of the international Paris Climate Agreement — a level of warming which, if we exceed, scientists say the impacts will become increasingly more disastrous… Humanity only has a little over seven years to meet this very ambitious, and some would say unattainable, goal. But Boyd says, whether or not we choose to accept this timeline, the laws of physics don’t much care. “You can’t negotiate with reality. You can’t negotiate with science. Scientists are telling us that the next seven years are crucial to the fate of the Earth and to humanity.”  Flashback April 2020: John Kerry updates climate tipping point on Earth Day: ‘Time is running out: Less than 9 years to avoid climate catastrophe’

Live Science Misleads on Extreme Weather, Tipping Points, & Polar Bears, Among Other Topics

https://climaterealism.com/2022/12/live-science-misleads-on-extreme-weather-tipping-points-and-polar-bears-among-other-topics/?vgo_ee=XQZTM02jxyWNqK1SDKHp%2FHwFoqDlMHNmyq65fGLdufk%3D By  Linnea Lueken Live Science misleads readers with a recently posted “listicle” discussing ten types of extreme weather events which it says became further proof in 2022 that climate change is causing an impending climate “disaster.” The claims therein are either false, incomplete, or misleading. Three claims Live Science made in its list stand out as particularly egregious: that the Earth is seeing worse and more unpredictable weather patterns; that polar bears are starving and desperate for food; and that we are rapidly reaching climate tipping points that spell doom for the world. None of these claims has any basis in data or historical evidence. The article, “10 signs we got closer to climate disaster in 2022,” written by Live Science managing editor Tia Ghose, claims that the Earth is warming dramatically, and this warming is causing a plethora of negative effects that prove “Earth’s climate is out of control.” While the article is full of climate fallacies, three are particularly egregiously mistaken or misleading. Number four on Ghose’s list of an impending climate disaster is “climate chaos” which she described as “[u]nchecked greenhouse gas emissions will not only warm the planet; they will make weather patterns more erratic and unpredictable.” Number six, on Ghose’s list is closely tied to number four, “worse weather.” No real-world data exists supporting the claim that the Earth’s climate is suffering from some type of “weather whiplash.” Indeed, as explored in Climate Realism, here, here, and here, for example, data do not provide evidence of any significant change in how quickly the weather can turn. Additionally, no type of extreme weather event has a measurably worsening trend over the past thirty years, the time period over which “climate change” is measured. This is not the first time Live Science has made the claim that weather is worsening globally, despite the fact that weather data shows nothing of the sort. Hurricanes, cold snaps, tornadoes, and other commonly cited weather events, show no sign of increasing in frequency or intensity. Live Science has been refuted on this exact point before in a Climate Realism post, here. Number five on Ghose’s listicle claims polar bears are suffering from climate change, causing them to forage on trash: “Dumpster-diving polar bears.” Ghose claims that, because of sea ice losses, polar bears are forced to scavenge closer to human settlements, including landfills. The claim that polar bear hunting grounds are suffering massive losses is at best exaggerated. In Western Hudson Bay, for example, Canada’s “polar bear capitol,” has seen no significant decline in sea ice or a trend towards late in the season freezes, as discussed in the Climate Realism post, “Wrong BBC – No Evidence for Your Claim that Churchill is Simply Getting Too Warm for Polar Bears.” Research done by Arctic scientists, including Susan Crockford, shows that polar bear populations have been increasing, and possibly 6,000 bears have been added to the population since just 2016. In regions where summer sea ice has declined, the hypothesis that seals would decline and cause bear starvation has not panned out—the opposite actually occurred in a study region in Chukchi. Larger populations of bears and humans in the same regions would logically cause more human-bear contact, no catastrophic climate change required. Polar bears, like black and brown bears, are opportunistic feeders. When edible trash is available, they take advantage of it. Availability and delectability, not lack of other options, is the reason some polar bears are dumpster diving. Ninth on the Live Science list is the impending “Point of no return,” with “[t]ipping points beyond which the climate begins irreversibly breaking down could be reached at much lower temperatures than past models suggested,” Ghose writes. “All tipping points will be reached if Earth’s temperature rises 2.7 F (1.5 C) above preindustrial levels.” The doomsday value appears to have already been surpassed in Europe, with no disastrous results, as discussed in Climate at a Glance: Tipping Point – 1.5 Degrees Celsius Warming. (See figure below) Figure 1: Berkeley Earth average European temperature. (http://berkeleyearth.lbl.gov/regions/europe) Predictions of tipping points are convenient because they happen at unspecified times in the future, rely on computer model projections rather than hard data, and can’t be falsified easily because of the inherent chaotic properties of the Earth’s climate over time. None of the catastrophic climate predictions of the past have come to pass, even as the planet has warmed and people have added carbon dioxide to the atmosphere. Evidence actually points to the contrary, as pointed out in this Climate Realism post, here, one paleoclimate study from the University of Washington actually shows that the buildup of atmospheric carbon dioxide is actually very unlikely to cause rapid change. Most rapid changes in global climate appears to be driven by shifts in oceanic circulation patterns. Live Science seems to shoot from the hip on their climate and weather related articles, with dozens of posts claiming individual storms, threats to species, and public health issues, are caused by climate change. In reality, available hard data shows: no trend in worsening weather; polar bear experts acknowledge that polar bears are thriving, despite some ice loss in certain regions; and climate tipping points are mere exercises in computer simulations of disaster scenarios, from models that even climate scientists have been forced to acknowledge are seriously flawed. Contrary to recent claims, it is impossible to attribute any particular instance of extreme weather to long-term climate change. Live Science would serve its readers better if it stuck to discussing fact-based science, instead of engaging in alarmist activism when discussing climate change or any other issue of ongoing scientific debate. Linnea Lueken https://www.heartland.org/about-us/who-we-are/linnea-lueken Linnea Lueken is a Research Fellow with the Arthur B. Robinson Center on Climate and Environmental Policy. While she was an intern with The Heartland Institute in 2018, she co-authored a Heartland Institute Policy Brief “Debunking Four Persistent Myths About Hydraulic Fracturing.”

Watch: Morano on Jesse Watters Primetime on Fox News talks about failed climate tipping points going back to 1864

Jesse Watters Primetime – Fox News Channel – Broadcast April 22, 2022 RUSH TRANSCRIPT:   Judge Jeanine Pirro: Here now Marc Morano, author of the Green Fraud and Congressman Byron Donalds of Florida. Good to have you both here this evening. Marc, you have a lot of information on this. The thing that struck me that I remembered from three years ago was apartment AOC saying 12 years now we have nine years. What is going to happen? Will you tell me what it is? Morano: The end of civilization. Prince Charles had a 100-month climate tipping point. He counted down the 100 months and when he got to zero he issued a new tipping point to something like 2048. They extend the tipping point when it expires. I was able to trace the first climate tipping point, Judge, back to 1864 when Abraham Lincoln was president. An academic named Leo Marx warned of ‘climatic excess’ unless men changed their ways. This is deeply hard-wired within human beings that we have a sort of doomsday and that we have to be punished for our sins and it takes on a sort of religion. We have to do these rituals in order to save ourselves. The rituals, of course, are the Green New Deal, U.N. climate treaties, giving up our vehicles, cutting thermostats, not eating hamburgers — a long list of virtue signaling that even John Kerry admits would have no impact on zero-emissions even if the U.S. zeroed down to nothing. It’s nonsense, but now is a good time to review what’s going on on Earth Day. Judge Jeanine: I never ever remembered what earth day meant. Congressman Donalds one of the things they keep talking about are these electric cars. The problem is we don’t have an electric vehicle infrastructure. You know, so, we want — we want to get rid of gas and fuel and shut down the Keystone pipeline and no more drilling on federal lands. New drilling anyway. How do we make this segue from gas to electric? >> Rep. Donalds: The segue that they want to take us down is incredibly expensive and something we simply can’t afford. You are right, there is no electric infrastructure. If you went and moved, let’s say the postal service to an all-electric postal service, I have asked them where are you going to get all the additional electricity you need on the grid to power the cars. Judge Jeanine: thank you. Rep. Donalds: What they will tell you is we have to burn more natural gas, we have to burn more oil. What are we doing? Don’t forget the facts that when you do electric vehicles, you need cobalt, lithium, rare earth mineral. China controls those minerals across the globe. Hunter Biden helped facilitate cobaltmine in Africa. Giving money to the Chinese for electric vehicles that we don’t have the energy for on our own electric grid. > Judge Jeanine: And, Marc, as it relates to that idea of getting these electric cars, and then getting the lithium batteries from China, wasn’t Afghanistan involved in that, also? The lithium mines are in Afghanistan? Morano: Yes. China wouldn’t meet with Joe Biden but they met with Afghanistan. China is now going to be mining the rare earth metals there. They’re mining them in Africa as the congressman said. It was children as young as 9 according to international rights organizations. Electric cars when you plug them in, you are plugging them into oil, coal, gas chiefly. The idea of the electric car being all green is nonsense. We are giving away American energy dominance we had just with President Trump for the first time since Harry Truman — giving all of that up for more reliance on China, Russia, OPEC, we are outsourcing our energy and we have the best environmental standards in the world. All we are doing is increasing real pollution in the world is when we outsource in order to meet the, quote, green agenda end quote. > Judge Jeanine: Congressman Donalds I only have a few seconds left. What can Congress do effectively in this situation? Rep. Donalds: What Congress needs to do is we need to actually bring back nuclear power in a major way in the United States that will get us zero-emission energy that is cheap, affordable and is reliable. > Judge Jeanine: Okay. All right. Marc Morano and Congressman Byron Donalds thanks for being with us tonight. >> Any time.  

New UN IPCC report claims ‘Now or Never’ to flight climate – That’s an easy choice – NEVER! – More tipping points – Point-by-point rebuttal

IPCC climate change report headline via AFP: Scientists warn it’s now or never to limit global warming – The boss of the United Nations has erupted at world leaders as scientists warn the planet is in peril unless urgent action is taken. UN Claim: “Humans have less than three years to halt the rise of planet-warming carbon emissions and less than a decade to slash them by nearly half, UN climate experts said. … It’s a last-gasp race to ensure the world has a “liveable future”. “It’s now or never, if we want to limit global warming to 1.5C,” said Jim Skea, a professor at Imperial College London and co-chair of the working group behind the report. Climate Depot Response: “‘Now or Never’ again?! Easy choice, NEVER!” See: Earth ‘serially doomed’: The official history of climate ‘Tipping Points’ began in 1864 AFP: UN Claim: UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said: “Some government and business leaders are saying one thing, but doing another. Simply put: They are lying. And the results will be catastrophic.” Greenpeace co-founder Dr. Patrick Moore: “Absolutely nothing in this IPCC report is true. It is all fake and threatens the existence of civilization, especially the West because the East and the South don’t buy it. We must reject it or face the consequences. Celebrate CO2!!”  UN Claim: “The IPCC made clear that individuals can also make a big difference…Cutting back on long-haul flights, switching to plant-based diets, climate-proofing buildings and other ways of cutting the consumption” Climate Depot Response: “Ignore the UN’s promotion of energy lockdowns to ‘fight’ climate change. More restrictions on plentiful energy to turn peoples’ lives into micromanaged deprivation all in the service of some cultish climate goals. See: Intl Energy Agency report urges ENERGY LOCKDOWNS: ‘Banning use of private cars on Sundays…Reducing highway speed limits…more working from home…cutting business air travel’ & SUV ‘tax’ UN Claim: Olha Boiko, an activist from the Climate Action Network, based in Ukraine, said: “The money, that we begged not to invest in dirty energy, is now flying over our heads in the form of bombs.” Climate Depot Response: “Let’s rework Boiko’s claim into a true statement: Accurate revision: “The money, that we begged the U.S. & Europe not to invest in unreliable solar and wind that produces very little energy compared to fossil fuels,  is now flying over our heads in the form of bombs because Europe and the U.S. had to rely on Russia’s fossil fuels and thus fund Putin’s war machine.” # Full article from AFB below:  AFP: The UN has blasted “lying” politicians, as it reports the world is rapidly running out of time to avoid the “catastrophic” impacts of climate change. Humans have less than three years to halt the rise of planet-warming carbon emissions and less than a decade to slash them by nearly half, UN climate experts said. It’s a last-gasp race to ensure the world has a “liveable future”. And it’s a daunting task that is – only just – still possible. But current policies are leading the planet towards “catastrophic” temperature rises, with politicians and business leaders coming under fire for “lying” about the action they are taking to deal with climate change, the UN’s Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) said. UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres said: “Some government and business leaders are saying one thing, but doing another. Simply put: They are lying. And the results will be catastrophic.” Future of the world in the balance The 2800-page report is by far the most comprehensive assessment of how to halt global heating ever produced. But it also documents “a litany of broken climate promises”, Mr Guterres said in a blistering rebuke of governments and industry. The world’s nations, the report said, are taking our future right to the wire. In recent months, the IPCC published the first two instalments in a trilogy of mammoth scientific assessments covering how greenhouse gas emissions are heating the planet and what that means for life on Earth. This third report outlines what we can do about it. “We are at a crossroads,” IPCC chief Hoesung Lee said. “The decisions we make now can secure a liveable future. We have the tools and know-how required to limit warming.” US Secretary of State Antony Blinken said these tools “are firmly within our grasp”. “Nations of the world must be brave enough to use them,” he said. The solutions touch on virtually all aspects of modern life, require significant investment and need “immediate action”, the IPCC said. The very first item on the global to-do list is to stop greenhouse gas emissions from rising any further. “It’s now or never, if we want to limit global warming to 1.5C,” said Jim Skea, a professor at Imperial College London and co-chair of the working group behind the report. “Without immediate and deep emissions reductions across all sectors, it will be impossible.” Slashing coal, oil, gas To do that, the world must radically reduce the fossil fuels which are responsible for the lion’s share of emissions. Nations should stop burning coal completely and cut oil and gas use by 60 and 70 per cent respectively to keep within the Paris goals, the IPCC said, noting that both solar and wind were now cheaper than fossil fuels in many places. But just cutting emissions is no longer enough, the IPCC said. Technologies to suck CO2 out of the atmosphere – not yet operating to scale – will need to be ramped up enormously. While government policies, investments and regulations will propel emissions cuts, the IPCC made clear that individuals can also make a big difference. Cutting back on long-haul flights, switching to plant-based diets, climate-proofing buildings and other ways of cutting the consumption that drives energy demand could reduce greenhouse gas emissions 40 to 70 per cent by 2050. Those with the most, also pollute the most, the report said. Households whose income is in the top 10 per cent globally – two-thirds of whom are in developed countries – emit up to 45 per cent of carbon pollution. “Individuals with high socio-economic status contribute disproportionately to emissions and have the highest potential for emissions reductions – as citizens, investors, consumers, role models and professionals,” the IPCC said. With war in Ukraine spurring efforts to transition away from Russian oil and gas in the West, observers said the report should sharpen nations’ focus on climate commitments. More Coverage Eye-watering cost of fossil fuels revealed Grim sign as ‘point of no return’ approaches “It is heartbreaking for me, as a Ukrainian climate activist, to be living through a war which has fossil fuel money at its core,” Olha Boiko, an activist from the Climate Action Network, based in Ukraine, said. “The money, that we begged not to invest in dirty energy, is now flying over our heads in the form of bombs.”

Wait, what?! Prince Charles now says world is ‘literally at the last hour’ in fight against climate change – But he previously issued 10 year, 18 month, 100 month & 35 year tipping points

Britain’s heir-to-the-throne Prince Charles said the world is ‘literally at the last hour’ in the fight against climate change pic.twitter.com/geeTDmapb0 — Reuters (@Reuters) November 10, 2020 # Prince Charles demands Great Reset: ‘We need a shift in our economic model that places nature & the world’s transition to net-zero at the heart of how we operate’ Here we go again! Prince Charles issues new 10 years to save the planet tipping point – He previously issued 18 month, 100 month, 35 year tipping points 2020: The Prince of Wales warns that humans have just ten years left to save planet  – ‘We really do have to pull our fingers out now because the theory is we have got this decade left,’ he declared. # 2019: Prince Charles at it again: Issues new 18-month climate tipping point after previous ‘100 month’ deadline expires– The Prince of Wales has warned global leaders that if we don’t tackle climate change in 18 months the human race will go extinct in a speech in London yesterday to foreign ministers from the Commonwealth. “I am firmly of the view that the next 18 months will decide our ability to keep climate change to survivable levels and to restore nature to the equilibrium we need for our survival,” Prince Charles said. # Flashback: 2015: Prince Charles gives world reprieve: Extends ‘100-Month’ climate ‘tipping point’ to 35 more years– Prince Charles had previously issued a 100-month climate tipping point deadline in 2009. Flashback: Climate activist Prince Charles has his shoelaces ironed every morning, travels with own toilet seat Prince Charles flew 16,000 miles in just 11 days before proudly posing with Greta Thunberg in Davos Rush Limbaugh: Prince Charles Issues Dire Climate Warning (Again)

Max Planck Institute For Meteorology Dir. Not Worried About Climate Tipping Points…Worried About Panic – ‘I don’t see any risk with Greenland’

https://notrickszone.com/2020/08/14/max-planck-institute-for-meteorology-director-not-worried-about-climate-tipping-points-worried-about-panic/?utm_source=rss&utm_medium=rss&utm_campaign=max-planck-institute-for-meteorology-director-not-worried-about-climate-tipping-points-worried-about-panic Max Planck Institute For Meteorology Director Not Worried About Climate Tipping Points…Worried About Panic NoTricksZone: Not here to worship what i… / by P Gosselin / 3d In an interview with flagship daily Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung (FAZ here), Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPIM) Director Dr. Jochen Marotzke said predicting how many degrees of warming we need to prepare for was like reading tea leaves and that he is not worried about “climate tipping points”. He also spoke of the wide disagreement among climate models. Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology (MPIM) Director Dr. Jochen Marotzke told the FAZ he doesn’t worry about climate “tipping points”, but worries about panic. Image: MPIM. He told the FAZ that the worst case scenarios put out by some models were useful for the purpose of risk assessment, i.e. scenarios that are unlikely but cannot be ruled out. “In the latest generation of models, there are some models that are much more sensitive to greenhouse gases than previous models in terms of their temperature increase,” he said. Five degrees “very very unlikely” When asked about the results of the French model released earlier this year, which assumes five degrees of warming for a doubling of atmospheric CO2, Marotzke expressed his amazement, telling the FAZ what he thought of the French scientists: “My God, what are you doing? Because it is very, very unlikely that the true climate is as sensitive as these new models show.” “The issue of climate sensitivity is extremely complex. Therefore, the results of a model should first be treated with caution,” Marotzke said. When asked why the French model produced such a high warming for a doubling of CO”, Marotzke said he didn’t know why: “No one understands why they published it without first reflecting. The British did it differently, they said the new value is a mystery to us. They first want to investigate what the reason is and whether the warming rate is realistic.” No worries about climate tipping points Later in the interview, the FAZ touched on the so-called “tipping points in the climate system”, which are “threshold values that set irreversible processes in motion that, once started, can no longer be stopped.” Possible tipping points named by some scientists include the Greenland Ice Sheet, Gulf Stream, West Antarctica:, coral reefs, Amazon dying etc. On whether they could happen, Marotzke views it as “conceivable” and that it “cannot be ruled out” and with “almost all of them we don’t know where we stand.” When asked which one is most worrying, he replied: “None”. “I don’t see any risk with Greenland” And not even the melting of the Greenland ice sheet worries the MPIM Director. He told the FAZ: “It’s gonna take so long – a couple thousand years. I don’t see any risk with Greenland.” Arctic not a tipping element On the subject of the Arctic, Marotzke says he is “quite sure that it is not a tipping point” – and that the ice albedo feedback “is not the dominant effect”. “The ice comes back every year – in winter, said Marotzke, who has been Director at the MPIM in Hamburg since 2003. “When the temperature goes down again, the sea ice will come back.” No worries about thawing permafrost He is also not worried about the permafrost thawing, saying the contribution to warming “is relatively small.” “Besides, even if the permafrost thaws, it is uncertain how much of the methane actually reaches the atmosphere,” said Marotzke. “Methane can be converted by bacteria to CO₂. I am not worried about methane.” Worries “panic will backfire” When asked about what he is worried about, he replies: “That the panic will backfire.” Marotzke warns against spreading panic: ” It can become incendiary. The question is, at what point do the risks of climate protection measures exceed the risks of climate change? Panic does not help here, only relatively sober analysis and weighing up – and a democratic discussion will help.” Hat-tip: Die kalte Sonne. Donate – choose an amount SHAREVISIT WEBSITE

Here we go again! Prince Charles issues new 10 years to save the planet tipping point – He previously issued 18 month, 100 month, 35 year tipping points

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8017939/Weve-got-10-years-save-planet-warns-Prince-Charles.html The Prince of Wales warns that humans have just ten years left to save planet   Comes 50 years after he warned about plastic waste and chemical discharge  This was regarded as ‘completely potty’ at the time, said Prince Charles  By COLIN FERNANDEZ ENVIRONMENT CORRESPONDENT FOR THE DAILY MAIL PUBLISHED: 17:30 EST, 18 February 2020 | UPDATED: 08:15 EST, 19 February 2020 The Prince of Wales has issued a stark warning that humans have just ten years left to save the planet. ‘We really do have to pull our fingers out now because the theory is we have got this decade left,’ he declared. Prince Charles was marking the 50th anniversary of a landmark speech he made on the environment by calling for nature to be put back at the centre of modern life. In 1970, he had warned about the problems of plastic waste, chemicals being discharged into rivers and air pollution caused by factories, cars and planes. This was regarded as ‘completely potty’, said the Prince. The Prince of Wales delivers a speech during a visit to officially open the National Automotive Innovation Centre (NAIC) in Coventry on Tuesday There was also derision for his practical solutions, like a bottle bank at Buckingham Palace or installing a reed-bed sewage treatment system at his Highgrove home in Gloucestershire. Speaking in an interview on the Sustainable Markets website, the Prince said: ‘Everything we are doing has been to destroy our own means of survival, let alone the survival of everything else we depend on. ‘But at the same time, we seem to be unable to understand that there is an alternative way of doing it, which is to put nature back at the centre, value everything she does and build from there, and now there is an amazing amount that can be done through the circular bio-economy.’ Since his speech on February 19, 1970, to the Countryside Steering Committee for Wales, Charles has worked to develop solutions to climate change and highlighted issues like overfishing and the threat to the world’s rainforests. He recently launched his latest project, the Sustainable Markets Initiative and Council, supported by the World Economic Forum. The initiative aims to bring together leading individuals from the public and private sectors, charitable bodies and investors to identify ways to rapidly decarbonise the global economy. The Prince added that scientists and evidence indicate that people are causing a ‘much more rapid rise in temperature and a much more rapid destruction of the Arctic and now the Antarctic’.

‘When’ vs. ‘if’ vs. ‘could’ – Green guru Shellenberger rips ‘curious’ verb tenses in journal Nature study warning of ‘global cascade’ of tipping points

https://www.forbes.com/sites/michaelshellenberger/2019/12/04/why-climate-alarmism-hurts-us-all/amp/?emci=2ec988e8-bc16-ea11-828b-2818784d6d68&emdi=0a929482-bf16-ea11-828b-2818784d6d68&ceid=1556470&__twitter_impression=true Time Mag’s ‘Hero of the Environment’ Michael Shellenberger: Excerpt: Last week, a group of scientists including Rockström argued in an opinion “Comment” at the journal Nature that “evidence is mounting” that the loss of the Amazon rainforest and West Antarctic ice sheet “could be more likely than was thought.” What they described, however, would take place over hundreds and perhaps thousands of years. At no point do they predict “billions will die.” I interviewed the lead author of the Nature Comment, Professor Timothy Lenton of the University of Exeter, I asked him about a verb tense I found curious. Lenton notes that the West Antarctic ice sheet “might have passed a tipping point” but goes on to say “when this sector collapses, it could destabilize the rest of the West Antarctic ice sheet like toppling dominoes  — leading to about 3 metres of sea-level rise on a timescale of centuries to millennia.” “When you say ‘when,’” I asked, “does that mean it’s an inevitability that it will collapse?” “Well, we can’t rule out that it’s on the way out,” he said. “Any glaciologist specialist will tell you that we really want more data. Because it’s not trivial to monitor what’s going on in West Antarctica.” “So the right word in your view is ‘when’ not ‘if’?” I asked. “We can’t be absolutely sure,” Lenton said, “but if it is, it will have knock-on effects. With the limited data, it’s hard to rule out that it’s already collapsing.” I wasn’t the only person who felt confused by the multiple “ifs” and “coulds” in the commentary. “The paper has a strange array of rising risks lumped as ‘tipping points,’” noted Columbia University Earth Institute’s Andy Revkin. Justin Ritchie, a researcher at the University of British Columbia, highlighted 11 conditional statements in the four paragraphs summarizing the complicated causality for a “global cascade” of tipping points. “I might be the only one,” writes Ritchie, “but after reading it I’m actually less convinced about imminent climate tipping points. One example: if it takes 11 ‘if’ statements to support an opinion, then it’s time to revisit the opinion’s substance.” (The word “could” is used 26 times.)    

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