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Analysis: Climate Change ‘Heat Records’ Are a Huge Data Manipulation

https://www.westernjournal.com/media-hysteria-climate-change-heat-records-huge-data-manipulation/ By Jay Lehr & Tom Harris The idea that climate change is producing heat records across the Earth is among the most egregious manipulations of data in the absurd global warming debate. Americans receive a daily barrage from the fake news media and climate “experts” reporting that each and every day, week, month or year is the hottest on record due to global warming. On Feb. 7, several major newspapers carried stories of the declaration by NASA and NOAA that the past five years have been the warmest on record. Sadly, these supposed experts use mathematical equations that do not jive with reality over the past 140 years. The same climate experts warn that record heat is just the tip of the iceberg. We are constantly told that global warming is the root cause behind any and all weather events that are extreme, destructive, unusual or uncomfortable. Many of these fear mongers also say we should stop burning fossil fuels that are causing this mayhem. Is the Earth truly experiencing the hottest weather on record? Absolutely not. After examining actual weather records over the past 100 years, there is no correlation between rising carbon dioxide levels and local temperatures. TRENDING: Top Chicago Prosecutor Recuses Herself from Jussie Smollett Case However, climate change alarmists always find somewhere on Earth where temperatures are hotter than ever. The focus is always on isolated temperatures that have reached all-time highs while ignoring reports of all-time record lows. These zealots would like you to believe that due to fossil fuel emissions, summers are now longer and hotter while winters are shorter and milder. Yet, the actual temperature records tell a very different story. Did the Earth experience its hottest temperature ever this year? The answer is no. The highest record temperature ever reported was 136 degrees Fahrenheit in Libya in 1922. The record high temperature for the United States was 134 degrees Fahrenheit in Death Valley, California in 1913. Fossil fuel emissions in 1913 and 1922 were negligible compared to today. The coldest temperature ever reported was minus 129 degrees Fahrenheit in Vostok, Antarctica, in 1983 when Carbon dioxide emissions were five times higher than in 1913. The coldest temperature in the lower 48 states (excluding Alaska) of minus 64 degrees Fahrenheit was recorded in 1996 in Embarass, Minnesota. Did the media and climate scientists warn that this low temperature indicated that we are headed for another Ice Age? The maximum reported difference between high and low temperatures at a single location is 188 degrees Fahrenheit (from minus 90F to plus 98F) in Verhoyansk, Siberia. In fact, record changes of highs and lows have occurred in 22 U.S. cities on a single day. For example, in 1989 the temperature in Alamosa, Colorado, varied between a low of 35F and a high of 91F for a temperature swing of 56 degrees F. We hope these examples, right out of the weather record books, compiled by C.C. Burt in his book Extreme Weather Changes, will help you to understand the scams alarmists are trying to pull. These examples all illustrate that cherry picking record high temperatures in isolated locations tells absolutely nothing about the Earth’s climate. The strongest heat wave ever recorded occurred in July 1936, generating high temperatures in half of America’s 50 states. In 1935, fossil fuel emissions were 25 times lower than today. America’s coldest year occurred in 1899, when temperatures dropped below 0 F in all 50 states. Interesting that the figure above shows the most severe historic cold wave during the past century took place in 1936, which was the same year when the strongest heat wave took place. In terms of general behavior, the global warming alarmist prediction is that as time progresses and fossil fuel emissions increase, the number of record highs should increase and record lows should decrease. However, these trends do not exist and the data dispels, rather than supports, the global warming hypothesis. Concurrently a compilation of all days since 1915 when temperatures exceeded 90F shows them decreasing with time rather than increasing in Figure 2. RELATED: Germany Echoes Ocasio-Cortez in Killing the Coal Industry The heat wave experienced in the 1930s and 1950s are clearly evident here. Once again, the data does not support the claim that the United States is hotter than ever as a result of rising Carbon dioxide levels. From 1970 until 1998 there was a warming period that raised temperatures by about 0.7 F that helped spawn the global warming alarmist movement. However, since 1998, little warming has occurred while carbon dioxide emissions continue to increase. This is totally consistent with variations in the amount of heat the Earth receives from the Sun. These facts are completely supported by 4,000 ocean floats which measure ocean temperatures at a variety of depths. This data at argo.ucsd.edu measures the oceans where climate-induced temperatures occur. Isn’t it time to start ignoring the calamitous annual claims that this is the hottest year on record? It just ain’t so. Jay Lehr ([email protected]) is director of science at The Heartland Institute. Tom Harris ([email protected]) is executive director of the International Climate Science Coalition.

Update: Journal has no plans to retract NOAA study despite data manipulation concerns

http://www.cfact.org/2017/02/08/journal-has-no-plans-to-retract-noaa-study-despite-data-manipulation-concerns/ by Michael Bastasch The chief executive of a prominent science group said they currently have no intention of retracting a study at the center of a controversy involving accusations of scientific malpractice by National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) scientists. Rush Holt, president of the American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS), told lawmakers Tuesday he saw no reason to retract a 2015 NOAA study claiming to have eliminated the global warming “pause” from the temperature record. Dr. John Bates, the former principal scientist at the National Climatic Data Center in Asheville, N.C., went public with complaints that NOAA scientists put a ‘thumb on the scale’ to get results that showed more global warming since 1998. Holt said he sees nothing wrong with the study, and that Bates’ accusations amounted to an “internal” NOAA dispute over archiving practices. NOAA’s 2015 study was published in the journal Science, which is published by AAAS. “This is not the making of a big scandal,” said Holt, a former Democratic congressman. “This is the internal dispute between two factions of an agency.” “There’s nothing to suggest there are problems with that work,” Holt said. Texas Republican Rep. Lamar Smith disagreed. “It may be a lot more serious than you think,” said Smith, who chairs the House Committee on Science, Space and Technology. Smith launched an investigation into Karl’s 2015 study, eventually hearing from other NOAA employees the study may have been rushed to influence policymakers meeting at a United Nations summit later that year. Smith subpoenaed NOAA for emails related to the study, but the agency fought back. NOAA eventually handed over emails, but many were redacted. Smith has used Bates’ public complaints as a launch pad for further inquiry.

Flashback: Meteorologist Anthony Watts on ‘adjusted’ U.S. temperature data: ‘In the business and trading world, people go to jail for such manipulations of data’

Related Links updated February 8, 2015: Flashback: Climatologist Dr. Pat Michaels: ‘The raw temperature data is continually adjusted to show more warming’ – PATRICK J. MICHAELS and PAUL C. “CHIP” KNAPPENBERGER: U.S. temperature ‘history has been repeatedly “revised” to either make temperatures colder in the earlier years or warmer at the end’ –‘A major and ongoing federal effort has been to try and cram these numbers into the box imposed by the theory that gives the government the most power—i.e., strong global warming.’ – ‘Please be advised that this history has been repeatedly “revised” to either make temperatures colder in the earlier years or warmer at the end.  Not one “adjustment” has the opposite effect, a clear contravention of logic and probability.  While the US has gotten slightly warmer in recent decades, compared to the early 20th century, so have the data themselves.  It’s a fact that if you just take all the thousands of fairly evenly-spaced “official” weather stations around the country and average them up since 1895, that you won’t get much of a warming trend at all.   Consequently a major and ongoing federal effort has been to try and cram these numbers into the box imposed by the theory that gives the government the most power—i.e., strong global warming.’ NOAA’s National Climatic Data center caught cooling the past – modern processed records don’t match paper records – ‘The average state temp records used in current trends analysis by NCDC do not reflect actual published records of such as they appeared in Monthly Weather Reviews and Climatological Data Summaries of years past…looked at entire years of data from 1920s & 1930s for numerous different states & found that this ‘cooling’ of old data was fairly consistent across the board…Is this purposeful mendacity, or just another example of confirmation bias at work?’ Rewriting Their Own Temperature Past At The National Academy Of Sciences: ‘Massively altered temp history since their 1975 report. They have eliminated most of the 1940-1970 cooling’ – ‘If they didn’t tamper with the data, there is no global warming since 1940.’ – In 1978, NOAA reported 0.5C global cooling from 1960-1965. NAS has almost completely erased that.’ NASA’s James Hansen in 1999 before feds tampered with temp data: ‘In U.S. there has been little temperature change in past 50 years…in fact, there was a slight cooling throughout much of country’ U.S. ‘Hottest Year’ ever?! ‘The past has been massively cooled, and the present has been massively warmed. A cooling trend has been turned into a warming trend, by adjusting the data’ – ‘NOAA makes bold press releases based on hugely altered data, and makes no mention that the data is altered. Then when called out, they claim that the adjustments are small, when in fact the adjustments are larger than the trend. The 1930s used to be by far the hottest decade, before the data was adjusted’ Exciting News from NASA’s James Hansen – The 1970s Ice Age Scare Has Now Been Completely Erased — Temperature revisions wipe out past cooling! – Hansen ‘has succeeded in erasing the entire cooling trend from 1940 to 1975.’ Rewriting The Past At The Ministry Of Truth: ‘In 1975, NCAR’s graph of global cooling showing temps plummeted from 1945 to 1970 — Muller’s 2011 graph, showed that the cooling never happened’ – ‘The cooling after 1950 has disappeared. Winston Smith would be proud! The Past Cannot Be Erased: Treasure Trove Of 1970s ‘Global Cooling’ Articles Uncovered — ‘Popularity of scientists predicting an ice age is very clear up to 1979′ The Real Hockey Stick: ‘US summer temperatures have declined over the last 80 years’ — But ‘NCDC has created a hockey stick of adjustments, cooling older temperatures by as much as two degrees’ Presto! There was no global temperature standstill! Warmists rewrite temperature data to claim: ‘Global Warming Since 1997 Underestimated by Half’ – Physicist Dr. Lubos Motl ridicules new study: ‘The climate alarmists didn’t like the people’s increasing knowledge of the ‘global warming hiatus’ – about the 350th proof that they’re pseudoscientists – so they needed a paper to ‘explain’ the hiatus away.’ — ‘To make the story short, they decided that HadCRUT4 can’t be perfect if it shows too little warming trend since 1997 or 1998. So a problem with HadCRUT4 has to be found out. They decided that the gaps in the reported temperature are the problem and this problem may be exploited. So they designed a new method to “guess” the missing temperature data at various weather stations and various moments by extracting some data from the satellites. They liked the result, it seemed to be able to calculate the missing figures – and especially because the warming trend since the late 1990s was raised by about 0.5 °C per century which means that it doubled or tripled relatively to the “statistical zero” reported by HadCRUT4. Presto: Adjust temps to create more warming: ‘The adjustments they are making are greater than claimed trend, meaning that all man made US warming is occurring inside ORNL & GISS computers’ – ‘Almost 2 degree US upwards adjustment trend being applied by USHCN between the raw thermometer data and the published monthly data…There is no legitimate physical explanation would would explain such a regular trend in temp bias – other than UHI, which has opposite polarity’

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