James Hansen frets manmade CO2 emissions are 'loading the climate dice' — the UK Met Office takes a different, broader view. From the Met Office’s report on today’s meeting about 'unusual' UK weather: 'There are a number of possible factors which could be ‘loading the dice’, including declining Arctic sea ice, solar variability, long-term ocean cycles, and other long-term cycles of natural variability.'
'Lewandowsky’s work unwittingly demonstrates that what is passed off as peer reviewed and published ‘science’, even in today’s world, is no more scientific than the worst ramblings of the least qualified and nuttiest climate change denier on the internet. It looks like science, certainly, but the product only survives a superficial inspection'
'An international research team led by Erik Ivins of the Jet Propulsion Lab of Pasadena, California has taken a closer look at the GIA-correction and has reworked the data. They just recently published the results in the Journal of Geophysical Research. Based on data of the last decade, they’ve determined that the Antarctic ice melt represents in the worst case an amount of o.16 mm/year in terms of global sea level rise. That is signficantly less than what the IPCC proposed in its 2007 climate report. Back then the IPCC propoosed a sea level rise contribution by Antarctica in the worst case of 0.56 mm per year, see Table SPM1 of IPCC AR4).'
Study 'finds the 2012 extreme Great Plains drought was within the natural variability of climate and that there is no evidence of a link to AGW. According to the authors, "it is concluded that the extreme Great Plains drought did not require extreme external forcings [i.e. anthropogenic global warming], and could plausibly have arisen from atmospheric noise [natural variability] alone." The four authors hail from different divisions of NOAA, which is a 'denier' according to James Hansen.Do Extreme Climate Events Require Extreme Forcings?Arun Kumar, Mingyue Chen, Martin Hoerling, Jon Eischeid'
'Rather than admit that climate models have become a fiasco, it would seem that the “establishment” is now “circling the wagons” and rationalising to be able to connect all weather events to “man-made climate change” – defined as being anything over and above “natural variability”. Why would the “natural variability” of just the last 150 years be the benchmark. Why would the Little Ice Age or the Roman Warm Period or the Medieval Warm Period not be part of the “natural variability” to be used as the reference? If the flood levels in Germany this spring reached the same level in Passau 500 years ago, why wouldn’t the weather/climate of 500 years ago also be part of “natural variability”?'
Real Science Rebuttal: 'Amazing. An increase of 0.0001 mole fraction of an odorless, colorless, largely inert gas will destroy civilization. These nut jobs make Harold Camping seem like a serious individual'
'92% of all temperature 'records' of individual years over the last 2,000 years are unknown. It also means that 98.5% of all temperature 'records' of individual years over the last 10,000 years are unknown'
'Gosh, I never knew that sea level rise was so abrupt that it would catch those speedy airliners off guard so fast they couldn’t move out of the way. The climate change onset was so fast…that maybe future archeologists will find fossilized passengers with half chewed peanuts still in their mouths. As they say, ‘the stupid, it burns’.'
'Despite the fact the drought was worse than 1988, yields were 50% higher. Part of that are improved hybrids and farming practices but part is the positive effect of CO2, which produces more growth and makes plants more drought resistant. The 1988 drought in 2012 dollars produced between $80B and $120B in losses. Under conditions of atmospheric CO2 enrichment, stomatal apertures typically decrease, thereby reducing stomatal conductance and transpirational water losses from plants.
'Water Stress: When plants are growing under less than optimal conditions of soil water availability, the percent growth enhancement due to atmospheric CO2 enrichment is generally greater than it is when water is readily available to them'
'We covered this extensively at WUWT last summer, including the “unprecedented claim” where a researcher said it was a recurring 150 year event that was ‘right on time‘. It turns out jet stream changes and thin cloud cover was the driver. Also “the analysis shows that ocean temperatures and Arctic sea-ice cover were relatively unimportant factors in causing the extra Greenland melt.'
Skeptical meteorologist deniesman-made warming 3 times! 'The only other CNBC guest that cast doubt on climate science was Reynolds Wolf, a Weather Channel meteorologist who denied manmade climate change three times on air'
'The permanent corn belt drought is over -- Arctic ice is very close to normal -- Antarctic ice is above normal -- Arctic temperatures are at a record low for this time of year -- Longest period since the Civil War without a major hurricane landfall in the U.S .-- Despite the fact that there is zero evidence supporting their position, our apocalyptic friends continue to ramp up the BS – with full support from the White House.'
Wash Post excerpt: 'Obama expressed concerns about the political pain involved, saying that 'dial testing' of his State of the Union speech showed that the favorability ratings 'plummeted' when he vowed to act on climate change if Congress refused to do so.'
'With his administration under pressure from environmentalists to reject the Keystone XL pipeline project, President Barack Obama plans to unveil a package of separate actions next month focused on curbing U.S. greenhouse gas emissions.'
NYT: 'Bill Nye, Firebrand for Science, Is a Big Man on Campus' - 'On TV and the Lecture Circuit, Bill Nye Aims to Change the World' - 'In any given week, you’re likely to see Mr. Nye, 57, somewhere on television, calmly countering the arguments made by people like Marc Morano, the former Republican Senate staff member whose industry-funded organization, climatedepot.com, disputes the increasingly well-understood connection between rising levels of atmospheric carbon dioxide and warming. In an exchange several months ago on 'Piers Morgan Tonight' on CNN, Mr. Morano denied that warming is occurring, and scoffed that Mr. Nye’s arguments were 'the level of your daily horoscope.' Mr. Nye quietly rebutted his opponent with the gravity of scientific consensus. 'This will be the hottest two decades in recorded history,'Nye said. 'I’ve got to disagree with you.'
'But this makes for scary graphs showing disappearing Arctic ice, which are highly misleading. The 1990 IPCC report had satellite data going back much earlier than 1979, which showed that Arctic peaked in that year, and was much lower in 1974.'
'If NSIDC used all of the available data, their scary story wouldn’t look so scary. Starting their graphs during the peak ice year is pretty dodgy'
Meet the old 'consensus', the same as the new 'consensus' -- we're all doomed! 'Fears of overpopulation and its effect on the Earth’s ability to sustain human life peaked in the late 1960s and early ’70s, when the scientific 'consensus' was that overpopulation would result in large-scale famines. Paul Ehrlich, in his book The Population Bomb — which predicted that 'hundreds of millions of people will starve to death' in the ‘70s — articulated many of these concerns.
Ehrlich’s predictions proved false.'
'But Ehrlich did not learn his lesson: He is one of the scientists behind a statement titled, ;Scientific Consensus on Maintaining Humanity’s Life Support Systems in the 21st Century,' which was recently released by the Millennium Alliance for Humanity and the Biosphere (MAHB) — a working group of natural and social scientists at Stanford University. The report argues that “the evidence that humans are damaging their ecological life-support systems is overwhelming” and that “human quality of life will suffer substantial degradation by the year 2050 if we continue on our current course.'
'This is the perfect word to describe many of the disingenuous activists like Al Gore, Joe Romm, Brad Johnson, Mayor Bloomberg, and Bill McKibben who see “human caused bad weather” in every cloud, and try mightily to make others believe the same...The peccatogenesists want us to believe that our supposed “misconduct” against Gaia, such as emitting to much CO2 over an imaginary “safe” level of 350 parts per million, or failing to care enough about an imaginary temperature target of 2°C which climatologist Phil Jones says was plucked out of thin air is the cause of bad weather'