Analysis: Climate Bill is ‘Scientifically Meaningless’ – Temp Reduction By 2050 of Only 9/100 of one Degree F – Avoids only 5 years’ worth of warming by 2100!
By: Marc Morano - Climate DepotMay 6, 2009 7:43 AM
For Master Resource’s complete May 6, 2009 scientific analysis see: “Climate Impacts of Waxman-Markey (the IPCC-based arithmetic of no gain)“
Key Master Resource Excerpts: Mr. Chip Knappenberger finds that in the year 2050 with a 83% emissions reduction (the aspirational goal of Waxman-Markey, the beginning steps of which are under vigorous debate), the temperature reduction is nine hundredths of one degree Fahrenheit, or two years of avoided warming. A more realistic climate bill would be a fraction of this amount. [...]
No matter how the economic and regulatory issues shake out, the bill will have virtually no impact on the future course of the earth’s climate. And this is even in its current “pure” form, without the inevitable watering down to come. [...]
By the year 2050, the Waxman-Markey Climate Bill would result in a global temperature “savings” of about 0.05ºC regardless of the IPCC scenario used—this is equivalent to about 2 years’ worth of warming. By the year 2100, the emissions pathways become clearly distinguishable, and so to do the impacts of Waxman-Markey. Assuming the IPCC mid-range scenario (A1B) Waxman-Markey would result in a projected temperature rise of 2.847ºC, instead of 2.959ºC rise— a mere 0.112ºC temperature “savings.”
Under the IPCC’s high-emissions scenario, instead of a projected rise of 4.414ºC, Waxman-Markey limits the rise to 4.219ºC—a “savings” of 0.195ºC. In either case, this works out to about 5 years’ worth of warming. In other words, a full implementation and adherence to the emissions restrictions provisions described by the Waxman-Markey Climate Bill would result only in setting back the projected rise in global temperatures by a few years—a scientifically meaningless prospect.
For Master Resource’s complete May 6, 2009 scientific analysis see: “Climate Impacts of Waxman-Markey (the IPCC-based arithmetic of no gain)“
Archives
Recent Articles
- ‘Winter’ – maybe even snow – to return for Memorial Day weekend –’Snow possible for parts of the Northeast’
- Wait, what? After warmist Suzanne Goldenberg frets that DC weather will be too cold for a late-May outdoor pool party, AP warmist Seth Borenstein says ‘I try to swim daily outdoors year-round in heated #YMCA pool’
- ‘BRINGING THE WORLD METEOROLOGICAL ORGANISATION (WMO) INTO DISREPUTE’ — TOP OFFICIAL CLAIMS ‘CLIMATE CHANGE ON THE RISE DUE TO THE WAR ON TERROR’
- Warmist turns on UN IPCC, accuses IPCC lead author of ‘behaving like’ Marc Morano: Warmist Dana Nuccitelli’s Twitter war with UN IPCC Lead Author Dr. Richard Tol over that alleged ’97% consensus’ paper
- Aussie’s ABC lets Bill McKibben get away with barking nonsense — ‘Really one degree is utter catastrophe’
- Warmists Retreat — Catastrophe Delayed: Scientific American: ‘Is Global Warming Cooler than Expected?’ — ‘Let’s hope they are right; it’s the first bit of good news we have had a for a long time’
- V.P. of UN’s World Metrological Organisation: ‘War on terror responsible for climate change’ — ‘Due to excessive usage of heavy weapons in war on terror, the climate of S. Asian region is changing notably’
- Warmist Phil Plait suggests that skeptics kill themselves?: ‘If you don’t think that carbon dioxide is a poison, you know, tie a plastic bag over your head for an hour or two…’
- ALERT: Cult Leader Jim Jones revisited! 400ppm of CO2 prompts warmists to ‘plan’ on killing their kids and committing suicide! Warmist Franny Armstrong, on the alleged threat of trace amounts of CO2: ‘Should we stockpile cyanide? You think I’m exaggerating, but a close friend of mine, who has four children, said she plans to kill herself and them when it comes to it’
- Major 30% reduction in modelers estimates of Climate Sensitivity (Skeptics were right)
- Cheers! Europe Rolls Back Green Energy Policies
- Warmists claim: Last time CO2 was this high, the world was underwater? Reality: NO, actually — ‘Ice sheets DIDN’T melt 3 million years B.C., say scientists’
- No Correlation Between Global Sea Ice Area And CO2: ‘Since Earth passed Hansen’s tipping point of 350 ppm CO2, there has been no trend in global sea ice area. There is more sea ice for the date than when CO2 was 350 ppm’
- Northern Hemisphere Snow Extent Up Sharply Since CO2 Hit 350 PPM
- No Correlation Between CO2 And US Temperature: ‘Graph plots the average annual temperature of all US HCN stations vs. CO2. There is no correlation’
- Climate textbook explains why man-made CO2 does not control atmospheric CO2
- Analysis: Bill Nye the clueless weather guy – flattened by tornado data — ‘Claims go up in flames with a simple examination of data’
- Senate GOP warns Obama not to link Keystone XL approval with climate measures
- Alaskans grumpy as ‘this winter won’t let go’
- Analysis: Climate Science Is In The Crapper: ‘No global warming for almost 17 years…Longest spell since the Civil War without a major hurricane hitting the US’